Ormania
Active Member
So I played around with the file after downloading it, and the numbers I get are a bit different since I decided to do it only until January 31. I filtered it until only CNs up to 13,000 show for ADD (since that was Ethiopia's limit in Jan).
My findings:
Total CN: 726
Including Family: 1,062
Out of the above,
Visas issued: 570 - from 402 CN.
AP: 77 - (47 CN)
Visas refused: 114 - (80 CN)
Ready: 301 (197 CN)
This means that 761 people went to the embassy for processing out of the 1,062 that were expected to show. The success rate (Visas issued to those interviewed) is 74.9%. The ones in AP could go either way.
28.3% of visas available were not used during that period (stuck at 'ready'). This could mean that maybe the selectees postponed their interviews or decided not to pursue their cases altogether. IMO, it could be the reason for the big jumps we've seen for Ethiopia's numbers, since they have a lot of visas available that are not being used.
There are 453 visas that are 'Ready' for February, which means there are 307 CNs between 13,000 and 19,000.
Notice that in the first 4 months, there were 726 CNs, but just in February, almost half that number will be up for interviews. So either it means that Ethiopia's CNs are concentrated above 13,000 (as opposed to some countries where numbers are concentrated towards the smaller end), or it could mean that the shutdown last November really made Ethiopia's progression lag much more than expected so the embassy will be swamped with interviews moving forward.
So that's the analysis I did. Let me know what you guys think.
Nice analysis, i like it!!!