Hi everyone, I've just found this forum and the countless helpful sheets through Britsimon's videos. Thank you so much to Mom for putting this together and your endless stream of help that I've been reading through, as well as Susie for countless helpful comments and Xarthisius for the mountains of data and helpful UI/collation - you are all saints.
I've just put my case into the timeline. Sorry for the long message below, any help or advice would be sincerely appreciated if possible.
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My case:
2025OC4xx, current status E2, applying for AOS.
Submitted DS260 May 4th 2024.
Current in October and filed to Chicago October 1, bio completed October 17.
FO is Los Angeles, CA.
No interview notice.
I have been chatting with Emma frequently and have been told multiple times my case arrived at LA on 10/29/2024 and is being processed, no interview information available.
I can see from the stats on the sheet I'm still at/within the average for Los Angeles of 107 days (currently being 107 days from lockbox delivery of 10/1/2024 to today, 15/1/2025).
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My two questions are:
1. I can see from CEAC visa status check that my case is still "At NVC".
Is this because I'm an AOS instead of consular?
Is this normal?
(see screenshot taken today).
2. I just watched a BritSimon video where he showed the (unbelievably helpful) Xarthisius data about Oceania, and that there were 623 visas (people, not cases) in the totals column.
Brit estimates that there is a maximum of around 850 visas for the Oceania region (see screenshot of data table).
I didn't realize the number of visas allocated to Oceania was that close to the current amount of "Totals" already, and I'm concerned that the visas in my region will run out before my case is adjudicated.
I'm aware that I'm incredibly lucky to be current in October (and win the lottery at all) and that I'm only now just at my FO's average.
I'm also aware of the extremely low percentages of AOS'es completed in FYQ1 for DV.
I have been estimating that, due to the "October Average" in the stats of 170 days that my approval would be around mid March.
My question is:
Based on what you've seen for previous years, when would you see Oceania getting to their cap of 850?
Would this be beyond April?
Basically trying to get a feel on what my chances are at the moment based on the fact that the cap is at about 75% of the total.
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Thank you so much for your help and guidance, can't thank you enough.