Dv 2014 european winers here
- Thread starter ceskhermina
- Start date
Thanks a lot britsimon, tons of info there, indeed... 
Here is a quote from AOS 2014 thread:
"All 2014 diversity visas have to be distributed between October 1st, 2013 and September 30th, 2014. No exceptions. If you don't get an interview until September 30th, you don't get a green card."
"You need to make a decision whether you want to do AOS in US, or go back to your country and do CP, because AOS is considerably slower than CP. People who are current in a given month may get their interviews in that month or the following month in Consular Processing; whereas in AOS you wait for an average of 60-90 days after you send your package to USCIS. That means that while you are waiting for your turn, people in your country/region whose case numbers are behind you are getting their visas before you. If you have a high CN (and also possibly from a country with low number of selectees), it is advisable to do CP."
So CP seems safer in my case, however I'll further investigate the AOS path. Once in US I plan to save vacation days for the next summer, when hopefully I'll get the invitation for interview.
Here is a quote from AOS 2014 thread:
"All 2014 diversity visas have to be distributed between October 1st, 2013 and September 30th, 2014. No exceptions. If you don't get an interview until September 30th, you don't get a green card."
"You need to make a decision whether you want to do AOS in US, or go back to your country and do CP, because AOS is considerably slower than CP. People who are current in a given month may get their interviews in that month or the following month in Consular Processing; whereas in AOS you wait for an average of 60-90 days after you send your package to USCIS. That means that while you are waiting for your turn, people in your country/region whose case numbers are behind you are getting their visas before you. If you have a high CN (and also possibly from a country with low number of selectees), it is advisable to do CP."
So CP seems safer in my case, however I'll further investigate the AOS path. Once in US I plan to save vacation days for the next summer, when hopefully I'll get the invitation for interview.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
Thanks a lot britsimon, tons of info there, indeed...
Here is a quote from AOS 2014 thread:
"All 2014 diversity visas have to be distributed between October 1st, 2013 and September 30th, 2014. No exceptions. If you don't get an interview until September 30th, you don't get a green card."
"You need to make a decision whether you want to do AOS in US, or go back to your country and do CP, because AOS is considerably slower than CP. People who are current in a given month may get their interviews in that month or the following month in Consular Processing; whereas in AOS you wait for an average of 60-90 days after you send your package to USCIS. That means that while you are waiting for your turn, people in your country/region whose case numbers are behind you are getting their visas before you. If you have a high CN (and also possibly from a country with low number of selectees), it is advisable to do CP."
So CP seems safer in my case, however I'll further investigate the AOS path. Once in US I plan to save vacation days for the next summer, when hopefully I'll get the invitation for interview.
Yep that is accurate. Some or even most of the 60 to 90 days is before the current date, based on the memo which I mentioned earlier (which essentially reaffirmed or strengthened slightly what was already the case). Your number is just below mine and we will probably both be in the USA. The point about other people getting visas while you wait is a real point although if you time things well you should be interviewed at almost the same time as CP (slightly depends on the FO you choose I think).
I am going to weigh up the CP vs aos decision once we start seeing some more visa bulletins. CP is probably the less risky route, but will be hassle from the travelling point of view.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
By the way Alex, you can see a lot of people have dates in their sig. Looking at the DV2013 aos you can get an idea of the process flow. For instance look up the member Etiuda - EU current in May (probably like us) and has interview in June. There are other similar (some shorter, some longer, timelines). So basically if numbers are moving fast and I think I'll be current in May or before, then I think aos is safe. June is borderline, July and beyond is more risk than I would want to take.
Sm1smom
Super Moderator
Awww, common Simon, you make me sound like some sort of mean bulldog
when I'm really more of a chihuahua all bark and no bite
Britsimon
Super Moderator
Awww, common Simon, you make me sound like some sort of mean bulldog
LOL - no dog comparisons in my mind - just want to make sure what a valuable resource you are and not to be too cheeky!
Sm1smom
Super Moderator
Thanks a lot britsimon, tons of info there, indeed...
Here is a quote from AOS 2014 thread:
"All 2014 diversity visas have to be distributed between October 1st, 2013 and September 30th, 2014. No exceptions. If you don't get an interview until September 30th, you don't get a green card."
"You need to make a decision whether you want to do AOS in US, or go back to your country and do CP, because AOS is considerably slower than CP. People who are current in a given month may get their interviews in that month or the following month in Consular Processing; whereas in AOS you wait for an average of 60-90 days after you send your package to USCIS. That means that while you are waiting for your turn, people in your country/region whose case numbers are behind you are getting their visas before you. If you have a high CN (and also possibly from a country with low number of selectees), it is advisable to do CP."
So CP seems safer in my case, however I'll further investigate the AOS path. Once in US I plan to save vacation days for the next summer, when hopefully I'll get the invitation for interview.
This article, The Importance, for Green Card “DV Lottery” Winners of Filing for AOS in the U.S., Rather Than Risking Denial At A U.S. Consulate Overseas might make for a good reading for you guys as you ruminate on whether to go CP or AOS:
http://www.avvo.com/legal-guides/ugc/the-importance-for-green-card-dv-lottery-winners-of-filing-for-aos-in-the-us-rather-than-riski
Really, it's more like you are full of shit!
Hi everyone,
For various reasons I have delayed my application: only sent the paperwork to the KCC in early September. (No postal confirmation yet, but that's no big deal.)
My question is: do you think that I should kiss my chance goodbye regarding the DV2014, or will it be processed duly, eventually with a reasonable interview date? (My CN is EU000164XX, if it has any importance anymore.)
Thanks if anyone willing to answer a stupid question of a sloth.
Kondoid
For various reasons I have delayed my application: only sent the paperwork to the KCC in early September. (No postal confirmation yet, but that's no big deal.)
My question is: do you think that I should kiss my chance goodbye regarding the DV2014, or will it be processed duly, eventually with a reasonable interview date? (My CN is EU000164XX, if it has any importance anymore.)
Thanks if anyone willing to answer a stupid question of a sloth.
Kondoid
Britsimon
Super Moderator
Firstly no one gets a postal confirmation. If you ask them to confirm receipt, They will confirm by email (but it takes a few weeks) or by phone. However they won't even have opened your envelope yet - they are very behind. Just be patient for a couple of months before you call or email. As for your number it is a very good one. You should get your interview around January or Feb. Your late submission won't cost you any problems...
Thanks a lot britsimon, tons of info there, indeed...
Here is a quote from AOS 2014 thread:
"All 2014 diversity visas have to be distributed between October 1st, 2013 and September 30th, 2014. No exceptions. If you don't get an interview until September 30th, you don't get a green card."
"You need to make a decision whether you want to do AOS in US, or go back to your country and do CP, because AOS is considerably slower than CP. People who are current in a given month may get their interviews in that month or the following month in Consular Processing; whereas in AOS you wait for an average of 60-90 days after you send your package to USCIS. That means that while you are waiting for your turn, people in your country/region whose case numbers are behind you are getting their visas before you. If you have a high CN (and also possibly from a country with low number of selectees), it is advisable to do CP."
So CP seems safer in my case, however I'll further investigate the AOS path. Once in US I plan to save vacation days for the next summer, when hopefully I'll get the invitation for interview.
That part is incorrect. If you are from a country with a HIGH number of selectees you should try the route that gets your interview faster. Coming from a country with a low number of selectees makes it safer if the process has to take longer.
Sm1smom
Super Moderator
If you have a high CN (and also possibly from a country with low number of selectees), it is advisable to do CP."
Actually, the referenced post is correct to an extent. A couple of years back, a selectee with a high CN from Belize opted to do AOS. Belize typically has a LOW number of selectees. By the time this person attended his interview, he was told they had run out of visas for applicants from his country.
Actually, the referenced post is correct to an extent. A couple of years back, a selectee with a high CN from Belize opted to do AOS. Belize typically has a LOW number of selectees. By the time this person attended his interview, he was told they had run out of visas for applicants from his country.
The only per country limit is the 7%. If you are from a low-selectee country there is a better chance that your country may not reach the 7% limit and you are better off.
Sm1smom
Super Moderator
So are you saying those with high CNs from typically low-selectee countries do not run the risk of being out of visas if they opt to do AOS as against CP?
That's not what I'm saying.
Having a high CN is risky either way. But {high CN + low-selectee country} is better than {high CN + high-selectee country}.
What I'm saying is that coming from a country with a low number of selectees gives you more leeway compared to when coming from one with a high number of selectees. Because at least you do not have to worry about the individual country cut-off (like Egypt) or when you get to the interview you realize that your fellow countrymen have used up the whole 7%.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
That won't make any difference to the DV application one way or the other.
I think we will have some of those stories in 12 months time (sadly). However, in recent lotteries this hasn't been a common occurrence.