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DV-2014 Lottery High number or not? Please help.

As I posted on a different thread, users of this forum surely like to thank all moderators and admins. We have to take a deep breath now and hopefully go on giving a hand one to another in a polite way.
So I am asking all of you to use polite answers/posts
 
Sm1smom said:
This raevsky dude is so messed up, he would stoop as low as he can to discredit others with no tangible proof and make people believe he's the lone sane person in this forum.

This so called PM he's reposted here (with some additional interesting information) is the exact same one he posted on another thread yesterday and claimed it came from me.

When this dude unbelievably forged my name at the end of this PM on this other thread:

http://forums.immigration.com/showthread.php?557246-DV-2014-Low-case-number/page2

the PM interestingly did not display the sender's 'join date' which now shows up on this post here and is a far cry from when I joined this forum.

How low will you stoop, raevsky to perpertuate this your insane on-going conspiracy theory!!

p.s. to the wonderfull forum member who reached out to me and whom I promised to not give this raevsky guy any more attention: I'm sorry for going back on my promise. I just needed to respond this time to show who the BIGGEST fake in this forum is!
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I am a DV2013 selectee and by the help of this forum and people like Sm1smom i got my visa. This Raevsky guy has also posted some claims in our 1year old thread calling me a fake but i thank God that some of the forum members who come from the same town as me have met me and have seen my Visa. Please ignore him for we dont know his plan on the selectees. I wish you all a very smooth journey as you prepare for your interviews
 
raevsky said:
Signs of "baselessness"
1. People (like Makiki) use fake rank numbers in order to look like lottery winners and identify themselves as lottery winners when they are not. Isn't this a proof?
2. Poeple (like aos13) provide wrong information without even a possibility to accept that they are wrong.
3., A number of users report that they were misinformed and sent forms to KCC by email. To private email addresses.

More proof? You need FBI to be involved? What would you consuider a proof enough? Only criminal conviction by US court?

As I said, why would a huge number of people to be interested in AOS procedure when only about 5% of immigrants do AOS? Provided here is a illegal schema present already?
Yes, right, because AOS does not involve sending forms to KCC, and those scammers want to collect money for those forms that are not needed at all. That is why AOS thread is fully packed with them, trying to convince others DS-230 and other DOS forms are needed. Just because DSP-122 looks being outdated, and there is a good chance to collect money illegally playing on that, while the form is not used in the process at all.
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I am real, anyone from Kenya or East Africa can visit our thread and ask those who have met me and have seen my visa. This man needs my information which i will not give out. The case number that i use below is not real but its 2013AF00020XXX i will not give it to you and you will not get that satisfaction. We are here to encourage and help others and NOT to telling them not to follow up their cases. It is only KCC that will determine your fate. Send those forms and wait patiently for your interview.
 
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monashed said:
how long it takes to get the response after sending the documents ?
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If you're doing CP, KCC will not contact you to confirm receipt of your forms. The only time they will contact/email you on their own is when your interview has been scheduled (usually after the visa bulletin is released indicating when your CN will be current) - this could be about 4-8 weeks before your interview.

However, you can email them about a month after they've received your forms to confirm the receipt. They will respond to your inquiry in about 1-3 weeks.
 
DV LOTTERY 2014 CN high number?

AldoBlack said:
Who me or the other one who has 2014EU000444xx? :(
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Hi Guys Im new on this forum so I want to say hallo :)
I have a quastion: I particapeted in 2014 Dv lottery and I get 2014EU000395xx CN. I come from Poland and I dont have idea how the lottery rules works. If anybody know how many visas is for Europe? I think that my CN is pretty high. Who has the higher number from europe in this forum? I spoke with lawyer and he told me that emigration consider applications until the end of September. for example: last lottery 2013- they start to consider applications on beginning of october 2012 and They are going to finish the last day of september 2013. We have a may right now and they working on 27xxx CN. Lawyer told me that I/We need some time for emigration processing in emigration system and that takes time - about 2 months.
Guys write please a higher number from europe couse I have to estimate the chances ;)

Good luck everybody

regards
 
tryku33 said:
Hi Guys Im new on this forum so I want to say hallo :)
I have a quastion: I particapeted in 2014 Dv lottery and I get 2014EU000395xx CN. I come from Poland and I dont have idea how the lottery rules works. If anybody know how many visas is for Europe? I think that my CN is pretty high. Who has the higher number from europe in this forum? I spoke with lawyer and he told me that emigration consider applications until the end of September. for example: last lottery 2013- they start to consider applications on beginning of october 2012 and They are going to finish the last day of september 2013. We have a may right now and they working on 27xxx CN. Lawyer told me that I/We need some time for emigration processing in emigration system and that takes time - about 2 months.
Guys write please a higher number from europe couse I have to estimate the chances ;)

Good luck everybody

regards
Click to expand...


It seems like the numbers are much higher this year for Europe. I've seen people quoting numbers as high as 55xxx.

Raevsky said he thought the borderline was between 30 and 37. Given that the numbers are higher this year I wouldn't be surprised to see the numbers higher than the range he thought. It is all guesswork of course, but keep your fingers crossed and hope for good luck. Once a couple of months go by (that means after October 1, 2013) we will all have a better idea how things are going. If they are moving on slightly more than 3500 per month, then you could have a chance. Others have said that at some point ALL selectees will get a chance. I don't personally believe that, but I'd like to think it will happen this year!

Best of luck!
 
britsimon said:
It seems like the numbers are much higher this year for Europe. I've seen people quoting numbers as high as 55xxx.

Raevsky said he thought the borderline was between 30 and 37. Given that the numbers are higher this year I wouldn't be surprised to see the numbers higher than the range he thought. It is all guesswork of course, but keep your fingers crossed and hope for good luck. Once a couple of months go by (that means after October 1, 2013) we will all have a better idea how things are going. If they are moving on slightly more than 3500 per month, then you could have a chance. Others have said that at some point ALL selectees will get a chance. I don't personally believe that, but I'd like to think it will happen this year!

Best of luck!
Click to expand...

Yes, we need to see what happens. I can only hope ALL selectees will get a chance, but I'm like you, I don't really believe it.

They selected 125,000 entries this year, which is 20% more than previous years. There is still the same amount of visas available. So, there will be more rejection among the selectees than last few years.

In theory,that would be the highest CN numbers (something like the last 20% which would be then the 44k-55k bracket), unless they impose stricter criteria during interviews. Then, there will be higher refusal rates and the highest CN numbers will have a chance to get interviews. We'll know when we get closer to Summer 2014. Until then, it is pure speculation. Dept of State may not even know today what the final cutoff is going to be.
 
House409 said:
They selected 125,000 entries this year, which is 20% more than previous years. There is still the same amount of visas available. So, there will be more rejection among the selectees than last few years.
Click to expand...

+1.

Waiting for visa bulletins is the only way to know anything about chances, even then one never knows. CNs have holes in them, so you simply do not know how many people are in front of you.
 
I just went through the visa bulletins over the last year. I was looking at the rate at which they process the cases. It looks like they process around 3500 per month. In April and May they processed 6650 and 4650 respectively. So, assuming they settle back to average (3500) they would predict 34500 for June and they could get to 45000 by the end of September. (If they maintain 4500 ish they could go perhaps go current in August). That would probably exhaust all the numbers as I imagine DV2013 European high CN was about 45k (which fits with the 55k max we see for this year and 20% increase from 105k to 125k).

About the increase to 125k. That suggests to me that they couldn't be SURE of allocating 50k GCs within 105K selectees - so they bumped it up a bit and thus avoid a second draw. THAT suggests that the cutoff will be somewhere in that top 20% (for Europe meaning in the 45k-55k). That is higher than Raevsky was predicting, but it makes sense to me. Based on that I think Europe <40k would be a pretty safe number. Europe 40-50k would be a nervous wait and Europe > 50k would have only a very small chance.

Not looking to upset anyone and I hope EVERYONE has a chance, just looking at the numbers and guessing....
 
125 k

Read that not enough winners qualified or bothered to show up the last two years which may explain the bump. I'm stressed out too as I have eu 38000. I fear that it is too high. Read that someone was looking at eu 52000 this year any ideas how high it went?
 
Cn at 38000

Someone posted with eu52000 for 2014. I'm at 38000 and also anxious. Good luck


QUOTE=tryku33;2625005]Hi Guys Im new on this forum so I want to say hallo :)
I have a quastion: I particapeted in 2014 Dv lottery and I get 2014EU000395xx CN. I come from Poland and I dont have idea how the lottery rules works. If anybody know how many visas is for Europe? I think that my CN is pretty high. Who has the higher number from europe in this forum? I spoke with lawyer and he told me that emigration consider applications until the end of September. for example: last lottery 2013- they start to consider applications on beginning of october 2012 and They are going to finish the last day of september 2013. We have a may right now and they working on 27xxx CN. Lawyer told me that I/We need some time for emigration processing in emigration system and that takes time - about 2 months.
Guys write please a higher number from europe couse I have to estimate the chances ;)

Good luck everybody

regards[/QUOTE]
 
@Eucn I dont have the exact quota and I think they gave CN way over this number , but I have reported >55XXX CN of EU area on other forums (one RO forum for example)
 
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asylum final approval

hello everyone

We have applied for asylum since may2012 and we got the RECOMMENDED APPROVAL on jun2012 but till now we didn't received yet the final approval as its passed almost 10 months from the date of the recommended approval .

please please please advise if we can do something to expedite our case and if any information about the reason of this delay and is it normal ?????????????

thanks and appreciate

Mandil
 
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