VB wil show you about the same numbers as in DV-2013. You will not be able to calculate the borderline based on those numbers alone. That is because you do not kno for sure from official data how many wins were open in DV-2013.
DV-2014 How it differs from previous years ? Plus few questions !
- Thread starter franko
- Start date
VB wil show you about the same numbers as in DV-2013. You will not be able to calculate the borderline based on those numbers alone. That is because you do not kno for sure from official data how many wins were open in DV-2013.
I would not rely on that. It is not a part of any constraint.
I do not know how about you but I could.
The highest open CN for 2013 Asia is probably around 11000, and 2014 is around 26000 according to information from the forum. If the vb is in the same pattern, more than half of the Asian winner will not have a chance to get an interview.
Final cut off is a function of a lot more parameters than first cutoff. It depends on a lot of additional data.
thanks。But this is not persuasive, I only believe in statistical analysis.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
Hope you're right (and best of luck to you on your number). Regarding H1 and DV - yes that is allowed under rules of "dual intent".
Statstical analysys has been run. It confirms the findings
Raevsky, talking about stats, do you know what is the percentage of AOS vs. CP? I was trying to figure out how many holes there are between open registered CN numbers on the CEAC visa checking system for DV13, but I guess the registered entries which choose to follow AOS are not in there, right?
Sergey6116
Registered Users (C)
For the statistic: I am from Armenia and my CN is 16***. Yesterday I met 2 DV 2014 winners from Armenia. First had CN 5***, second 50***.
About 5% is AOS.
CEAC does not have AOS info as well as info from a lot of consulates
OK, that's what I found from the stats per foreign posts vs. total diversity immigrant visas granted each year, but I wasn't sure. I am surprised though by this very low number, given the numerous posts about AOS.
What surprises me is that the CEAC system has not all the consulates in there. I would understand not all the consulates have themselves access to a central system, but the DOS should be able to put all the foreign posts in their CEAC database. What make you think all the consulates are not accessible from that checking system?
There is nothing to be surprised. It is due to the fact that AOS is so rare, that people can't find adequate information and post questions in this forum. Practically speaking there could be several native, local forums in every country for CP, but there is only one country for AOS.
This is a very new system. For DV-2012 it was not used in either consulate. At this point more consulates join the system. More of them are coming
In Visa Bulletin. The June visa bulletin is expected within a week, it is supposed to have those numbers.
It used to be almost nobody doing AOS here. Exactly because there are too little amount of AOS participants overall in the US. However, because of the scammer's activity, there is a lot of activity in AOS topics. 99% or so of those topics' participants (in terms of posts written) are scammers themselves, trying to convince forum users to use their illegal services with fraudulent DOS forms (DSP-122 and DS-230)
franko
Well-Known Member
Question regarding the table below. As you can see since 2003 there has never been a year when they used all of available visas. So my question is: why? And doesn't that mean that every CN with properly filled application delivered to KCC has a chance for an interview since they have never hit the top limit? Also somebody said that this would explain the high number of selected CNs (125k) this year as this is suppose to be the last year before they kill DV program.
Immigrant Number Use for Visa Issuances and Adjustments of Status in the Diversity Immigrant
Category
Fiscal year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2001 2012
Grand Totals 50,810 48,044 48,151 46,145 40,076 46,633 48,036 51,312 51,118 34,463
Immigrant Number Use for Visa Issuances and Adjustments of Status in the Diversity Immigrant
Category
Fiscal year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2001 2012
Grand Totals 50,810 48,044 48,151 46,145 40,076 46,633 48,036 51,312 51,118 34,463
How do you know this for a fact? I doubt DOS put a system in place where not all the selectees whose CN number is below the cutoff can have access to their status. That would be written somewhere, don't you think?
Try to put there 2012 nomber.