so april has started and so has the monthly guessing game for the month of May. (i turn 19 on the 19th, yay!) but, september is just 5 months away, and at the end of the year we get jumps. so wht do u guys think the dates will b this time around?
Placing some hope of priority date movement to labor substitution is misguided.
As long as there is more people in pipeline (ie., 140's) then greencards which can be approved per quarter (35,000) then there is per country ceiling.
Dates do not move until eb3 world gets current. Under current system; spillovers from eb1, eb2 do not happen until fourth quarter of fiscal year. There would be movement at that point if any.
As long as there is more people going for greencard then row person in eb3 filing a labor today gets priority over the 2801 person from india/china no matter what the indian/chines person's priority date is.
I thought everyone would have understood this by now.
You have to account for their priority dates. If the banning of labor substitution gets rid of nearly all the pre-2003 labors, a million approved labors coming out of the BECs with PDs of 2003 and later cannot cause the cutoff dates to be held back in 2001 and 2002.Placing some hope of priority date movement to labor substitution is misguided.
As long as there is more people in pipeline (ie., 140's) then greencards which can be approved per quarter (35,000) then there is per country ceiling.
I am not talking about jumping forward by 4 years or anything like that. Just a movement of a few months. Get rid of the labor subbing, and EB3 India can move into early 2002 with EB3 ROW moving to early 2003 (not in one shot, but gradually over 5-6 months). It'll probably get stuck there again for some time, but the movement of a few months is meaningful for many people.If there is only 140,000 greencards but there is 500,000 non immigrants who need a greencard; it doesn't matter in the current law of how they calculate priority dates, spillover, etc, whether they ban labor substitution or not. There is just too many people going for the greencard in relationship to the numbers available. Country quota and the speed of perm labor approvals is killing the people from severely retrogressed countries. If people think banning labor substitution is going to all of a sudden jump the dates going forward; they are severely, severely mistaken.
Even if they ban on the Labor Substitution, it will take effect on the future applications. They cannot reject the 1-140/485 with labor subs that are already in process. However, this will benefit in future once the PD crosses 2003/2004.
So we cannot assume that the PD will move forward if labor subs is banned.
If a labor with an old PD is approved by the BEC, it becomes useless for labor substitution once the ban goes into effect. Only those already approved for substituting when the ban takes effect will stay alive. Or they'll have to use the labor for the original person.Even if they ban on the Labor Substitution, it will take effect on the future applications. They cannot reject the 1-140/485 with labor subs that are already in process. However, this will benefit in future once the PD crosses 2003/2004.
so april has started and so has the monthly guessing game for the month of May. (i turn 19 on the 19th, yay!) but, september is just 5 months away, and at the end of the year we get jumps. so wht do u guys think the dates will b this time around?
I read the proposal. They aren't talking about eliminating family-based green cards altogether -- only certain categories like siblings and parents. I think it's a great idea as long as the reduction of family-based green cards are directed towards increasing employment-based ones. Once you get a green card or citizenship, do you want the next wave of immigrants to be allowed in because of who they're related to, or because or how they're expected to contribute to the economy?BIJURIA: It seems as if the White House wants to throw water in your fire, by proposing that family based should be eliminated...F1, F2B, F3 and F4. therefore if they did have their way you will be out...but that idea isn't going to fly from members in their party and the democrats.
I would like anyone on this forum who have seen the white house proposal to correct me if I am wrong......do you think this is a good idea......I think it is outrageous.
I read the proposal. They aren't talking about eliminating family-based green cards altogether -- only certain categories like siblings and parents. I think it's a great idea as long as the reduction of family-based green cards are directed towards increasing employment-based ones. Once you get a green card or citizenship, do you want the next wave of immigrants to be allowed in because of who they're related to, or because or how they're expected to contribute to the economy?