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DV 2021 ALL SELECTEES

I'm on O-1 visa and I was planning to go with CP because my CN isn't so early. But looks like they aren't scheduling interviews much, does it better to change to AOS now, or is AOS not processing also? CN is AS12k and I sent DS260 and additional documents.
 
PhantomHigh said:
Just moved my interview location from Moscow which is currently operating at %25 capacity, to Cairo which has 6002 selectees (O.O)

Goh v. Blinken is my last hope.
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Yup. Due to the pandemic issue I understand that joining the lawsuit or not may be the key of obtaining my green card.
But still I do not expect such bad situation
 
Takeshi69 said:
I'm on O-1 visa and I was planning to go with CP because my CN isn't so early. But looks like they aren't scheduling interviews much, does it better to change to AOS now, or is AOS not processing also? CN is AS12k and I sent DS260 and additional documents.
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If you are already in the US imo it makes total sense to AOS, all numbers are current from June (other than a few countries). There is a separate AOS thread with a very informative spreadsheet in the first post. Please post any follow up AOS questions in that thread.
 
Guys, just FYI, London, UK has just announced that they would start processing DV cases.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1388543739216470017

It makes sense with what we were talking about yesterday. Now, they won't process a LOT of cases and it will only be beneficial to embassies/consulates with a low number of immigrant visas. (And I am talking about less than 500 DV winners per year here)

I am expecting Paris or Montreal to follow suit.
 
wowongng said:
Yup. Due to the pandemic issue I understand that joining the lawsuit or not may be the key of obtaining my green card.
But still I do not expect such bad situation
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I actually expect the situation to be only getting worse.
Around 12k selectees are DQ.
With the current pace, KCC and Consulates, following DoS priority guidelines, will only be able to adjudicate less than 12k selectees until the end of FY2021.
Therefore, unless we win in court, nothing will happen and only those who are DQ right now will have the best chance of getting an interview before the end of year.
 
PhantomHigh said:
I actually expect the situation to be only getting worse.
Around 12k selectees are DQ.
With the current pace, KCC and Consulates, following DoS priority guidelines, will only be able to adjudicate less than 12k selectees until the end of FY2021.
Therefore, unless we win in court, nothing will happen and only those who are DQ right now will have the best chance of getting an interview before the end of year.
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Why is your number of DQ only half of what xarthisius reported?
 
puda said:
Guys, just FYI, London, UK has just announced that they would start processing DV cases.
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London embassy did no such thing. There's just one case in CEAC that's assigned to that embassy. It might have happened due to multiple reasons. It does *not* imply that London embassy will start processing DV visas in bulk. That actually applies to a lot of embassies that account you quoted claims to be "operating normally".
Unless of course you can point me to a page on https://uk.usembassy.gov/ and prove me wrong...
 
tinoproductions said:
Wow, woke up to a lot of activity on here, and high emotions it seems.
So is this news to people that DV isn't a priority visa?
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To the extent that they are getting pushed right to the back of the line for the remainder of the fiscal year? Yes actually, especially after the concerted effort many embassies went to to go all out and issue a boatload in September last year. I thought that at the least they would issue “normal” allocations to DV, not well below normal.
 
puda said:
Guys, just FYI, London, UK has just announced that they would start processing DV cases.

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1388543739216470017

It makes sense with what we were talking about yesterday. Now, they won't process a LOT of cases and it will only be beneficial to embassies/consulates with a low number of immigrant visas. (And I am talking about less than 500 DV winners per year here)

I am expecting Paris or Montreal to follow suit.
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I think that Twitter feed posts some real nonsense in interpretation btw. Just my humble opinion.
 
Xarthisius said:
London embassy did no such thing. There's just one case in CEAC that's assigned to that embassy. It might have happened due to multiple reasons. It does *not* imply that London embassy will start processing DV visas in bulk. That actually applies to a lot of embassies that account you quoted claims to be "operating normally".
Unless of course you can point me to a page on https://uk.usembassy.gov/ and prove me wrong...
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Sorry, no, they definitely won’t process visas in bulk but that embassy *finally* accepting 1 case is still a somehow a positive trend. Considering that they have a low number of DV selectees + immigrant visas overall, they might be able to process all of them.

I must admit that I only look at the data from that Twitter account and don’t even look at the “operating normally” nonsense. In fact, I didn’t even know they were claiming that!

I am going to add that a lot of the nonsense also comes from the lawyers... who barely even know what’s going on. Just my opinion of course. When you get them to say that thanks to their lawsuit, one of their plaintiff got their visa approved... ugh, what? It was under normal processing. Thankfully a lot of users call them out on their bs.
 
puda said:
Sorry, no, they definitely won’t process visas in bulk but that embassy *finally* accepting 1 case is still a somehow a positive trend. Considering that they have a low number of DV selectees + immigrant visas overall, they might be able to process all of them.

I must admit that I only look at the data from that Twitter account and don’t even look at the “operating normally” nonsense. In fact, I didn’t even know they were claiming that!

I am going to add that a lot of the nonsense also comes from the lawyers... who barely even know what’s going on. Just my opinion of course. When you get them to say that thanks to their lawsuit, one of their plaintiff got their visa approved... ugh, what? It was under normal processing. Thankfully a lot of users call them out on their bs.
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Hm re operating normally (whatever that means in a COVID world) if you look at pre-pandemic numbers (fy19), London seemed to issue an average of somewhere in the teens of DVs (total visas not cases) per month - anywhere from single digits to around 20. Montreal looked similar. Total IV issuances out of these posts in FY19 and the preceding few years was around 4K for London and 4.5-5.5k for Montreal. Without doing a detailed breakdown most of those will be some sort of family category and therefore have preference under the new system. Then again slotting in say 15 DV visas a month could be both “normal” DV wise for these consulates and still align with the priority system. So who knows how they’ll approach it. The more serious issues are going to be at the middle eastern, African, Easter European consulates that issue both a significant amount of IVs and DVs a year, some of which are still not even open.
 
SusieQQQ said:
Hm re operating normally (whatever that means in a COVID world) if you look at pre-pandemic numbers (fy19), London seemed to issue an average of somewhere in the teens of DVs (total visas not cases) per month - anywhere from single digits to around 20. Montreal looked similar. Total IV issuances out of these posts in FY19 and the preceding few years was around 4K for London and 4.5-5.5k for Montreal. Without doing a detailed breakdown most of those will be some sort of family category and therefore have preference under the new system. Then again slotting in say 15 DV visas a month could be both “normal” DV wise for these consulates and still align with the priority system. So who knows how they’ll approach it. The more serious issues are going to be at the middle eastern, African, Easter European consulates that issue both a significant amount of IVs and DVs a year, some of which are still not even open.
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I have seen data for Yerevan embassy... it was scheduling about 250 interviews in every month(2020) and now it scheduled only 12 cases in April and then nothing. That really hurts:confused:
 
niafara said:
I have seen data for Yerevan embassy... it was scheduling about 250 interviews in every month(2020) and now it scheduled only 12 cases in April and then nothing. That really hurts:confused:
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Yes, and to be fair, I wouldn’t expect more than that with the new tiers in place. Again, it will be only beneficial to certain consulates.
 
Hello! I hope you are all doing good.
I have a question.
I live in country B but I come from country A. I have gathered all my docs and already sent them 2 months ago. If I go back to my home country for vacation (not more than 15 days), do I need a new police certificate from country A for my interview (if I will ever get an interview date ofc) ?
Thank you in advance and best of luck to everyone in this unusual year!
 
enteladv2021 said:
Hello! I hope you are all doing good.
I have a question.
I live in country B but I come from country A. I have gathered all my docs and already sent them 2 months ago. If I go back to my home country for vacation (not more than 15 days), do I need a new police certificate from country A for my interview (if I will ever get an interview date ofc) ?
Thank you in advance and best of luck to everyone in this unusual year!
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No
 
Could pl some
SusieQQQ said:
my possibly flawed understanding was that scheduling is largely complete before the VB is released, so most of it for June interviews should have been done before the 9th. Why those 2 weeks? surely a whole month is more representatIve of a cycle in KCC’s (or NVC’s) life? I don’t understand the time frame. If we want to be critical then we need more data.

It is nevertheless pleasing to me to know that despite the ban having gone on for nearly half the fiscal year, we have almost half of available DV visas DQ for the year already with 5 months still to go. Especially bearing in mind that judging from posts here some of those DQ cases required 6 or 7 sets of docs sent (and opened and read and looked at by) KCC. I guess it’s all dependent on your perspective.
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