I think the quota can be calculated as the followingthe total numbers from particular region/the total number of winners)X 50000.
). it's random.. Nepal and Iran have bigger chances since they have more people who submit dv lottery. but KCC and some embassies need to tighten their control (such as refuse some people with wrong date of birth and letter in their name, due to fraud application). and some people who married right after they won the lottery, their family shouldn't get any visas.. and KCC really2 need to check their education and working experience background before giving them visas in order to fraud preventing.yes it's. but if there are 3 countries with 6k selectees with case number below 15k, then it means it's over for the rest of asian with high CN's. I think 7% of global quota limitation is too much for 1 country.Hmmmm,, It's all about luck, coz... it's a lottery. afterall that was random selection.
I too accept ...7% of global quota limitation is too much for 1 country when the Asia quota is 9.5k
No some regions only have few country so 7% of quota don't work. 2.5% of global quota is too little too.
You have a very good point here. If Asia were to have 3 heavyweights then Rest of Asia will have less than 10% chances, knowing heavyweights are normally occupying the low CN #. I think DOS strategy for Asia this year is to open the first 10 months and close the heavyweights on the remaining 2 months, which we have seen it in Aug when they decided to put a special limit for Nepal but I think they don't really expect Nepal to have high success rate of over 90%. If Nepal do not have such a high success rate, let say it is 70% instead of 90% I am pretty such we could have reached 18k in Aug and all Nepalese will have their interviews but the reality is not.
Around 800 to 1k if it divided according to the regional quotas and assuming NACARA has 4.5k visas to return to DV.
Nobody knows !
