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My opinion:
They seem to be moving quickly upto March 2000 dates and issuing FPs
After March 2000 most people already got FPs and are current - so if
they are looking past March 2000 we should see approvals or RFEs.
Maybe the number of current or nearly current 485s in...
We have seen March 2000 NDs start to get their FPs
April 2000 and later have already had FP notices.
If April 2000 ND start getting RFEs or approvals - it
would indicate that VSC is processing further than March.
Most likely they have gone thru all 485s up till March 31 2000
to judge...
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Bhanu, I remember theorizing as to when we would get FPs/Approvals
for 2000 cases looks like VSC is doing cases upto Feb 2000 !
They are going faster than we predicted.
Who knows - the next batch may go right upto July 2000 !!
Best Wishes
Does anyone know - when did the PD\'s retrogress last year
was it current in Feb and retrogressed for March ?
was it current in March and retrogressed for April ?
VSC seems to be going upto Feb cases for issuing FPs
Maybe they are covering all the cases whose PD is current till the
PD...
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Sorry - I meant someone with 485 ND of 2/22/2000 and not 2001
The more recent cases are getting FP notices early but it means nothing as VSC goes by 485 ND when it comes to actual approval-
confirmed with IIO by me a while back.
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See the link below - you may think CNEB1VSC and I are getting too much involved in the details at first - but I think its so far been fairly accurate:
http://www.immigrationportal.com/WebX?230@@.eeeab0a
For some one with 485 ND 2/22/01 I expect FP notcies to come sometime between...
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I agree with you - VSC will probably send out Oct + Nov cases and
start approving non-RFE cases during Feb 01 and RFE cases will be getting their approvals in March/April 01.
Only question is: When they come to April 01 will they start looking at only December 99 cases - OR - will...
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question & comments for CNEB1VSC
(are you China EB1 VSC ??)
Thanks for the very interesting analysis:
The variable "k" used by you is an average of several effects.
Can you indicate which effects would be in the variable "k" when
its based on an average ...
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MadRascal
The immitracker numbers are skewed downwards - because some people post ONLY after they get info like FP/Approval.
E.g. Oct cases looked like half of Sep cases - but now it is looking
like Oct cases are 3/4 of Sep cases. So the skew is like 33% or more
If Oct 99 to...
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Great ! Do you know how many officers are processing I485s ?
Then we can find out roughly how long it will take !
The forms tell us how long it takes to fill out - but how long does it take an IIO to process a 485 app ?
(My attorney says 15 minutes if you have all the documents) -...
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Its looks like VSC is going thru all of October not just till Oct 15th ND cases. If so thats a good sign - they may be having less Oct cases than some of the posts mentioned (18 boxes - but how big are the boxes - if anyone would care to ask the IIO .... )
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There are plpenty of honest companies which treat their employees fairly - regardless of the GC application - so dont make sweeping statements like \'you are stuck with no raise once you apply for GC \' etc. I know there are companies which mistreat their employess also,
but I believe...
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I had posted a discussion on "When will VSC process OCT 99 cases and later - a theory" a while back - have a look at it.
This showed that Oct 99 to Sep 00 there are only (if you can say "only") as many cases as Aug 99 and Sep 99. It also assumed that VSC would...
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madrascal
(Are you from Madras ??)
I think you will get approval by Sep/Oct 2001. (Dont hold me to this though!). Depends on State Dept NOT making PD CURRENT like they did last year.
Earlier in your post you had mentioned that the ratio may be way off for the cases after Aug/Sep...
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Myladoor
Do you mean that Aug & Sep numbers are 1.33 times the original numbers ?
i.e. only 3/4 of the poster had their info BEFORE approval ?
Then we need to increase all times by a third
BTW Thanks for your good work on Immitracker.com
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venkat97
I am in a similar situation:
PD June 96 485 ND 6/00. FP 10/00
I spoke to IIO to check whether they got my FP results (they got it)
Then I asked - do you have any idea when my application will be approved ? She said 6-7 months.
I\'m hoping that once the TWO FLOODS...
All
I had a look at data on myladoor\'s immitracker site for VSC.
Assumptions:
- numbers are proportional to actual cases
- PD does not jump again in near future
AUG/SEP has about 230 cases in the charts
They have been processing them 5 months.
No of Sep cases Oct 00 cases count is...
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