bulletin is online again
the bulletin is online again:
http://travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_4177.html
the bulletin is online again:
http://travel.state.gov/visa/frvi/bulletin/bulletin_4177.html
I don't think the USCIS writes back acknowledging a request for category upgrade (I think that's what you are talking about). In my case I just saw a LUD on my I130 application.
Hi thera33, whats your pd. have you heard some thing from NVC. I was also thinking the same that nvc might be anticipating cutoff dates to move slowly thats why they didn't send us any thing till date.
We come only when visa bulletin is released coz we are wait for it all the month, for so many years.
PD.....July 2002.......pass through NVC looooong time ago then on to Consulate. Well it might be for different reasons that you have not heard anything. It may also be if you are doing AOS. I bet if and when your PD becomes current you will be here 24 hrs. a day, 7 days a week looking for guidance. Drop and start some dicussion people. Ask for some answers from the Visa Office in numbers.....organize something people.
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Here is what is going to happen over the next few months - my predictions for FB1.
As you can see right numbers are being slowed tke a look at FB1, FB3 and FB4 from the few last bulletins and you can see that they all move by 1 week or none for FB3 at times. Also you can see as at this bulletin FB2a the fastest of them all advanced by only 3 weeks. This quater is known for slow movements over the years.
MAY bulletin........ 01 MAR 02
JUNE bulletin....... 08 MAR 02
The last quater will be different as the Visa Office will try to make use of all visa numbers for the year.
JULY bulletin........ 08 APR 02
AUGUST bulletin.. 22 MAY 02
SEPT. bulletin..... 22 JUN 02
OCT. bulletin.......01 AUG 02.....New fiscal year start here.
NOV bulletin........01 SEP 02
DEC bulletin .......01 OCT 02 anything after 1st qt. will move only 1-3 weeks
These are estimates and can be used as a guide to know your standing.
The only thing that can throw this prediction off track is the rate of adjustment being ordered from the CIS. Dates are moving though when compared to April 22, 2001 245is that did clog FB1
And yes mermaid, this thread should be made sticky.
we all are in the same boat and no one know when a visa number would be available, but your PD should be current soon so hang on. ppl say that visa bulletin cannot be predicted, but I haven't seen some thing exceptional happening in FB1 category for a very long time, its always slow as expected with lowest of 0 per bulletin and highest of a month or slightly more per bulletin.My priority date is 22 April 02, and my dad's became a USC last year, when can i expect the visa call?
we all are in the same boat and no one know when a visa number would be available, but your PD should be current soon so hang on. ppl say that visa bulletin cannot be predicted, but I haven't seen some thing exceptional happening in FB1 category for a very long time, its always slow as expected with lowest of 0 per bulletin and highest of a month or slightly more per bulletin.
Thats true, his/her PD is not far away, but as we all know Visa Bulletin is full of uncertainties. Remember April 22, 2001 for FB1 cut off date did'nt move for over a year although that was a different senario. FB3 is approching that date and we expecting them to be in for a long wait also.
From the middle of last was'nt bad at all for FB1, lets wait and see if this year will bring the same. But all I can say it is really fustrating for FB1 fliers.
Thanks to the Moderators for making this thread sticky.
Thats true, his/her PD is not far away, but as we all know Visa Bulletin is full of uncertainties. Remember April 22, 2001 for FB1 cut off date did'nt move for over a year although that was a different senario. FB3 is approching that date and we expecting them to be in for a long wait also.
From the middle of last was'nt bad at all for FB1, lets wait and see if this year will bring the same. But all I can say it is really fustrating for FB1 fliers.
Thanks to the Moderators for making this thread sticky.
Oh man...that "April 22, 2001" date still gives me nightmares. Please never mention it here again. *shrugs*
ULTRON
You are right, the original deadline for 245i was 1997 and then it was extended to April 2001, but that concession was not give untill Dec 2000, so most 245i applicants are those who might be present in 1997 and onwards, but filed I-130's between Dec 2000 to April 2001 and their PD's are in the same time period. This is the time period where we can expect max applications.Hi All,
I came up with a possible theory for the slow movement of the FB4 visa bulletin dates
If you noticed, the original deadline for 245i was Sept 1997 before it got extended. And since the current FB4 date is so close to the deadline, it is safe to assume that a lot of applications were filed around that time, so it makes sense that the current FB4 date has been moving very slowly these past few months and even remained stagnant in february.
What do you guys think about this?
hi check out the following link.
http://thevisabulletin.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/01/uscis-naturalization-delays-chart-big.gif
You can see spikes in 245i period and in Feb 2002. We all know that 245i period is gone, but for FB1 again slow movement might be due to fee increase in Feb 2002 as illustrated by graph.
yeh actually i was also trying to find statistics for I-130 esp in FB1 category, infact I remeber I saw such statistics some where, but those were showing the number of immigrant visa's issued during 2006 in each family based category, while for us a comparasion of number of applications filed in 2001 and 2002 can give us some idea of how far PD's could move. let me know if you guys can get such data.This is interesting... So it looks like FB1 should be over the Feb 19, 2002 spike. I hope this theory is correct and month per month movement resumes with the next bulletin
It would be cool to see statistics on just I130s by category.
Did you guys check the site http://thevisabulletin.com/
A guy on this site gives VB predictions. I have been trying to see for a couple of months if he really knows some thing to make good predicitons.