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DV 2015 AOS Only

drbrown said:
FYI Jan 15 cutoff numbers are out
EU is higher than I had expected:

AFRICA 21,000 Except:
Egypt: 9,000
Ethiopia: 12,000
ASIA 3,250
EUROPE 16,000
NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS) 3
OCEANIA 700
SOUTH AMERICA,
and the CARIBBEAN 825
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Wow... judging from this I might become current in February? My number is EU19***
 
Sm1smom said:
I wouldn't even entertain the thoughts of CP if I was in your shoes considering the delay you stated you experienced with getting your E-2 visa approved. However if you're okay with the possibility of being placed on AP which means not being able to come back to the U.S. for possibly some months or however long the AP takes to get resolved, then go the CP route.
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Thank you so much Sm1smom and Britsimon for your answers. I forgot to mention that we live in New York city. Based on the DV 2014 and DV 2013 timeline from your excel files I noticed that on average NY office takes 3 months from the reception date of the package to CPO. However in some cases it took around 4 months. So assuming we apply around April 10th (our number is AF46XXX) as it would have been possible with DV 2014 cutoff it makes a CPO around august 10th (assuming 4 month of processing time) which may put us in a danger zone what do you think? If for any reason the cutoff numbers are less in our advantage this year and we can only apply 1 month later things could be even worse. Maybe there is a flaw in my reasoning so please tell me what you think.
Sm1smom I do agree that if we are AP for months it would be a huge problem if we process through CP. However we are ready to take this risk if our chance to get a green card (after taking into account the possibly higher processing time with CP in case of AP compared to AOS) are still significantly higher than through AOS. If it is not the case then of course we clearly prefer to do AOS.
Sorry to bother you with nearly the same question but you both seemed very confident about the fact that in our case AOS would be better than CP. So I just try to ensure that forgetting to mention we would rely on NY office has no effect on your opinion.
Thank you again for all your support.
 
Karimm said:
Thank you so much Sm1smom and Britsimon for your answers. I forgot to mention that we live in New York city. Based on the DV 2014 and DV 2013 timeline from your excel files I noticed that on average NY office takes 3 months from the reception date of the package to CPO. However in some cases it took around 4 months. So assuming we apply around April 10th (our number is AF46XXX) as it would have been possible with DV 2014 cutoff it makes a CPO around august 10th (assuming 4 month of processing time) which may put us in a danger zone what do you think? If for any reason the cutoff numbers are less in our advantage this year and we can only apply 1 month later things could be even worse. Maybe there is a flaw in my reasoning so please tell me what you think.
Sm1smom I do agree that if we are AP for months it would be a huge problem if we process through CP. However we are ready to take this risk if our chance to get a green card (after taking into account the possibly higher processing time with CP in case of AP compared to AOS) are still significantly higher than through AOS. If it is not the case then of course we clearly prefer to do AOS.
Sorry to bother you with nearly the same question but you both seemed very confident about the fact that in our case AOS would be better than CP. So I just try to ensure that forgetting to mention we would rely on NY office has no effect on your opinion.
Thank you again for all your support.
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A
o
S
!
 
For Egypt the VB 9,000 it seems better than before but still slow. Any expectation for the cn 25xxx AOS.
I understand they selected 125,000 cn from all the world and mine is 25xxx, is that mean my CN is among the 125,000 or 125,000 from each region ?I confused and I Raad a lot but still didn't understand that .
How many person or CN grom Egypt under this 9,000?

In all ways God is good and He is on control.
Thanks for sharing your experience. Bless you all
 
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Karimm said:
Thank you so much Sm1smom and Britsimon for your answers. I forgot to mention that we live in New York city. Based on the DV 2014 and DV 2013 timeline from your excel files I noticed that on average NY office takes 3 months from the reception date of the package to CPO. However in some cases it took around 4 months. So assuming we apply around April 10th (our number is AF46XXX) as it would have been possible with DV 2014 cutoff it makes a CPO around august 10th (assuming 4 month of processing time) which may put us in a danger zone what do you think? If for any reason the cutoff numbers are less in our advantage this year and we can only apply 1 month later things could be even worse. Maybe there is a flaw in my reasoning so please tell me what you think.
Sm1smom I do agree that if we are AP for months it would be a huge problem if we process through CP. However we are ready to take this risk if our chance to get a green card (after taking into account the possibly higher processing time with CP in case of AP compared to AOS) are still significantly higher than through AOS. If it is not the case then of course we clearly prefer to do AOS.
Sorry to bother you with nearly the same question but you both seemed very confident about the fact that in our case AOS would be better than CP. So I just try to ensure that forgetting to mention we would rely on NY office has no effect on your opinion.
Thank you again for all your support.
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I see no reason why a DV petition sent in May will not complete processing by the end of the FY regardless of the FO. However this is your case, your call. So do what your guts tells you!
 
Thank you, we feel more comfortable! So mom you mean that even if our case is completely processed only in september it is very likely there will still be a visa number available for us ?
 
Karimm said:
Thank you, we feel more comfortable! So mom you mean that even if our case is completely processed only in september it is very likely there will still be a visa number available for us ?
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Understandable that you want reassurance but as Simon mentioned there were people who became current later in the year than you are expecting to and still got processed for the previous FY. So it is really just as mom said, what you feel is right go with that.
 
Karimm said:
Thank you, we feel more comfortable! So mom you mean that even if our case is completely processed only in september it is very likely there will still be a visa number available for us ?
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I can't give you the 100% certainty or guarantee that you're seeking, but you can go over some of the past AOS threads and make your own call.
 
Sm1smom said:
Yep, I understand your reluctance to trust them, but at the end of the day all communication from USCIS up to and including your GC will be delivered by USPS like Susie noted above.
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Thanks mom, I should probably get a PO Box. Do they deliver to PO Boxes?
 
ArminJason said:
Thanks mom, I should probably get a PO Box. Do they deliver to PO Boxes?
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No.
But hey, millions of other people have actually had their green cards delivered. Most of them with no problem! Problems arise when (1) old address is used (2) you use an apartemnt that doesn't have your name on the postbox.
 
Sm1smom said:
I can't give you the 100% certainty or guarantee that you're seeking, but you can go over some of the past AOS threads and make your own call.
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Thank you.
I will stick to AOS !
I was also wondering, if I am still in AP after the end of the fiscal year can my wife (the lottery winner) still be issued a green card ?
 
Karimm said:
Thank you.
I will stick to AOS !
I was also wondering, if I am still in AP after the end of the fiscal year can my wife (the lottery winner) still be issued a green card ?
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No. Once the fiscal year is over no more GCs will be granted.
 
Britsimon said:
No. Once the fiscal year is over no more GCs will be granted.
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No what I meant is if the person who won the lottery processed AOS on time but her husband is stucked in AP, will they still grant a green card to the lottery winner or it can only be 2 green cards or 0 but not just one for the primary applicant ?
 
Karimm said:
No what I meant is if the person who won the lottery processed AOS on time but her husband is stucked in AP, will they still grant a green card to the lottery winner or it can only be 2 green cards or 0 but not just one for the primary applicant ?
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Assuming this works like CP in this instance and I don't see why it shouldn't, yes the principal can get while a derivative is denied.
 
Karimm said:
Thank you.
I will stick to AOS !
I was also wondering, if I am still in AP after the end of the fiscal year can my wife (the lottery winner) still be issued a green card ?
Click to expand...

Your wife, as the PA will be issued with her own GC if she clears background check on her own even if you remain in AP.
 
Hello everyone,
I was wondering if you have a list of the documents that might be needed for interview day? I am trying to gather all of them in a file. Please let me know if you have any other suggestions.
 
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