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January VB numbers released!!!

kayend said:
Can anyone confirm that 22k case # for Nepal is genuine? If Nepal really stress to 22k, it means the distribution for Nepal is more even and it doesn't create more holes after 15k because of Nepal reaching 6k+ selectees.
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Knowing the Max case # is better because the sample size with around 100+ out of 6000 is really small to make accurate prediction.
 
dolopar said:
22K is confirmed, but that is just one case only.
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Well that is good enough, at least we know Nepal did reached to 22k. So that mean chances there will have case # from Nepal range from 15k to 22k. It just it didn't report into any forum and our sample size is really small, it just represent about 2-3%. So they is 90%+ more that is not reported so far.
 
Hi sloner,Kayend,reavsky,britsmon!
Do you think,
Is AS162## a very safe case number for Asia?(Am I have 100% chance of winning)
 
kayend said:
Well that is good enough, at least we know Nepal did reached to 22k. So that mean chances there will have case # from Nepal range from 15k to 22k. It just it didn't report into any forum and our sample size is really small, it just represent about 2-3%. So they is 90%+ more that is not reported so far.
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Based on rough calculation, Nepal will cut the country limit at 15400 case #. If 22k is the Max case # and it evenly across 0 to 22k with the same success rate of DV13.
 
sajeevstalin said:
Sri Lanka
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OK, my prediction is that 18k is still the safe range. It needs around 16k selectees to fulfill the regional quota in DV13. And country like Nepal still stress up to 22k. So I think 15k and less that Raevsky predicted based on around 10-11k Max for Nepal.
 
Asian case number should extent to 22-23K in order to accommodate Sri Lanka's case numbers otherwise most of them would be left out, and in order to do so, Nepal or Iran or both has to be put into special cut off. Now the question arises when and I think it depends upon the distribution of case numbers each from Nepal n Iran.If the Iran's max case number falls under 10K, then iran is the 1st to go then nepal OR if their cases are evenly distributed then both will have cut off at the same time.
 
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Really strange reading all those post about cn that's between this and that range! Makes
Me think of randomness of the cn ! I have no doubt that people got randomly
Seleceted around the globe. But what about the the unique case number allocated to each candidate. seing all thes discusions
Makes me septic! I noticed southafricains selectees has cn range between 70k and 100k! One exception I saw a 44k!
Wierd.
 
Ravesky she is from chitwan nepal actually chitwan is town in nepal I know her she is my friend she is a nurse
 
Rayme said:
22k exists and its true if want to know a proof i will alow u to enter in our fb group and see there
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Technically, if you are not from Nepal you wouldn't join Nepal fb group. So I would believe it is a genuine case # from Nepal.

Any Iranian from this forum that can shed some light on Iran max case #? Remember, even if your country is under special cut off category it doesn't mean you will be losing out. In fact, it will benefits all Asian.
 
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