LaborCleared said:hahahaha. Look at this Murthy.com's article now. While I do not have anything against their practice and their bulletin reports, all year long they claimed the use of left over IV numbers can be used by enactment of law and now all of a sudden they took time to explain how the numbers work and also came with nice article saying 101k numbers are expected to be used in final quarter of FY 2005. What a funny article. A TOTAL CONTRADICTING ARTICLE. Where the hell are ethics of reporting??
USCIS had clearly mentioned in their Jan 2005 visa bulletin that 101k numbers are available for use in FY 2005. Atleast looking at that bulletin I thought it is an open secret.
On top of it they say DOS is expected the PD will not move in either direction which I have underlined and made it bold. Well, few days back DOS official had said that to AILA then how the heck they came up with the article to say rolledover 101k numbers will be used in final quarter of FY2005? Do they mean to say that USCIS/CP has enough applications pending with them to eat up all 101k numbers+ 19% of FY 2005 numbers in just 1 final quarter with out moving the PD's beyond the ball park range where they are right now? Do you guys think it is a MILLION DOLLAR question??? Well, I think it is a LIFE WITH GREEN CARD question....
Your thoughts needed please..
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I am not a lawyer. Just a reader of this forum and above are my personal opinons only.
LaborCleared said:hahahaha. Look at this Murthy.com's article now. While I do not have anything against their practice and their bulletin reports, all year long they claimed the use of left over IV numbers can be used by enactment of law and now all of a sudden they took time to explain how the numbers work and also came with nice article saying 101k numbers are expected to be used in final quarter of FY 2005. What a funny article. A TOTAL CONTRADICTING ARTICLE. Where the hell are ethics of reporting??
USCIS had clearly mentioned in their Jan 2005 visa bulletin that 101k numbers are available for use in FY 2005. Atleast looking at that bulletin I thought it is an open secret.
On top of it they say DOS is expected the PD will not move in either direction which I have underlined and made it bold. Well, few days back DOS official had said that to AILA then how the heck they came up with the article to say rolledover 101k numbers will be used in final quarter of FY2005? Do they mean to say that USCIS/CP has enough applications pending with them to eat up all 101k numbers+ 19% of FY 2005 numbers in just 1 final quarter with out moving the PD's beyond the ball park range where they are right now? Do you guys think it is a MILLION DOLLAR question??? Well, I think it is a LIFE WITH GREEN CARD question....
Your thoughts needed please..
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I am not a lawyer. Just a reader of this forum and above are my personal opinons only.
gc_vsc said:My understanding of Visa number usage and recapture is
1. Out of the available visa for a year, each quater is alotted 27%. According to DOS they say for FY2005 , first 3 quarters used them.
I suppose the unused visa of other countries can be used by enacting a law. That is what they are proposing now to use the ones for the years 2001-2004
2. The previoulsy enacted law i.e AC21 recaptured visa's of which only 30000 was used in 2003. The remaining, according to DOS is to be used in 2005
I am confused about this remaining visa usage. are they already started using this or they going to use it in the final quarter?
If they had already started, then we might have to wait until the new law is passed to recapture visa for the year 2001-2004. If the unused Visa's from Ac21 are to be used in the final quarter, then the PD's should move atleast by a year or 2
LaborCleared said:According to the USCIS Jan 2005 bulletin, they will use the unused IV numbers from AC21 in the final quarter only. They can not use them in first 3 quarters. Any numbers carried over from past years should only be used in final quarter after that particular year's numbers are exhausted only. So I guess they still have those 101k numbers for use in final quarter of FY2005.
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I am not an attorney. Just my opinions.
gc_vsc said:LabourCleared,
Thanks for your response. After seeing the jan2005 bulletin, I do agree that the unused visa's will be used in the final quarter. Then why is DOS , according to murthydotcom had mentioned that the PD are not going to move further both ways. You know what..only DOS knows about it. Not sure how they work with these numbers.
gc_vsc
helpwithGC said:What's the BAD news from SHUSTERMAN.com??
appan said:check in shusterman.com... bad news again
http://www.murthy.com/news/n_dosebn.html
Future Projections of EB3 Retrogressions ©MurthyDotCom
For the remainder of FY2005, the DOS expects the EB3 numbers not to move much in either one direction or the other. EB1 and EB2 are not expected to retrogress during FY2005, which ends September 30, 2005.
r_sada said:Im atleast happy there is some real activity in this thread of thought which i was desparately floating 3 months before
all the points said above are valid. Dont worry abt murthy.com's views they go by the flow.
In summary my view is
1. They have not started using he 101K pool from AC 21 as they can use that only wehn annual limit is reached which means 4th quarter.
Last time they used this was on the fourth quarter if i remember right (Jul 2001)
2.Even if BEC clears up cases very quick or PERM effect we are not going to face a huge issue atleast for next 3-6 months bcos then the 140 for those applications must be cleared as well.
as i said earlier if i read the law clearly and understand it well i think it should become current in July. Worst case October (Q1) when the annual quota cycle refreshes.
We have only 45 days to go for the Q4 bulletin
Keep the Hopes up
/S
LaborCleared said:As far as I understand from DOS writeups they used 30K numbers from rolledover 131k in year 2003 but I am not sure if they used any in 2001.
Yes. they have the ability to start using those left over 101k numbers in last quarter of FY 2005 but my question is will they continue to use in 1st quarter of FY 2006 too because according to my understanding from DOS Jan 05 bulletin they can use the rolledover numbers only when annual quota has been exhausted. When you new quota starts on Oct 1, 2005 they are still left with 63% of that year numbers to use in the remaining 3 quarters, so, can they use the rolledover numbers from 101K? If they can not, my guess then is that dates will not move too much forward.
That being said, I am still hopefull that they will move forward.