Quich view on AF region,
Nigeria had a 7600 jump in august VB.
So that means nigerian cases are max-out at 98%.
The only heck is egypt with only 2k jump, means that egypt is still on the race.
My September prediction:
AF: 87k, no exception for Nigeria & Egypt
EU: 46k
NA: Current
AS: Current/ Nep=9500
OC: 1750
SA: 2200
I hope that I am wrong ......
IMO it does exist (the quotas) because them selecting :Agreed,
Any idea about embassies capacities vladek?
That parameter could affect the cut-off if KCC priority is to fill a regional quota (if it exist).
GggggrrrrrrMy September prediction:
AF: 87k, no exception for Nigeria & Egypt
EU: 46k
NA: Current
AS: Current/ Nep=9500
OC: 1750
SA: 2200
I hope that I am wrong ......
Can we get an idea about this through CEAC data which will be published in the beginning of next month????Let put it this way, 16.7k is consider safe range but it can still go further if the density is lesser above 14-15k or DOS decided to put AP clearing rate less than 50%.
Can anyone guess the density of CN above 12700 in ASIA ?
My September prediction:
AF: 87k, no exception for Nigeria & Egypt
EU: 46k
NA: Current
AS: Current/ Nep=9500
OC: 1750
SA: 2200
I hope that I am wrong ......
Scary to Af with huge Case Numbers. What about the remaining 53K
Can we get an idea about this through CEAC data which will be published in the beginning of next month????
IMO it does exist (the quotas) because them selecting :
62k from AF
43k from EU
23k from asia ......
Implies that there is quotas to respect and work with!
Regarding the embassies capacities we have deffirent views, some say they do speed up at the last 2 months, some say its the same rythm just because there is less selectees at the end.
So seing big jumps by the the last two months might lead to deffirent intrepretations....
For all clearing APs give a huge amount of visas given.
So my self I don't on which foot to dance
Hmmm.... Possible, of course, yet the coming month is rather unpredictable and much of what we predict may or may not happen...My September prediction:
AF: 87k, no exception for Nigeria & Egypt
EU: 46k
NA: Current
AS: Current/ Nep=9500
OC: 1750
SA: 2200
I hope that I am wrong ......
IMO it does exist (the quotas) because them selecting :
62k from AF
43k from EU
23k from asia ......
Implies that there is quotas to respect and work with!
Regarding the embassies capacities we have different views, some say they do speed up at the last 2 months, some say its the same rythm just because there is less selectees at the end.
So seing big jumps by the the last two months might lead to different intrepretations....
For all clearing APs give a huge amount of visas given.
So my self I don't on which foot to dance
About the quotas Vladdy - it is clear that quotas were applied when they allocated the number of selectees per region. However, in a year where every region has too many selectees, will they cut one region off before the others (a hard stop quota) or do they just adjust they VB and let the results just happen...