Britsimon
Super Moderator
The highest number shown in CEAC for 2013 AF was 97005. Since we know that CEAC data is incomplete, it is possible that numbers went a bit higher than that.
DV 2014 Kenyan Selectees Report here
- Thread starter Guriix
- Start date
- Status
The highest number shown in CEAC for 2013 AF was 97005. Since we know that CEAC data is incomplete, it is possible that numbers went a bit higher than that.
rogers.com
Registered Users (C)
Maybe what next predictions for may yu guess will be Simon and since now Ethiopia is included in AF cut off is going to affect the whole thing to do with AF bulletin.
Britsimon
Super Moderator
The countries with very high numbers of entries (and therefore restricted number of selectees) occupy a disproportionate number of the early cases. In AF those countries are Ethiopia, Nigeria, Egypt and Ghana. At some point in the case numbers each of those countries will have few or no selectees left - and there will be a greater number of gaps (holes) because these countries had large numbers of selectees disqualified from the process to be fair to other countries.
SO, once any of those countries have worked through the majority of their case numbers, the AF numbers will start to accelerate on the visa bulletin. We could (should) see 10k to 15k monthly increases. Ethiopia seems to have numbers up to mid 30's (and at least one member at 50k) but in general those countries should be exhausted by 30/35k. That acceleration of visa bulletins will start therefore perhaps in the May interviews (April bulletin which will be publish in March), but certainly by June (May bulletin, published in April).
So - I think the next VB will have AF around 40K and the one after that could be around 55k (then 15k jumps each month after that - i.e. July and August). That means we will be around 85K in August and September will be whatever they can squeeze in to the remaining visas. These are all rough guesses of course - we will only be able to predict accurately as the VBs are closer.
S
Skache
Guest
Statistics indicate that nairobi embassy has 4252 people registered for dv2014. So, does this number include the derivatives? Since nairobi embassy takes care of Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda and Somalia should we (by we I mean those with high cns) still have hope? Assuming that every country has an equal number from the total number, which is 1066, the implication is that none of the 4 countries will use all of its quota (3500 visas). If my assumptions are correct then the only issue we are dealing with is time and the KCC making those numbers move quickly.
Britsimon, SussieQQ, anyone... indulge me.
Britsimon, SussieQQ, anyone... indulge me.
Last edited by a moderator:
Skache Nairobi no longer takes care of Ethiopian visas...if you go to the Ethiopian thread you can read through the interview experiences.
S
Skache
Guest
Ok. Now I know.
Mushy_hot
Registered Users (C)
well now we can only guess what number will become current in next VB, but what i know is if God has chosen me amongst winner then i will definitely get visa..... moreover my friend Rasia told me that tomorrow she is going to give her interview but she met a couple during her medicals, they were DV winners too but interestingly their CN was 45, not 45k, just 45, they sent their forms at May and got interview in Feb, i don't understand how DV approaches winners, someone with CN 45 is getting interview date in Feb
rogers.com
Registered Users (C)
Thank yu simon this z becoming interesting every minute I was just checking closely that 2010 and 2014 there s alot of similarity Simon what do yu have say?
Mushy_hot from past records, Africa always becomes current in September so don't give up. Just make sure you are ready. It is not possible to have an interview with a CN of 45,000 when the cutoff is just 30,000. That is not possible. Probably their CN is 4,500. That is just not possible.
Well Rogers the major difference with the previous DVs is that they selected 125,000 selectees. Of these you can not tell for certain how many are from African region. You can even compare with previous years (see link below).
http://www.dv-info.site40.net/
ARNOLD NGANDA
Registered Users (C)
Suzy-Q,
Has this happened before - when like us in the 70s dont ever get to face the CO?
Arnold.
ARNOLD NGANDA
Registered Users (C)
Aleki,
I swear the VB is slow by 3,500 - last year it was 33,500. I wonder y this is the case yet we are half way already Counting from October '13...April is the 7th month...Trust me all we need is to appreciate the fact that we shall all be current one day and meet at the other side of the sea.
Arnold.
I swear the VB is slow by 3,500 - last year it was 33,500. I wonder y this is the case yet we are half way already Counting from October '13...April is the 7th month...Trust me all we need is to appreciate the fact that we shall all be current one day and meet at the other side of the sea.
Arnold.
utamaduni
Active Member
Thanks
Thanx Akello for the concern, I have been nursing injuries and bruises on my pocket after the kicks, blows from the Njaa-nuary month, Plus the blazing sun here at the coast seems to have been added extra logs of firewood and several gunias of charcoal Lol. But I am good though.....let me catch up with what i have missed so far.
Thanx Akello for the concern, I have been nursing injuries and bruises on my pocket after the kicks, blows from the Njaa-nuary month, Plus the blazing sun here at the coast seems to have been added extra logs of firewood and several gunias of charcoal Lol. But I am good though.....let me catch up with what i have missed so far.
ARNOLD NGANDA
Registered Users (C)
Aleki,
I swear the VB is slow by 3,500 - last year it was 33,500. I wonder y this is the case yet we are half way already Counting from October '13...April is the 7th month...Trust me all we need is to appreciate the fact that we shall all be current one day and meet at the other side of the sea.
Arnold.
I swear the VB is slow by 3,500 - last year it was 33,500. I wonder y this is the case yet we are half way already Counting from October '13...April is the 7th month...Trust me all we need is to appreciate the fact that we shall all be current one day and meet at the other side of the sea.
Arnold.
utamaduni
Active Member
My Heart goes to You Nairobba, I am deeply saddened by the news about your bro, no one can prepare you for a loss; it comes like a swift wind. But take comfort in knowing that he is now resting in the arms of our Lord. My deepest condolences to you and your family....Bro it shall be well with you as you also prepare for your departure!!! take heart we stand with you in prayer!!!! God bless
Mushy_hot
Registered Users (C)
its not 45k Its just 45 2014AF00045, now imagine that number has got interview date in Feb
Ok I get it...you friend must have sent his/her forms rather late...KCC processes theses forms as they come in. So if you send your forms late, they get processed late...so if you have a CN of say 100 and you send your forms today you will only get a 2NL once the forms have been received and processed.
Well one of the reasons is that Ethiopia has had its cutoff rather close to that of the rest of Africa. The number of applicants from that part of the region is rather high. Also Ghana contributes high number of applicants as well. But again we should eventually become current by August and/or September. I am optimistic
SusieQQQ
Well-Known Member
Interestingly comes up as a hole if you look at CEAC tracker...
utamaduni
Active Member
Congrats
Congrats Danny, We thank God as he has done another miracle in our midst. We cherish and use your victorious story to strengthen us on our journey to meeting the CO. All the best as you pack up you suite cases for the greener pastures across the Atlantic. God bless cheers.......
Congrats Danny, We thank God as he has done another miracle in our midst. We cherish and use your victorious story to strengthen us on our journey to meeting the CO. All the best as you pack up you suite cases for the greener pastures across the Atlantic. God bless cheers.......
- Status