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DV 2021 ALL SELECTEES

IMHO KCC will release VB for October this August but they will reduce current number digits in order to lighten the load of overseas consulates. For example 300 for October , 800 for November , 1000 for December etc. The reason I think so in VB for April this year they only increased it by 200. It means they want to adapt. With the experience gained due to the negativities in the current fiscal year, we can see a more flexible and cautious KCC. And please guys don't judge me with sarcasm I am load of theories right now I just want to share.
I think they’ll do the opposite personally, start fast Oct-Dec then slow down, but it’s all just theories.
(The main reason I think this is so many people have been talking about delaying Ds260 submission it may seem to them there is a very low response rate, and they usually respond to that with higher numbers. But lack of embassy interviews in Q1 is an issue I don’t know how they will address.)
 
I think they’ll do the opposite personally, start fast Oct-Dec then slow down, but it’s all just theories.
(The main reason I think this is so many people have been talking about delaying Ds260 submission it may seem to them there is a very low response rate, and they usually respond to that with higher numbers. But lack of embassy interviews in Q1 is an issue I don’t know how they will address.)
I hate speculation but FWIW I agree with Susie, I think they'll start high initially which will be great for those processing AOS, I'd then think that come January, February you may seen numbers come to a standstill so the embassies catch up.
The only way we'll know what will happen is to apply a bit of Brit Simon logic - wait and see :)
 
IMHO KCC will release VB for October this August but they will reduce current number digits in order to lighten the load of overseas consulates. For example 300 for October , 800 for November , 1000 for December etc. The reason I think so in VB for April this year they only increased it by 200. It means they want to adapt. With the experience gained due to the negativities in the current fiscal year, we can see a more flexible and cautious KCC. And please guys don't judge me with sarcasm I am load of theories right now I just want to share.
No, I think the opposite. Because of the visa ban and closing the embassies they gonna increase the numbers to allow others especially the AOS to apply and give away the 50,000 DV visas.
 
It was all numbers current for 2020. Does this mean all AOSers with high case numbers gonna get green cards ?
If they can get interviews in time, yes. Uscis offices have been closed for months during Covid and have only recently reopened. Some of the biometrics locations are still not open.
 
No, I think the opposite. Because of the visa ban and closing the embassies they gonna increase the numbers to allow others especially the AOS to apply and give away the 50,000 DV visas.
They can’t “give them away” to people who were not selected, so not sure why you chose that phrase. Generally AOS is 1000-1500 a year, it’s just a fraction of the full DV quota. Which is 55k, not 50k.
 
They can’t “give them away” to people who were not selected, so not sure why you chose that phrase. Generally AOS is 1000-1500 a year, it’s just a fraction of the full DV quota. Which is 55k, not 50k.
Sorry, I mean they goon give them to whom selected. So High number in the US might have a good chance because the many rejection outside
 
I remember watching a video for Britsimon explaining the DV case numbers, from what he heard at that time AF did reach 80k and EU 50k and and AS 35k. Yet at that time still not everyone checked their numbers yet

So i think for 2021 the total of the selectee is huge number

Yes, 2021 there are many huge numbers. Maybe they expect higher rejections this year because of the following:
1- Self-sufficiency criteria. They might deny many applicants if they cant prove that they will not be a public charge (This was effected on Feb-2020)
2- Travel ban on some countries especially in Asia and Africa
3- Covid-19 will increase rejections and delay of many applicants
 
Yes, 2021 there are many huge numbers. Maybe they expect higher rejections this year because of the following:
1- Self-sufficiency criteria. They might deny many applicants if they cant prove that they will not be a public charge (This was effected on Feb-2020)
2- Travel ban on some countries especially in Asia and Africa
3- Covid-19 will increase rejections and delay of many applicants
You missed the impact of passport requirements on holes. Also
1.Public charge has always been an issue. It is not new, just the form is new.
2. What travel ban in particular are you talking about here?
3. Delays I understand but why would Covid increase rejections? Anyway I seriously doubt that was a factor in the draw.
 
You missed the impact of passport requirements on holes. Also
1.Public charge has always been an issue. It is not new, just the form is new.
2. What travel ban in particular are you talking about here?
3. Delays I understand but why would Covid increase rejections? Anyway I seriously doubt that was a factor in the draw.
You missed the impact of passport requirements on holes. Also
1.Public charge has always been an issue. It is not new, just the form is new.
2. What travel ban in particular are you talking about here?
3. Delays I understand but why would Covid increase rejections? Anyway I seriously doubt that was a factor in the draw.

Currently, there are a travel ban on some major countries like Iran, Syria, Somalia ... So the winner there can't get a visa even they were selected. If Biden win will remove this ban. Because of Covid-19 many embassies over the world are closed and don't proceed the GC for the DV winner.
 
Hello all. My family has been selected and our CN is 2021AS6xx which is low (thanks God). The only thing I worry is that the COVID impacts the interview schedule a lot. The worst situation is that all of the CP suspend in the whole FY 2021. Am I over worried? I have unlocked DS-260 to amend something. I am considering if I should also change the interview location to the US (from CP to AOS). Thanks for your advice.

If I was you. Sure, I will pay the fees and apply for the DS260 and do the medical test now! If you are in the US sure apply AOS, because the process outside is extremely hard during the COVID. You are lucky to have a low number, I think your number will be current in October which the visa bulletin will be released on Aug-8-2020. You should prepare all the documents and fees by Aug-8 so you can send your AOS application to the USCIS hopefully by the end of this tear you goona get the GC. My case number is AS16500 which considered relatively high so I might wait until March or April 2021 to be able to send my AOS application.
 
Currently, there are a travel ban on some major countries like Iran, Syria, Somalia ... So the winner there can't get a visa even they were selected. If Biden win will remove this ban. Because of Covid-19 many embassies over the world are closed and don't proceed the GC for the DV winner.
That ban has been in place for some time already, it is not a new factor. Embassies are already opening up. GCs are not being processed for Dv winners because there is a ban on issuance until 2021.
I think you are conflating a bunch of different things, some that might impact on DV for sure but not in terms of the high case numbers which is what the discussion was about?
 
You missed the impact of passport requirements on holes. Also
1.Public charge has always been an issue. It is not new, just the form is new.
2. What travel ban in particular are you talking about here?
3. Delays I understand but why would Covid increase rejections? Anyway I seriously doubt that was a factor in the draw.
Wait, which form? I do know we do have to prove we will not become a public charge but I have not seen anything about a specific form.
 
Wait, which form? I do know we do have to prove we will not become a public charge but I have not seen anything about a specific form.
That would be the Public Charge Questionnaire (DS-5540).

Though it may not be asked at the interview, it’s best to have it complete and present at the interview. Not having it when it’s asked could delay your process.
 
That would be the Public Charge Questionnaire (DS-5540).

Though it may not be asked at the interview, it’s best to have it complete and present at the interview. Not having it when it’s asked could delay your process.
I personally think the form is a bit silly (at least for CP), given that it asks that amounts be entered in USD. The amounts on those forms would never be a true representation because of fluctuating exchange rates. Fluctuations are usually minor, but I still stand on that opinion.

All that, and people who would fluctuate their worth (on the form) just to increase their chances. People could easily withhold information about debt under their name.
 
I was selected for further processing for the DV-2021, and I completed and submitted by DS-260 online, for my and my spouse and children.
I'm also supposed to scan and submit my civil files (Birth Certificate, Police Reports, Passport Page, etc...). At what point in the process am I supposed to submit those documents? I get conflicting information, some saying I must do it now, but the state.gov website says I must wait until KCC contacts me and ask for those documents.
I'm confused, please advise.
Thanks
 
I personally think the form is a bit silly (at least for CP), given that it asks that amounts be entered in USD. The amounts on those forms would never be a true representation because of fluctuating exchange rates. Fluctuations are usually minor, but I still stand on that opinion.

All that, and people who would fluctuate their worth (on the form) just to increase their chances. People could easily withhold information about debt under their name.

Yes exchange rates fluctuate, but the point of it is to see what your assets are worth where you are headed. Back in the day when I did my interview, and I come from a place with very volatile exchange rates, I had a USD value too on all my asset statements. An exchange rate is not going to change $1000 into $10000, and there is not much real difference 10% or 20% either way in the overall assessment. And yes people might lie but that’s true of any form for immigration, and this one has the standard penalty and standard disclaimer ... and many people have found out to their cost that telling the truth about an unfavorable fact is less of a problem than a denial and possible ban for misrepresentation.



. I understand all of the information contained in this form and I certify under penalty of perjury under the laws of the United States of America that the foregoing is complete, true, and correct. I understand that any willfully false or misleading statement or willful concealment of a material fact made by me herein may result in refusal of the visa, denial of admission to the United States, and may subject me to criminal prosecution and/or removal from the United States.
 
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