This is really helpful, thank you.
Yeah just won the 2023 and got posted to Sydney, so no interview yet per se but I've read lots are having issues.
Based on your experience, what do you think's the best way to move forward? Wait until current, then email Suva (or KCC?) for a transfer, or wait until interview is scheduled then request a transfer (if that's possible)?
Ben your case number of 4XX is very low, factoring in holes, if the DV2023 class doesn't know yet what holes are there are some good YouTube videos from Brit Simon that explain it, and also on 1 January 2023 DOS will release CEAC data and there are some very computer smart people who scrape that data and have websites where you can see, amongst other things, how many holes are before and after your case number, but essentially a hole is a case number that was created at the time of entering the DV lottery, and that case was disqualified before the actual draw. In OC the hole rate seemed to be about fifty (50) % for DV 2022 so if that continues in DV 2023, even though you are case number 400 for example, in reality there would be only 200 real cases in front of you.
A number of factors will affect when you are scheduled for an interview, including what you put in your DS 260. If your a young single applicant with stable work history in unremarkable jobs who has never traveled overseas, your DS 260 should be processed quickly (about 6 weeks) in a normal year. If however you have 5 derivatives on your entry, you've traveled to Syria, worked at a nuclear power plant, served in the military, have a criminal record and/or have made comments on social media like F the US, you can expect your DS 260 to take longer to be processed. Another issue is whether KCC will resume "document submission" for DV 2023 winners. KCC started document submission a few years ago and it was a disaster, causing massive delays. Document submission is where KCC asks you to submit copies of your civil documents to KCC before KCC schedule to you for your interview. As part of a trial run DOS suspended the document submission requirement as of 9 December 2021.
Can you or any other DV 2023 winner upload an image of your 1NL (the letter that tells you that you have been randomly selected) so I can see the wording? Redact your personal details and case number. The DV 2022 1NL specifically states you must submit documents to KCC, if that is not on the DV 2023 1NL then it appears the trial period as of 9 December 2021 is continuing for DV 2023.
Finally it needs to be a normal year to make predictions, WW3 could be running by 1 October 2022. Imagine if you told someone this time 3 years ago their selection would be ruined by a world wide pandemic.
DOS will not answer any DV 2023 questions until 1 October 2023 at the earliest.
In a normal year with a normal case a case number of 2023OC4XX could expect to be interviewed in December 2022/January 2023.
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2022OC5XX
1NL received 9 May 2021
DS 260 submitted 2 November 2021
No documents requested or submitted
Ready to be scheduled for interview 24 December 2021
Current as of 1 January 2022
2NL received 19 April 2022