VSC 2003 by sampling scanning
- Thread starter nemessis
- Start date
.nemessis said:
I just heard about this forum and I saw nemessis's excellent work. I have some quetsions.
I-485 Recipt date June'2003. I-140 approved in 02/2004.
went me and my wife for FP in Apr' 2004.
my I-485 LUD is still 03/01/2004, no change till now.
but my wife's LUD after FP is changed to 05/2004 with resume status.
Does this mean they have not yet received my FP till today.
Thanks
nemessis said:
You have done a tremendous technical/data gathering job - can we now talk about the implications of the information:
1. Is there a significant correlation between the FP activity (peak) and actual approval/transfer of cases? Can you run a historic analysis of the average wait times between the two events (i.e. FP received and Approved/Transfered status)?
2. Is there any supporting scan evidence that CIS is currently woring/approving AUG-02 cases? From what I see - they are all over the grid.
Again - many thanks for all your hard work!!!
Alex
PhillyKP said:
Thanks PhillyKP. I'm guessing though that this may be only 1/4 or less of the cases from that date? Most days that I've looked at have many more I-485 cases than the 64 that you found per day. For example, for 10/23/03, I only scanned about 2/3 of the cases in the range 50000 - 56000 and found over 200 cases and on 08/25/03 I've found 118 cases so far with a lot of ranges to scan still.
ETA
Update Sept 27
Some “minor” modifications from the last update:
- first I extended the database until Aug 26th
- in the first spreadsheet alongside the “Completed” and “FP” graphs, I plotted another one with Approved, Transferred, Denied and Completed to see the distribution of each from total per day
- same things in the second spreadsheet only for the cases processed since the previous post
Unfortunately it looks like the “May-June wave” is losing strength, but the Oct-Jan is still very strong, not only in transfers but approvals also, maybe because they have to report at Oct 1st the processing date of Jan 1st 2003 ?
ETA-GC, PhillyKP, FH-MIET and others who have scanned data, feel free to take the file and add your updated data and upload it again ...
Cheers,
nemessis
Some “minor” modifications from the last update:
- first I extended the database until Aug 26th
- in the first spreadsheet alongside the “Completed” and “FP” graphs, I plotted another one with Approved, Transferred, Denied and Completed to see the distribution of each from total per day
- same things in the second spreadsheet only for the cases processed since the previous post
Unfortunately it looks like the “May-June wave” is losing strength, but the Oct-Jan is still very strong, not only in transfers but approvals also, maybe because they have to report at Oct 1st the processing date of Jan 1st 2003 ?
ETA-GC, PhillyKP, FH-MIET and others who have scanned data, feel free to take the file and add your updated data and upload it again ...
Cheers,
nemessis
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ETA-GC said:
You're right in that these are not all the cases from that day. I don't know about the absolute number of cases filed that day. I am still in the process of scanning. As you know, one can only scan < 200 cases per day, and I can't do it everyday for certain reasons. These are only cases between 52500 and 54500. Cases that day start at 50000 and I'm not sure how high they go.
However, I hope that this data is at least something that Nemessis can use in his analysis.
K
PhillyKP said:
Yeah, I'm in the same boat. It's taking me so long to scan for cases on 08/25/03 and 10/23/03 that I've decided to stop when I have about 200 active cases for each day. This way, I can re-scan these once every few days or so between the 2 systems that I have access to.
ETA
statistics for 08/25/03 and 10/23/03 cases
Statistics for cases with ND of 08/25/03 (244 cases) and 10/23/03 (235 cases). I'll be updating these periodically (with a "diff") so people with a ND somewhere between these dates might have a better idea of progress towards their case (my ND is 10/23/03). Not sure of the format yet -- this is just a text file with the summaries for now.
ETA
Statistics for cases with ND of 08/25/03 (244 cases) and 10/23/03 (235 cases). I'll be updating these periodically (with a "diff") so people with a ND somewhere between these dates might have a better idea of progress towards their case (my ND is 10/23/03). Not sure of the format yet -- this is just a text file with the summaries for now.
ETA
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nyte_crawler
Registered Users (C)
nemessis, any updates ?
Activity for 08/25/03 ND cases
Since the last time I scanned (10/08/04), 13 cases were updated (3 cases were approved, 1 transferred, 4 RFE's, 5 FP recvd). At this point, 13.23% of the cases for that day have seen activity since I started checking these cases for changes on 09/30/04, althought the main stat to notice is that 3.70% of the cases for that day have now been "processed" (approved / transferred / denied).
ETA
Since the last time I scanned (10/08/04), 13 cases were updated (3 cases were approved, 1 transferred, 4 RFE's, 5 FP recvd). At this point, 13.23% of the cases for that day have seen activity since I started checking these cases for changes on 09/30/04, althought the main stat to notice is that 3.70% of the cases for that day have now been "processed" (approved / transferred / denied).
ETA
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