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January VB numbers released!!!

atrin said:
I am not sure about DV2013 but at the moment in Ankara it is scheduled to have about 6-8 interview per day for Dec and Jan , you can find it here www.usemb-ankara.org.tr/consular/english/schedule_dv.html, and the KCC distribute selectees itself, it was happened that it changed the interview embassy to balance all.
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Well, it good to know that KCC help to evenly distribute the selectees into 3 different embassies. That's help but it still possible to have a special cut off. Let take Jan as a reference point in Ankara, it scheduled 54 interview sessions for Asia and assume all are from Iran. So 54 x 3 = 162 and assume the ratio of principal to derivative is 1:1. It mean it can takes up to 324 selectees per month. In Asia normally it will go at 800 interview session per month, if half of it is from Iran, then DOS have to decide whether to have a special cut off or not. I am assuming there is high density from Iran between 3000 to 10000 case # which we get those info from this forum. So I would say if the density is really high then chances of having a special cut off is high too. In fact, when special cut off in place it make not different for Iran because it still goes with the logic of available interview slots each month.
 
My dear friend Britsimon :)

How do you know how many selectees are for each region? Or better off, how many selectees are for SA region? do you know? I really don't know why I want to know, but I do.

Keep doing the great job you do and... Guys, this thread it's absolutely hilarious!!!

You all rock! (well, all but the ones that barf and try to bully but get bullied!)
 
Veronice said:
My dear friend Britsimon :)

How do you know how many selectees are for each region? Or better off, how many selectees are for SA region? do you know? I really don't know why I want to know, but I do.

Keep doing the great job you do and... Guys, this thread it's absolutely hilarious!!!

You all rock! (well, all but the ones that barf and try to bully but get bullied!)
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Hola Veronice,

There are some good statistics on this page:-
http://travel.state.gov/visa/immigrants/types/types_1322.html

The one you are wanting is the 2014 selectees which is here

http://travel.state.gov/visa/immigrants/types/types_6188.html

Oh and in case you want to add them up - I already did:-

AF - 61942
EU - 46589
AS - 23270
OC - 4215
SA - 4620
 
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my friend I m new 2 this forum, Is there any quota for each regions? If yes, what is the tentative range of quota for AS they are gonna provide?
 
supreme dhakal said:
my friend I m new 2 this forum, Is there any quota for each regions? If yes, what is the tentative range of quota for AS they are gonna provide?
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They don't publish the quota up front - and there isn't any official quota as such. However, you could get an idea from the split of selectees - IF all regions moved ahead at the same rate that is the split we would end up with. However, that doesn't quite work because as you can see currently, EU seems to be progressing through its selectees faster than other regions.
 
Hello Britsimon! You are the best!!! Thank you!
I'm here, trying to find some hope and you delivered... I mean, if there are more than 4600 selectees in SA... I'M IN THE BOTTOM 50%... I should not be so scared, right?
Thank youuuuuuu :D
 
Veronice said:
Hello Britsimon! You are the best!!! Thank you!
I'm here, trying to find some hope and you delivered... I mean, if there are more than 4600 selectees in SA... I'M IN THE BOTTOM 50%... I should not be so scared, right?
Thank youuuuuuu :D
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That is EXACTLY right. Your number is golden.

The selectee number includes derivatives by the way - but the max case number must be higher than 6k.
 
Thanks Britsimon for your fruitful analysis. We have more than 23k selectee with derivatives from Asia, but the pace of vb cutoff is the speed of turtle. We have wasted our time for this minimal vb cutoff disappointing every month!!! if this equation exist in upcoming days, will the 50% selectee from AS gotta fulfill our dream? Among them, my merit number lies in middle AS 12***.....but still have a hope because I m in the bottom 50%. m I right or wrong? I am expecting your logical reply!!!
 
vladek15425 said:
Thanks my friend
But it seems to me that ankara and warsaw are the only ambassies that's buplishing this !!!?
Any other link?
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You`re welcome. As far as i know Raevsky said that only 5 embassies publishing visia appointment schedule.

Cairo - http://egypt.usembassy.gov/consular/iv8.html
Phenom Penh - http://cambodia.usembassy.gov/scheduled_appointments.html
Bangkok - http://bangkok.usembassy.gov/immigrant_visas/scheduled-appointments.html
Ankara - http://turkey.usembassy.gov/interview_schedule.html
Warsaw - http://poland.usembassy.gov/poland/appointment.html
 
Total selectee: AF-61942,EU-46589,AS-23270,OC-4215,SA-4620
VB released (Feb): AF-21759,EU-16700,AS-3700,OC-650,SA-850
While analysis these two rows, it seems that the cutoff for AF and EU are nearly one third of the total selectee but why is this for AS?
 
supreme dhakal said:
Thanks Britsimon for your fruitful analysis. We have more than 23k selectee with derivatives from Asia, but the pace of vb cutoff is the speed of turtle. We have wasted our time for this minimal vb cutoff disappointing every month!!! if this equation exist in upcoming days, will the 50% selectee from AS gotta fulfill our dream? Among them, my merit number lies in middle AS 12***.....but still have a hope because I m in the bottom 50%. m I right or wrong? I am expecting your logical reply!!!
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Yes, you are still very much in with a solid chance. Despite the slow progress so far I still expect to see Asia reach high teens (17/18).
 
supreme dhakal said:
Total selectee: AF-61942,EU-46589,AS-23270,OC-4215,SA-4620
VB released (Feb): AF-21759,EU-16700,AS-3700,OC-650,SA-850
While analysis these two rows, it seems that the cutoff for AF and EU are nearly one third of the total selectee but why is this for AS?
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You're confusing the number of selectees with the case numbers. That is, you are comparing for example AF21759 (case number) to the number of selections and not to the case numbers, which seem somewhere north of AF110xxx. Alternatively look at it that that AF case number does not mean 21xxx visas are already available because a lot of the numbers included up to that CN will be "holes".
 
Britsimon, thank you very much for the info. When do you think AF81*** would be current based on this year VB progress?

Thank you
 
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