Processing time estimation for April 30
Based on the information here, we have the following data.
ID Received Date Processing Date
MGDC 10/1/2001 3/X/2003
VPR 10/15/2001 4/11/2003
As somebody mentioned, on March 7, 2003 Maryland started to process April 1, 2001. Therefore, we assume that the lower bound and the upper bound of MGDC’s processing date are March 1 and March 6 respectively.
If we take the lower bound, then we have the following data.
ID Received Date Processing Date
MGDC 10/1/2001 3/1/2003
VPR 10/15/2001 4/11/2003
Working days: 11 and 30
Therefore, the ratio of processing days to receiving days is 30/11 = 2.7. Similarly, if we take the upper bound, the ratio is 27/11 = 2.5.
Also, we assume that the received date of April 30 ended on January 27, 2002. There were about 3.5 months left for receiving date. Thus, the lower bound of processing time is 2.5*3.5, that is, 9 months. Similarly, the upper bound is 10 months.
Based on the estimation, we expect that the April 30 will be cleared off in January next year.