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Asia DV14 Progress from Jun to Sept

biratnagar said:
Density Analysis of Case No.
9001 to 9500 = asia without Nepal 82 , Nepal 93
9501 to 10000 = asia without Nepal 57
10001 to 11000 = asia without Nepal 124
11001 to 12000 = asia without Nepal 113
12001 to 12700 = asia without Nepal 70
Density Prediction of Balance Case No. for Nepalese
9501 to 10000 = Nepal 65
10001 to 11000 = Nepal 50
11001 to 12000 = Nepal 40
12001 to 13000 = Nepal 40
13001 & above = Nepal 40
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I salute your optimism. :)
 
dmonis said:
"Once your interview is scheduled, it will be forwarded to the embassy that you chose on your DSP-122". Where in this form i selected Kabul, Islamabad and US embassy of India.
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?? Are you saying you put down 3 different embassies as options for interview on the form? Why on earth did you do that? KCC will probably just assign whichever one you listed first.
 
SusieQQQ said:
?? Are you saying you put down 3 different embassies as options for interview on the form? Why on earth did you do that? KCC will probably just assign whichever one you listed first.
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Yeah i put three options there as i think there was given that we had to put alternative embassies too. I put the kabul embassy first and i hope they choose it.
 
It's clear Asia won't be current for this year.. since the less density above 10k is because there are holes created by Nepali and Iran CNs which won't be processed due to numerical limit. Nepal and Iran CNs are only about 6k each which already proccess 3,5k*2 (7k). That means the holes between 9,5k-20k created by those two only about 5k CNs, which is the density above 15k will be high again. :( we really really need a miracle for Asia to reach 19k !
 
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WingZero said:
It's clear Asia won't be current for this year.. since the less density above 10k is because there are holes created by Nepali and Iran CNs which won't be processed due to numerical limit. Nepal and Iran CNs are only about 6k each which already proccess 3,5k*2 (7k). That means the holes between 9,5k-20k created by those two only about 5k CNs, which is the density above 15k will be high again. :( we really really need a miracle for Asia to reach 19k !
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I hope you will be wrong!
 
WingZero said:
It's clear Asia won't be current for this year.. since the less density above 10k is because there are holes created by Nepali and Iran CNs which won't be processed due to numerical limit. Nepal and Iran CNs are only about 6k each which already proccess 3,5k*2 (7k). That means the holes between 9,5k-20k created by those two only about 5k CNs, which is the density above 15k will be high again. :( we really really need a miracle for Asia to reach 19k !
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To reach the 3.5K country limit
Nepal need ~ 3.8K selectees
Iran need ~4.4K selectees

Total selectees Iran + Nepal ~12000
So holes created by Iran and Nepal
(12000-8200)= 3800

Most of these(75%) holes distributed below 16K according to the nepalese facebook forums and other Iranian forums.
This year Iran will not hit the country limit because of slow AP clearing rate.
It might be around ~3200-3300.

IMO Asia might go ~17.5K-18.5K
 
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WingZero said:
True. 40% more selectees without additional visas for no reason.. Very epic
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I think this year KCC would allocate maximum visas for DV lottery(with NACARA) ~53500
If they allocate 53500 for dv 2014.....asia will get additional ~700 visas(3500*20%)
 
Stalin23 said:
I think this year KCC would allocate maximum visas for DV lottery(with NACARA) ~53500
If they allocate 53500 for dv 2014.....asia will get additional ~700 visas(3500*20%)
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Hope so.. Hope they use 5000 NACARA visas.. And Asia can get 1000
 
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I think density above 10k isn't 25%. Until CN 12.7k there are around 11k selectee.. With 23k selectee from asia with 27k max CN.. The density above 16k will be intense again. I hope i'm wrong.. And i hope success and response rate above 10k CNs are pretty low..
 
Kayend said:
Very simple. Each 1k CN Rest of Asia has 250 selectees. If DOS allocates 2k visa slots the final cut off will be 20.7k CN. So it all depend on the visa slots available for us, that is why it is difficult to predict. In Aug they allocated slightly above 1k.
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Without 2k slots, are you still on 16k?
 
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