Predicted Priority Dates for final quarter of FY2005

Hi everyone,

As other websites claim that only 16% visas are left in 2005, is there any websit that deatils howmany visas are being used and how are left in 2005.

I have also important concern about unused visas from 2001 to 2004. We know that latest bill HR1258 or what ever bill will allow only 50000 visas to Sched A from a pool of 130000 visas.

Do you guys have any idea about the final draft of HR1258. Does still final draft of this bill say 80000 can be used for EB3 as per AC21.

What I am thinking is even the latest bill does not say anything about 80000 visas, AC21 still alive and allow use of 80000 visas.

I am not sure..
 
This is the reply I had got on Tuesday 6/7/2005

The current E3 priority date in India is 1 June 2002. Your date is 11 June 2002. You will probably be offered an interview in the next 2-3 months.

Regards,
MM
 
i wonder if shusterman's latest update on EB3 retrogression on his website reflects the information posted on this AILA website.

Sandeep_N said:
AILA has some information at http://www.aila.org/RecentPosting/RecentPostingList.aspx?Weeks=4
titled "The Recaptured 50,000 Schedule A Visa Numbers and Visa Availability Projections for the Remainder of FY05" dated June 10th but requires an AILA membership. Seems to be pretty recent, official and takes the nurses stuff into consideration. Guys, it would help if you can you ask your lawyer to check this out. Would post if I hear back from mine.
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Is anybody have any idea howmany visas being used/will be used in 2005.

140000 visas only?
OR
140000 + 101000 visas?
OR
140000 + 101000 + 80000 visas?
OR
140000 + 80000 visas?


Anybody have any idea
 
to answer yr question

it is 140000 + 101000 visas

refer my earlier post.. where i had put in the source of my information

also i don't think 80000 visas that you talk about can be used for Eb3 tech ..

i think these 80000 visas will be used in future for schedule A once they exhaust the 50000 visas alloted to them right now.
 
Where do these 101000 visas come from?
I guess it is just 140000

c9411010 said:
it is 140000 + 101000 visas

refer my earlier post.. where i had put in the source of my information

also i don't think 80000 visas that you talk about can be used for Eb3 tech ..

i think these 80000 visas will be used in future for schedule A once they exhaust the 50000 visas alloted to them right now.
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Last edited by a moderator:
101000 unused visas inf 1999 and 2000. Actually thery were 131000 visas out of these 30000 visas were used in 2004. So remaining 101000 supposed be used in 2005 as per Jan 2005 bulletine. See Jan 2005 Bulletine.
 
C941001010 or what ever:

Why whould they use 80000 visas for Sched A again. What exctly law sasy?
As per AC21 they supposed to use them. The latest law HR1258 does not say about 80000 visas.
 
Ok Thanks
OK But what if 101,000 have already been used up already in 2005?
Is there anything to prove otherwise?
Just for the sake of argument..

Thanks

baby_mde said:
C941001010 or what ever:

Why whould they use 80000 visas for Sched A again. What exctly law sasy?
As per AC21 they supposed to use them. The latest law HR1258 does not say about 80000 visas.
Click to expand...
 
Well
Predictions for FY2005:
140000(regular quota) + 101K (from unused 1999-2000 and is country independent) = 241K + 50K(for schedule A) is being used for this year.
And from the posts in http://www.immigration-law.com from April, 25K per month has been used and 87% will be used by July end. If you do the math on the above number assuming 241K will be used for FY 2005 then after July end you will have 31300 left + schedule A allocations. Hence even in August , Sept you will have lots of approvals. However in FY 2006 only 140K will remain and hence this retrogression on EB world wide is reported and they tally perfectly. If you do the math again based on the USCIS backlog reduction for FY 2005 to eliminate the 850K applications this usuage of EB numbers perfectly tallies.
Predictions on FY2006:
HOwever the missing link is the USCIS targeted backlog reduction of 950K applications for FY2006 which definetely needs more visas and how they get is, they have to recapture or increase the visa quota, else USCIS will not be able to meet their targets for FY 2006. Hence trying to be optimist I sincerely feel that there should be definetely large increase in visas allocated for EB visas through a BILL PASSED SOON. I came to this conclusion based on some mathematical calculations I performed and hence feel confident that in the near future this will bill should be passed. I will post the calculations if you guys are interested sometime soon.

Hence guys try to stay away from short term jitters and try to focus on the long-term picture. I know this is tough, but sometimes you have to trust I guess :)
 
Are there still substatntial number of Labor approvals prior to 2003?
Any idea how many labor Certs are pending or approved but not adjusted
from 2000/2001/2002 and 2003 years?

Sandeep_N said:
Check http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_2539.html
The Employment Third and Third Other Worker categories have reached their annual limits and no further FY-2005 allocations are possible for the period July through September.
Click to expand...
 
ShibuGeorge said:
Are there still substatntial number of Labor approvals prior to 2003?
Any idea how many labor Certs are pending or approved but not adjusted
from 2000/2001/2002 and 2003 years?
Click to expand...
ShibuGeorge,
Looks like these predictions are going nowhere even if we get those numbers. I still do not understand how this has become unavailable. The law says that there has to be a fixed percentage for each quarter...
Sandeep
 
Sandeep,

You are right. The law says every Q has some percentage. I do not how these are over.

May USCIS wants to concentrate on Sched A applications and clear all of them, who know?

Does DOS/USCIS is releasing how many visas are being used in 2005?
 
eb3 retrogression.. pulling my hair out in frustration

i am guessing .. else why would they have held off on that 80000... who knows.. maybe we will get lucky and they will just decide to use the 80K for eb3 tech.. but as of now things look bleak and with July visa saying unavailable it has proved both murthy and shusterman right...

So Unavailable does it mean no more visa for the rest of the financial year or can something move in the next month or so...


i guess best thing is to now wait and watch...



baby_mde said:
C941001010 or what ever:

Why whould they use 80000 visas for Sched A again. What exctly law sasy?
As per AC21 they supposed to use them. The latest law HR1258 does not say about 80000 visas.
Click to expand...
 
you will never be able to know exactly how many LC's are pending for 2001, 2002 and 2003 because of substitute labor. you dont know how many people can use sub-labor and apply for 140/485.


ShibuGeorge said:
Are there still substatntial number of Labor approvals prior to 2003?
Any idea how many labor Certs are pending or approved but not adjusted
from 2000/2001/2002 and 2003 years?
Click to expand...
 
It is very clear that the USCIS/DOS has used Q4 visas in Q1, Q2 and Q3. Then why would't they use 2006, 2007, 2008, ... visas 2005 and clear all pending cases. That would be better right!!!!!!!!!!!!1
 
some more bad news...

Beginning immediately, “EX” visa numbers may be allocated to Schedule A immigrants and their dependents only; all other immigrants within the Third preference will continue to use the traditional Third preference classification. Note that any Schedule A applicant will first be eligible for a visa number under the traditional Third preference cut-off date. “EX” visa numbers may be allocated to all Third preference Schedule A applicants from all countries, including China, India, and Philippines, only if their priority date is beyond the established Third preference cut-off date or if the Third preference category is “Unavailable”. The “EX” category is CURRENT, and will remain Current for the foreseeable future.
 
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