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Up coming May month visa bulletin.

Eucn said:
Well no matter the jumps it seems eu ends up with 33k around July anyway. Look still 2010 and compare where April stood and how July turned out. I say no more than 29 k in May. Hope I'm so wrong
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Truly speaking i agree with you ! Now in my guess may will still go with 4 to 5 k but after that i think it will start going by 2 to 3 k !
After calculations and visas rates to selectees including.... I came with this idea!
Its just a guess mates ! I can be totaly wrong...
 
kayend said:
Asia May Cut Off Prediction:

6850-7350 (No special cut off with assumption of Iran winding down)
8000-9000 (If Iran goes to special cut off)
11000-12000 (If Iran and Nepal go to special cut off)

But I think mostly no special cut off for Asia in May.
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I think special cutoff for iran or nepal will only happend if it happens, july month,
If not that time than never...
 
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vladek15425 said:
Truly speaking i agree with you ! Now in my guess may will still go with 4 to 5 k but after that i think it will start going by 2 to 3 k !
After calculations and visas rates to selectees including.... I came with this idea!
Its just a guess mates ! I can be totaly wrong...
Click to expand...

Actually I'm surprised we are where we are with eu with more selectees and a higher number of responses than in dv 2013 we ought to be slowing down unless a substantial number of ready cases did not follow up. I guess though they will take us up to 29-30 and then slow it down to see how many ready cases turn to visas and then possible jump in August September. I don't believe we go current this year.
 
YES, gotta love sloner!
I mean, I'm EU39XXX, because of my CN of course I love sloner but in reality I join RAEVSKY FAN CLUB!
sorry sloner but it's very hard to wait for one year and then, in July, with the last VB, everything ends as a dream. One F'n year waiting for nothing, you know what buddy, I'm already awake!
 
Jean Michel said:
YES, gotta love sloner!
I mean, I'm EU39XXX, because of my CN of course I love sloner but in reality I join RAEVSKY FAN CLUB!
sorry sloner but it's very hard to wait for one year and then, in July, with the last VB, everything ends as a dream. One F'n year waiting for nothing, you know what buddy, I'm already awake!
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Jean mimi
I think EU will still go up to 41k 42k so your chances are not 0 imo :)
 
passport renewal for interview

if i renew my passport, will it affect the interview as i will have a new passport number different from the one i submitted when i applied for the dv. thank you in advance
 
Jean Michel said:
YES, gotta love sloner!
I mean, I'm EU39XXX, because of my CN of course I love sloner but in reality I join RAEVSKY FAN CLUB!
sorry sloner but it's very hard to wait for one year and then, in July, with the last VB, everything ends as a dream. One F'n year waiting for nothing, you know what buddy, I'm already awake!
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Crybaby.
 
suleimanmaher said:
if i renew my passport, will it affect the interview as i will have a new passport number different from the one i submitted when i applied for the dv. thank you in advance
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Where and when did you mention your passport number?
Did you apply your self or some agency did it for you?
 
vladek15425 said:
I think special cutoff for iran or nepal will only happend if it happens, july month,
If not that time than never...
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Simple, If Iran and Nepal max out latest by July then no special cut off needed. If it don't max out in 2-3 months, special cut off is needed to ensure Rest of Asia come in to meet the Asia quota. I am sure KCC or DOS will have a clear distribution of selectees by now and if they know it will not max out in 2-3 months, they might push the button as earlier as next month.
 
mate i donot see any reason of keeping iran and Nepal in special cutoff...... even if the cases till 13k are interviewed from asia then it will easily fill even 11k visa... 3700 visa each for iran and Nepal leads to 7400 and with case going till 13k it will easily fill quota no need to panic to fill quota for asia
kayend said:
Simple, If Iran and Nepal max out latest by July then no special cut off needed. If it don't max out in 2-3 months, special cut off is needed to ensure Rest of Asia come in to meet the Asia quota. I am sure KCC or DOS will have a clear distribution of selectees by now and if they know it will not max out in 2-3 months, they might push the button as earlier as next month.
Click to expand...
 
anyone here who can predict asia with out keeping any iran and Nepal in special cutoff...my prediction is as follows:
may:6500-7000
june:8400-8600
july:10000-10500
august:12000-12500
september:14000-18000(as asian iran and Nepal will fill there quota)
 
Rayme said:
mate i donot see any reason of keeping iran and Nepal in special cutoff...... even if the cases till 13k are interviewed from asia then it will easily fill even 11k visa... 3700 visa each for iran and Nepal leads to 7400 and with case going till 13k it will easily fill quota no need to panic to fill quota for asia
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What you are saying is that Iran and Nepal will max out by Sept or earlier. I am not sure the country limit will be 3500 or 3700. Iran in DV13 is very different, it is the only country that needs visa in last Sept and global quota still has plenty of visa left. If in DV14 situation, i think 3500 is the max out #.
 
nepalese cases are not concentrated bellow 10k its like 60-40% below 10k and above that so there is no chance of Nepal getting special cutoff even u can see cases for april Nepalese case density is being lower
kayend said:
What you are saying is that Iran and Nepal will max out by Sept or earlier. I am not sure the country limit will be 3500 or 3700. Iran in DV13 is very different, it is the only country that needs visa in last Sept and global quota still has plenty of visa left. If in DV14 situation, i think 3500 is the max out #.
Click to expand...
 
kayend said:
What you are saying is that Iran and Nepal will max out by Sept or earlier. I am not sure the country limit will be 3500 or 3700. Iran in DV13 is very different, it is the only country that needs visa in last Sept and global quota still has plenty of visa left. If in DV14 situation, i think 3500 is the max out #.
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What was the # of visas issued for Iran in DV13?
 
Rayme said:
nepalese cases are not concentrated bellow 10k its like 60-40% below 10k and above that so there is no chance of Nepal getting special cutoff even u can see cases for april Nepalese case density is being lower
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Yes, I know what you mean but special cut off can also apply to country near it limit during winding down period. Sept is always the month of adjustment meaning it will try to reach it quota by Aug, so if there still have visas left due to refuse or no show then Sept can fulfill it. Anyway it still too early to say special cut off is not possible.
 
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