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February 2015 Visa Bulletin Published

I think it must be the effect of the DS260's coming through - in reality the numbers were "ahead" of where they should have been...
 
Is the effect of the DS260's the late submissions? or what is it? Can someone please clarify and explain it as clear as possible, please? Thanks.
 
Simon, this is a better number for OC than the last couple of bulletins.

Is it wrong that I'm marginally excited by the jump? ;)
 
Yeah, 950 would have meant me going current which would have a been a 'hell yeah' moment.

But a 100 jump is better than the 50 and 75 we've had in the last two bulletins. I hope this means they are catching up.
 
EmilyW said:
Simon, this is a better number for OC than the last couple of bulletins.

Is it wrong that I'm marginally excited by the jump? ;)
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Ahhh the joy and torture of the monthly VB. I spent a lot of time last year waiting for them and trying to understand the end game based on the monthly progression. In reality I think you can't judge too much from the one month progress - it can speed up and slow down to achieve what they want to achieve. It is still the end number that counts - and for any individual - it is their own number that they will look at....
 
It is great jump for Ethiopia and Egypt relative to the whole Africa.
Egypt: 15,700 (Last month 12,000)
Ethiopia: 18,900 (Last month 15,500)
 
is this a bad sign for AF? Will this slow jump effect the final numbers, or do you think it'll speed up?
 
TTP said:
is this a bad sign for AF? Will this slow jump effect the final numbers, or do you think it'll speed up?
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VBs can slow down and speed up. I reality they have a pace they want to achieve for interviews and visas issued - it's like a funnel - they know they have to put in X number of cases into the funnel to get Y visas issued. They can increase the VB at different rates to make sure they have enough "uninterviewed but DS260 processed" cases to put in the top of the funnel. Since the DS260s are being processed for cases already current - those cases can now be put in the top of the funnel. So - they don't have to open up that many new numbers in the VB to get that raw material.

Hope that makes sense.
 
Generally visa numbers for AF, EU, and SA are ahead than those of the same period last year. This might be one of the consequences of the DS-260 fiasco. AS and OC are almost at the same pace as the same period last year. Special cut off countries (Egypt and Ethiopia) are behind compared to the same period last year!
 
Sammy967 said:
Generally visa numbers for AF, EU, and SA are ahead than those of the same period last year. This might be one of the consequences of the DS-260 fiasco. AS and OC are almost at the same pace as the same period last year. Special cut off countries (Egypt and Ethiopia) are behind compared to the same period last year!
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Good summary.

1. Yes I am sure the DS260 fiasco has meant they have gone faster than they wanted/needed and we therefore will have a pullback.
2. Egypt and Ethiopia need to go slower because the AF density is higher.
3. AS already saw a pullback and their pace should be in line with last year since the number will finish around the same level (maybe a bit less).
4. OC is almost too small to tell us anything. They can have a 25/50 increase month and it would pretty much go unnoticed.
 
Britsimon said:
Good summary.

1. Yes I am sure the DS260 fiasco has meant they have gone faster than they wanted/needed and we therefore will have a pullback.
2. Egypt and Ethiopia need to go slower because the AF density is higher.
3. AS already saw a pullback and their pace should be in line with last year since the number will finish around the same level (maybe a bit less).
4. OC is almost too small to tell us anything. They can have a 25/50 increase month and it would pretty much go unnoticed.
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Agreed! Interesting how the Egypt/Ethiopia cut offs confirm the density analysis you posted earlier! Asia started way ahead this year so, it's no surprise to see such a pullback!
 
Well this makes me current
ASIA – 4300

I submitted my DS260 today
Any idea when my interview will be?The DS260 backlog makes things hard to predict
 
Darkn said:
Well this makes me current
ASIA – 4300

I submitted my DS260 today
Any idea when my interview will be?The DS260 backlog makes things hard to predict
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Your form will probably take at least 2 to 3 months to process - so you can expect to have an interview around July or August.
 
Britsimon said:
Your form will probably take at least 2 to 3 months to process - so you can expect to have an interview around July or August.
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Ouch
I may run the risk of there not being enough visas?
Whats the purpose of increasing the numbers each month if they take so long to clear the log?lol

This means i should get my 2NL sometime in may?
 
Darkn said:
Ouch
I may run the risk of there not being enough visas?
Whats the purpose of increasing the numbers each month if they take so long to clear the log?lol

This means i should get my 2NL sometime in may?
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No there should still be visas. It starts to get a bit sticky in late August.
 
Britsimon said:
Ahhh the joy and torture of the monthly VB. I spent a lot of time last year waiting for them and trying to understand the end game based on the monthly progression. In reality I think you can't judge too much from the one month progress - it can speed up and slow down to achieve what they want to achieve. It is still the end number that counts - and for any individual - it is their own number that they will look at....
Click to expand...
What was your area of chargeability and your CN last year Simon- if it is no secret?
 
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