Post graphs and stat analysis here - J.Bcis.Res.

approvals in August 2003

see attachment.
results included since 07/27.
similar pattern to June/July: November and April NDs are leaders, but by 08/05 they covered 50% of what was done within 07/01-07/27!
I think it's just an occasional spike :eek:
 
backlog reduction

August 5, 2003
Immigration Services chief tackles benefits backlog
By Shawn Zeller

...

Aguirre said that his main priority is to reach the goal -- set by President Bush -- to reduce wait times on immigration benefit applications to no more than 6 months by the end of 2006. “Just like these backlogs didn't grow overnight, we can't solve it overnight, but we are going to solve it,” Aguirre said.

http://www.govexec.com/dailyfed/0803/080503sz1.htm

(my consideration)
The end of 2006 is three years later, and it seems too far from now.
However, if the BCIS starts the reduction at the beginning of FY2004,
and if the reduction of backlog is linear,
all of us should get approved by the end of 2004.
Code:
date    backlog procssing
-------^-------^---------
2003-10   24    2001-10
2004-01   22.5  2002-02,03
2004-04   21    2002-07
2004-07   19.5  2002-11,12
2004-10   18    2003-04
2005-01   16.5  2003-08,09
2005-04   15    2004-01
2005-10   12    2004-10
2006-04    9    2005-07
2006-10    6    2006-04
So, it is important for the BCIS to start the reduction of EB I485 backlog right now, at latest in October 2003,
and to keep on processing .
 
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Re: backlog reduction

Originally posted by kashmir

<...>
However, if the BCIS starts the reduction at the beginning of FY2004,
and if the reduction of backlog is linear,
all of us should get approved by the end of 2004.<...>
So, it is important for the BCIS to start the reduction of EB I485 backlog right now, at latest on October 2003,
and to keep on processing .

Assuming about 30000 cases of I485 are pending now in WAC01 and WAC02 series, and setting "working timeframe" to clean this backlog to 15 months (Oct 03 - Dec 04), BCIS has to process 2000 cases per month on average. Current performance is about 200 per month, so they need to increase performance 10 times (say, assign 20 officers instead of 2). Could they? :(
 
Current performance is about 200 per month

What a good numbers it look from ND22202. But is it true. I don't think so...
 
Re: Re: backlog reduction

Originally posted by ND022202
Assuming about 30000 cases of I485 are pending now in WAC01 and WAC02 series, and setting "working timeframe" to clean this backlog to 15 months (Oct 03 - Dec 04), BCIS has to process 2000 cases per month on average. Current performance is about 200 per month, so they need to increase performance 10 times (say, assign 20 officers instead of 2). Could they? :(
Frankly speaking, I don't expect any backlog reduction for a short term to the BCIS.
To most of us, just the backlog not increasing is enough.
Even 1,000 cases per month is OK with me if the CSC starts processing at the beginning of FY2004.
If 10 officers were assinged for EB I-485 by 10/1/2003 and if they were not taken away during FY2004, it should be achieved.
 
approvals in August 2003 update

per kashmir's scan on 08/16
see attachment.

good news, CSC already beats its July performance!!!
bad news, its not enough, we need more, please....
 
approvals in August 2003 update

per latest scan by Mr. Kashmir.

August rate stands now at about 200+, June rate was 300+, but July was only 125+.
see attachment.
 
Re: Re: Re: backlog reduction

Originally posted by kashmir
Frankly speaking, I don't expect any backlog reduction for a short term to the BCIS.
To most of us, just the backlog not increasing is enough.
Even 1,000 cases per month is OK with me if the CSC starts processing at the beginning of FY2004.
If 10 officers were assinged for EB I-485 by 10/1/2003 and if they were not taken away during FY2004, it should be achieved.

May be BCIS has to do some parallel processing to avoid further backlogs.

How about splitting WAC01 and WAC02 series into one Pipe
and WAC03 as another and keep processing WAC03 as they come and finishing WAC01 and WAC02 backlogs.

Yes mine is WAC03 :D
 
summer is over

let's count our chickens :)
the graph in attachment compares approvals in June, July, and August.
Thanks for watching!
 
total sumer approvals

CSC managed to approve 660+ cases (cannot vouch for better accuracy :)). On average, it gives 10 approvals per day. Yeah, only two people working... And about half of that was approved out of order and way ahead of JIT!!! What the @#$@^$#&^%!

see attachment and thanks for watching!
(last post on the previous page of this thread compares approvals by month)
 
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where is JIT?

I used a scientific approach to find out where the real JIT stands. It is calculated by the ratio of untouched cases to total cases. Untouched is vaquely defined as received and 1st fingerprinted.
see attachment
 
ND
Can we graphs of RFE and Transferred cases?
that will indicate what is going to come and we can correlate RFE's to future approvals to see what is latency when there is a stream of RFE and stream of approvals<
 
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