December Cutoffs released!!!!!
- Thread starter gabam
- Start date
Eucn
Registered Users (C)
I think so. They will increase or slow down the number in order to control demand. The slow moving number probably means that a lot of people with lower case number actually sent their forms to the kcc and that a good deal are showing up for their interviews.
Fiefia
Active Member
Dear Tazmania, do you think that with my CN EU21*** I won't be current until April? Thank you!
Fiefia
Active Member
Thank you so much Gabam for doing this! 
Too bad I didn't see your post until after the numbers were officially released (ah busy life...). But next month I will be waiting for your update
You are awesome! Thanks again!
Too bad I didn't see your post until after the numbers were officially released (ah busy life...). But next month I will be waiting for your update You are awesome! Thanks again!
Fiefia
Active Member
Pitbull, I thought you could really help me with my sociolinguistic project on impoliteness that I am currently working on. You could be my case study! Then when I present my research later on, I will definitely give you credit LOL
Joking aside, your ability to insult so many good people here in such a short period of time is truly astonishing.
Then when I present my research later on, I will definitely give you credit LOL Joking aside, your ability to insult so many good people here in such a short period of time is truly astonishing.
Kayend
Active Member
Actually, the embassies and consular posts have not give the return rate back to DOS yet. Interviews for DV14 just started in October and the December cut off numbers are allocated in early October, so the success rate of interviews still unknown at this point. December cut off usually slow and that could be the Holiday session for US. Normally, Oct to Dec cut-off will take about 10-15% of the overall regional selectees. So, for high number selectees, Jan to Mar is where the actual progress happen and you can use this period of time to gauge whether your # will be current. Until then, be patient and hope for the best.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
Pitbull, I thought you could really help me with my sociolinguistic project on impoliteness that I am currently working on. You could be my case study!
Joking aside, your ability to insult so many good people here in such a short period of time is truly astonishing.
LOL! He's a master at it.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
That is a great point... and I'll bet you are right.
EU, funnily enough, is way high than that mark. At 12500 it is probably around 25 to 30% of where it will get to in the end. Perhaps EU will go current ahead of other regions. If this was a horse race we would still be somewhere in the first lap of a four lap race and EU would be in the lead...
Anything could happen in the next 3 laps though - too early to count your winnings...
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Kayend
Active Member
EU definitely leading right from the beginning and I believe it will be leader until the end because the special cut off for EU has not started yet. Once it get started, it will go even faster pace then last 2 laps. What is important is whether all regions will reach to the finish line by Sept 2014. And I hope all selectees will finish the race eventually.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
Sadly I doubt that very much. DV2012 is notorious for the glitches, I think DV2014 will be notorious for the disappointments. I think SusieQQQ nailed it in an earlier comment that the last few lotteries have been undersubscribed because the interest to moving to a country in political and economic crisis was less. However, as the H1 "lottery" proved this year, interest to move to the US is back on high heat and unfortunately USCIS have not caught up with that reality so released MORE selectees at a time when MORE OF the selectees will probably apply.
I hope I am proven wrong about this...
SusieQQQ
Well-Known Member
I don't think USCIS is in the game of predicting sentiment; I suspect it is as simple as "we've been under target for X years, let's make sure it doesn't happen this year again'.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
Yeah agreed - although if you ignore 2012 they have been getting close anyway - 2003 to 2012 (including AoS) look like this
2003 - 50,810
2004 - 48,044
2005 - 48,151
2006 - 46,145
2007 - 40,076
2008 - 46,633
2009 - 48,036
2010 - 51,312
2011 - 51,118
2012 - 34,463
So 35% more selectees seems like a sledgehammer to crack a nut...
Qewty
Registered Users (C)
I recall reading a post on here, some time ago, where an interviewee at the Sydney consulate was told in passing by an officer there that they had "visa's left over" in Sydney that were not used up. I don't know what year it was but it would certainly put some reasoning behind a push to make sure their quotas are taken up this time. I also agree with Britsimon - now that there is further scrutiny on the awarding of H1b visas especially, the DV lottery is even more appealing, and of course there are the changes to how folks can sponsor their siblings to enter the US etc. Why wouldn't more people apply? There are many people watching the economy of the US improving, and on that, the opinions of those that don't like the way the government/monopoly of business is run here (Australia) are also finding the US a tad more appealing. I think they may be underestimating the increasing numbers applying. One would think they would raise the number of visas each year as a matter of course. So now we will no doubt have people who have been selected for further processing, nervous of not getting to interview, applying AGAIN (and naturally so), some of whom may be selected twice. I know that has happened this past year already.
Overhanging all of us, those with high numbers or NO numbers, is the thought that the whole thing will go off the radar completely in the coming year or so
As I just said to hubby, I can't imagine applying for a number of years and then getting a high number - I think I would be beside myself. I think I can understand where everyone is coming from.
Q
So now we will no doubt have people who have been selected for further processing, nervous of not getting to interview, applying AGAIN (and naturally so), some of whom may be selected twice. I know that has happened this past year already.Overhanging all of us, those with high numbers or NO numbers, is the thought that the whole thing will go off the radar completely in the coming year or so
As I just said to hubby, I can't imagine applying for a number of years and then getting a high number - I think I would be beside myself. I think I can understand where everyone is coming from.
Q
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