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Dv 2014 european winers here

britsimon said:
Flattery will get you everywhere! LOL

OK - here is a simplistic (VERY simplistic) way of looking at your number in relation to the global count.

Let's say your number is AF70000. We know the max number for AF is ~116000 so your number is in the first 60% of AF numbers (70000/116000*100 = 60.3%). If you take the 140000 number of selectees you could compare your AF raking to that and say that you are in the top 60% of global numbers i.e. 84000 (60% of 140k). They increased the selectee count to 140k this year to be SURE they will fill the global quota of 50k visas, since previous years did not fill with around 105k selectees. Therefore the global quota will be hit somewhere between the 105k and 140k. You are below that 105k lower limit, so my simplistic method says you are sitting pretty and can be sure to get an interview.

I should say there are better more complicated ways to look at this so I can't be sure - but it "feels" logical...
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Simplistic lollollol
 
Ow_jeih said:
Oh man, so my current number of 2014EU00049*** is quite high :(
I really hope to hear something and have the interview, since I just returned from California and boy I want to do this!
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I lived in California for many years. Where in California did you go? What did you see and what did you like there? I'm very curious and maybe I can recommend a city for you to live based on your interests.
 
second notification letter

Can someone tell me when the 2NL will be sent. I am current for January interview, but now more than 5 days since the bulletin was released.
 
Dani ko said:
Can someone tell me when the 2NL will be sent. I am current for January interview, but now more than 5 days since the bulletin was released.
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If you sent your forms in late (say after July), that will have caused a delay. If your country has a special cutoff then you may not be current. If on the other hand those things are not true and you are current then you should hear within a few days.
 
Hi everyone !

What do jou think for visa bulletin January 2013. What are your predictions ?

I think 17000 ...

Your opinion ?
 
Elona said:
Hi everyone !

What do jou think for visa bulletin January 2013. What are your predictions ?

I think 17000 ...

Your opinion ?
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january visa bulletn is 13200, you probably think about february...i personaly dont think it will go that high, maybe 15000 - 15500. it would be to big jump from january, in march and april we could expect a big jump in numbers (my opinion).
 
johnny_nyc said:
january visa bulletn is 13200, you probably think about february...i personaly dont think it will go that high, maybe 15000 - 15500. it would be to big jump from january, in march and april we could expect a big jump in numbers (my opinion).
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I agree with Elona, my guess 17,000 for February, with a range being 16,000-18,000. I believe there will be a pop after January's weak numbers.
 
my CN EU00035XXX

Hello,
My CN is EU00035XXX, I was happy to find out that I am selected, but when it is clear that the CN is quite high was a bit disappointed, but still trying to be positive. My question is after I send the documents to KCC in late May I have not received any further communication or confirmation from them, is this ok? or I should just expect the email confirmation if the CN become current and interview is scheduled?
Thank you for any feedback on that...
 
LSIMsen said:
Hello,
My CN is EU00035XXX, I was happy to find out that I am selected, but when it is clear that the CN is quite high was a bit disappointed, but still trying to be positive. My question is after I send the documents to KCC in late May I have not received any further communication or confirmation from them, is this ok? or I should just expect the email confirmation if the CN become current and interview is scheduled?
Thank you for any feedback on that...
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Yes it is normal not to hear anything after you send your forms in, until you get the 2NL email. Don't worry about your number - you are well within the range of numbers that I consider to be safe. I would be VERY surprised if the cutoff hit EU lower than 40k.
 
britsimon said:
Yes it is normal not to hear anything after you send your forms in, until you get the 2NL email. Don't worry about your number - you are well within the range of numbers that I consider to be safe. I would be VERY surprised if the cutoff hit EU lower than 40k.
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Thank you britsimon for your reply, I also decided to request confirmation from KCC by email to be sure that the documents well received and got a response within 24 hours, I think it was normal confirmation they send to everybody as I read in others post...just have to wait now
 
britsimon said:
Yes it is normal not to hear anything after you send your forms in, until you get the 2NL email. Don't worry about your number - you are well within the range of numbers that I consider to be safe. I would be VERY surprised if the cutoff hit EU lower than 40k.
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Hi Simon,

Would you feel the same for those who are going through AOS and have their CN in the late 39xxx ?
 
urbanite said:
Hi Simon,

Would you feel the same for those who are going through AOS and have their CN in the late 39xxx ?
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If it is EU00039XXX I would advise CP over AOS as you might run out of time. If you ever get current it will be August-September and that's close to te deadline.
 
urbanite said:
Hi Simon,

Would you feel the same for those who are going through AOS and have their CN in the late 39xxx ?
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franko said:
If it is EU00039XXX I would advise CP over AOS as you might run out of time. If you ever get current it will be August-September and that's close to te deadline.
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Franko is right, there is more risk in opting for AOS, especially with a high number. However, it is possible to get AOS through even if your number is only current in the last month of the year, but that would be a nailbiting month. If you want to make the decision about that, check which field office you would be using and post a question in the AOS thread regarding timing and that field office.
 
britsimon said:
Franko is right, there is more risk in opting for AOS, especially with a high number. However, it is possible to get AOS through even if your number is only current in the last month of the year, but that would be a nailbiting month. If you want to make the decision about that, check which field office you would be using and post a question in the AOS thread regarding timing and that field office.
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Thank you Franko and Simon,

That's probably a fair assessment, I haven't lived in my country for the past 11 years and taking off continuously from work will be a challenge.

Will follow your advise and keep the fingers crossed. Good luck to both of you as well.
 
Dani ko said:
Can someone tell me when the 2NL will be sent. I am current for January interview, but now more than 5 days since the bulletin was released.
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Hi! My number is current in January, I sent my forms super late (early August). Yesterday they sent me an email to check the status online, and my interview is scheduled for Jan 15! Hope you got your interview date too.
 
hi everyone , in january i have interview too . we'll see what's gonna happen..good luck you all..
 
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