SusieQQQ
Well-Known Member
plus, there’s no “deadline”. We saw 2NLs go out early May if I recall correctly (For June interviews so they ”should have been“ April NLs. Nothing is normal this year.
DV 2021 Oceania Selectees
- Thread starter ausdoughnuts
- Start date
Sm1smom
Super Moderator
Yup! Everyone issued with a visa.
Ok thank you!
Knitwear_Blue
Member
What is everyones thoughts on the Curtis Morrison Big Law Case?
(If replying, please include your assigned embassy)
(If replying, please include your assigned embassy)
Im Auckland Consulate and have had my docs approved.
Britsimon has posted a good video and shared his thoughts on the case.
I am def considering joining as I believe we have very limited time left to process all cases in NZ. I dont know how many cases there are left are to interview, but they seem to be a bit unordered with their processing and that worries me.
I am OC1XX, single person, had my interview in Sydney on April 28th. Refused because an overseas police check original hadn’t arrived, but have since moved from ‘refused’ back to ‘ready’ this week so they’ve obviously received the doc and are processing.
They asked about finances, but no proof required. Another person before me said that he didn’t have much saved but planned on saving between now and leaving and had a car to sell, and he seemed to be approved just fine.
They asked about finances, but no proof required. Another person before me said that he didn’t have much saved but planned on saving between now and leaving and had a car to sell, and he seemed to be approved just fine.
Green&Gold
Active Member
May I ask which country the Police Certificate hadn't arrived from?
tony_blitz
Member
I am also in NZ and am somewhat hopeful.
There are 360 DV2021 NZ winners. Assuming 1.5 winners per case results in 240 case numbers (OC rate is 1.6-1.7).
Of the 240, assume 25% don't progress their case (the rate for OC has historically been closer to 50%) so 180 active case numbers.
59 cases have interviews so that leaves 121 hopeful cases.
29 cases were included in the most recent 2NL NZ batch so assume this as a monthly rate of interviews for Auckland results in 87 remaining interviews before DV21 ends.
So that leaves 34 cases missing out on an interview.
Theres obviously a few assumptions. Plus also assuming Auckland doesn't have to go back into a level 3 lockdown again.
But I think if you've had your docs processed then you chances are pretty good. Probably the best of any country in the world at the moment.
If its meant to be, its meant to be.
Thank you, really helpful!
@tony_blitz may i ask how did you find out that 360 cases are assigned to the nz consulate?
Green&Gold
Active Member
Correct me if I am wrong, but the logic hinges on just one country when the fact of the matter is we have a lot of other cases in other OC countries.
If everyone who is currently scheduled is approved (and 1.67 derivatives) we are at approx 55% of all visas for OC. (Region Quota is 864 visas)
It is why some people have been very concerned about the whole current case numbers. We can see cases as high as 2800 receiving interviews, while a member in the forum has a case number <70.
KiwiToo - Country statistics are available in the September Visa Bulletin
| OCEANIA | ||
| AUSTRALIA 1,130 | NAURU 11 | SAMOA 8 |
| Cocos Keeling Islands 19 | NEW ZEALAND 360 | SOLOMON ISLANDS 4 |
| FIJI 1,087 | Cook Islands 32 | TONGA 95 |
| KIRIBATI 12 | Tokelau 5 | TUVALU 2 |
| MARSHALL ISLANDS 0 | PAPUA NEW GUINEA 29 | VANUATU 7 |
| MICRONESIA, FEDERATED STATES OF 9 | PALAU 5 |
IMMIGRATION_FAN123
New Member
I am currently in Canada, (OC00XX) so I have been current from the start. It is getting less and less likely that the consulate here in Canada will process any DV2021 cases. Does anyone know if I can change my interview location to Auckland without being physically present in NZ? Are they working through by case number in Auckland or would I be put to the back of the line and still have little chance? The earliest I could be back in NZ by is Mid August so my interview date would have to be later than that. If I were to request a DS260 unlock, update my interview location to Auckland and resubmit, what approximate date would they be scheduling my interview?
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Britsimon
Super Moderator
Just to add to the nonsense that is going on, the 2NLs are even coming out in the first few days of the following month. So although we should see 2NLs for July interviews all come out by the end of May, we are likely to see some in early June too.
Thank you G&G, really helpful.
I personally think we should be looking at data for each embassy as this is an unusual year (each to their own though). Each embassy is going to be operating at a different pace with their cases. Look at Suva for example, they are taking cases in the 3500 realm where as NZ and AU are still plodding along slowly. None of us know what is going to happen, we are all assuming at this point. NZ consulate could turn around next month and say to KCC they are completely booked with non-DV interviews until the end of SEPT or it could go the other way. Its all a massive gamble I reckon. I am hopeful ALL embassies in OC will continue to take cases and that a large % of OC cases will be interviewed compared to the other regions.
tony_blitz
Member
If the visa quota for OC is reached then what is the point in joining the lawsuit for OC hopefuls?
Isn't the 55% overstated due to the inclusion of refusals?
SusieQQQ
Well-Known Member
The regional quota doesn’t work that way (even if the number above is right which I don’t believe it is). It’s not a firm number. If there is still capacity for diversity visas to be issued and other regions are not taking them up, they can and will issue more OC If they are able. There are only two hard quota limits: the 55k overall issuance number, and the 7% of total visas per country number. The fact that all numbers are current is an indication that they do not believe any hard limits will be reached.
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tony_blitz
Member
Thanks for clearing that up. Very helpful
Is there a way we can check to see if a country is at their 7% of total visas per country number? I am keen to know whether NZ has reached theirs as if they have, then there would be no need to take part in a lawsuit.