Bulletins of previous DV years
Hallo guys,
As I mentioned earlier, am one of the guys whose case number is extremely high, 2011AF00089***. And as is my nature of always desiring to put things into perspective so as to see the whole picture as it unfolds, I managed to go through all the visa bulletins since Sept 2007. I came up with a table (find it attached) that would facilitate analysis of the cut-off number and establish a trend. I hope you find this helpful. The table suggests the following findings:
1 - When the interval of subsequent monthly cut-off numbers in a particular region is big, it could mean that the case numbers of selectees in that region are sparsely spread within the specified cut-off numbers. In simple terms, when the cut-off number of Africa moves very fast during a certain period in the year, it means that there are fewer African selectees within the cut-off number, and that they are moving the cut-off number by big margins to meet their monthly quotas of visa issuance. But when it moves slower, it means that the bulk of selectees from Africa are within the specified cut-off numbers and they don't have to push the cut-off number up much to meet their monthly quota.
2 - In the last 5 years (including DV 2006-2007 which is not shown in the table), in the last month of the year (Sept), all case numbers became current except in the DV 2008, when the final cut-off number was 62,300.
3- In DV 2008, the cut-off intervals are relatively smaller that any other year, suggesting that most selectees from Africa region had case numbers that were generally lower than in any other year. And that majority of the selectees were allocated dates for their visa interviews in the initial months of that year; and they ended up being issued with visas in numbers that by Sept, visa were only available to applicants below 62,300.
4- In this DV year (2011), it just might be the case that most selectees from Africa region have case numbers that are generally higher than in any other year since 2007. This could be supported by the fact that the cut-off number of the first month (Oct 2010) is the highest (at 9,000). Worth mentioning also is the cut-off number for March 2011 which is 31,950, compared to March 2009 and March 2008 cut-off numbers of 26,800 and 18,500 respectively (no wonder 2008 didnt have 'current' in their final month). But the speed has to slow down at some point; the period of drag in this year might be in the final 3 months. Nonetheless, going by this info, it is highly likely that all case numbers this year will be current by Sept.
5- However, what the table doesn't tell me is: in Sept when all CNs become current, does KCC allocate interview dates arbitrarily (free for all, first come, first serve basis) such that an applicant with a rank in the 80,000's could get an earlier appointment than one in the 70,000s? or KCC still follows the sequence of case numbers?
6- I thank God that I'm not Nigerian because their final cut-off number is generally in the regions of 15,000 to 16,000. And so is the case with Egyptians and Ethiopians - am surprised Ghanaian are not in this group!
Am praying that this opportunity finds its way to my path!!
Scarnam