I think this rate is similar every year. In previous year case numbers in my region was around EU20k. In this year we have a lot of variety numbers e.g 5xxx, 6xxx, 16xxx, 17xxx, 21xxx, 23xxx, 25xxx, 28xxx, 31xxx, 33xxx, 39xxx, 40xxx, 41xxx, 47xxx. So im follower the gaps theory.