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mijoro said:
So what is he doing it for then? So everyone can praise him? Isnt that what Pit Bull did with the fake cut off amount. Its the same thing. SLoner is looking for glory by giving false info. Its wrong, its that simple.
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Ok, this is my opinion, not that anyone asked for it. In this forum will be people telling that EVERYBODY will get an interview and people telling that visas will be exhausted at CN DV2014OC000020. YOU CHOOSE who to believe or if you want to make your own mind between them. I asked Raevsky his predictions... I KNEW he will be pessimistic about them, but the numbers he show (leaving me outside the "pot") were VERY good for me!!! He was less pessimistic than I thought! And that helped me to predict for myself a very good outcome!!!

So... you have nothing right now. I have nothing too. We can have something, and THAT matters. Nothing to lose, very much to win. What are you gonna do? Quit? Attack the optimistics? What will you do if Sloner is right at the end? (I don't believe that, but there is always a chance!!!)

Enjoy the ride... The best way is riding it with hope. Don't put your life on hold (as I am, for example) and have fun!!!
 
Sm1smom said:
I think you're letting the stress of the slow pace of the VB updates get to you. Sloner is certainly not in the same boat as Pitbull. Advocating for him to be banned is wrong! Yes, he may be giving what some consider to be 'false hope', atleast he's basing his projections on data as he sees them, just like others are using their own prefered data to support their stands too. IMO, he's not being malicious and does not deserve some of the attacks he's received now and then from this forum.
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I agree - I believe that Sloner really believes what he says (although I disagree with him of course) and I don't think he has any bad intentions. He is not in the same category as the puppy from Portland.
 
mijoro said:
So what is he doing it for then? So everyone can praise him? Isnt that what Pit Bull did with the fake cut off amount. Its the same thing. SLoner is looking for glory by giving false info. Its wrong, its that simple.
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BTW if he will be looking for glory, wouldn't he will be giving more credible numbers? I think he just wants to help and that he believes his theory...
 
Congrats Biologypharma, you are current in April :)

So far,

AF - 30,000 except Egypt: 22850, Nigeria: ???
EU - 25,400
OC - 900
AS - 5350
SA - 1140


We don't know if there are any country cutoffs in EU or AS.
 
Update to this point so far:-
EU - 25400 (trustworthy unsure about country cutoffs)
AS - 5350 (trustworthy unsure about country cutoffs)
SA - 1140 (trustworthy)
OC - 900 (trustworthy)
AF - 30,000 (trustworthy, need Nigeria cutoff)
-- Egypt 22850
-- Nigeria ?
-- Country cutoff removed.
 
The OC numbers are really disappointing. I thought for sure they'd hit 1,000 this month :confused:. Why are they going slower than last year?!
 
Tew said:
The OC numbers are really disappointing. I thought for sure they'd hit 1,000 this month :confused:. Why are they going slower than last year?!
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Beats the crud out of me. I think Sloner was eluding to a gap in numbers between 1200 and 1600 but don't know how he came up with that. Mijoro has this afternoon told me that she thinks the highest OC number she has seen reported is about 3000. If that is correct then I am pretty sure that OC should be able to make it up to around 2k. But, with 5 months left - that means 200 a month. That could easily be handled by the embassies, so no worries there, I just don't understand why they are leaving all the work for the second half of the year. I'd be delighted to hear theories about that...
 
Ok is nigeria special cutoff gone ?
Is that means there is no nigerian runing in the dv or are runing the same rate as the rest of AF?
Simon?
 
vladek15425 said:
Ok is nigeria special cutoff gone ?
Is that means there is no nigerian runing in the dv or are runing the same rate as the rest of AF?
Simon?
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Nigeria still has a cutoff - we just don't know it. Ethiopia has had cutoff removed.
 
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33,500?? I really wonder how that happened. The conversation I had was pretty clear that AF was at 30,000

Me: I wanted to know if the cutoff for my region (AF) has been set?
KCC: Yes, it's 30,000
Me: how about for Ethiopia specifically?
KCC: Yes, 30,000
Me: oh? So that means we don't have a separate cutoff anymore?
KCC: No, no separate number
Me: how about Nigeria and Egypt, are they also included in 30,000 or they still have their own cutoffs?
KCC: no, just Ethiopia.
Me: can I also get the numbers for the two countries?
KCC: you need a CN


So that's more or less how it happened. I don't see how a 33,500 would have slipped past me :confused:
 
Tew said:
33,500?? I really wonder how that happened. The conversation I had was pretty clear that AF was at 30,000

Me: I wanted to know if the cutoff for my region (AF) has been set?
KCC: Yes, it's 30,000
Me: how about for Ethiopia specifically?
KCC: Yes, 30,000
Me: oh? So that means we don't have a separate cutoff anymore?
KCC: No, no separate number
Me: how about Nigeria and Egypt, are they also included in 30,000 or they still have their own cutoffs?
KCC: no, just Ethiopia.
Me: can I also get the numbers for the two countries?
KCC: you need a CN


So that's more or less how it happened. I don't see how a 33,500 would have slipped past me :confused:
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The 33.5 has now been corrected/retracted - misunderstanding I think.
 
So now that they said Asia will be 5350 and no cut-off, what it means? it means that case numbers of Iran and Nepal are dispersed among other asian countries or what? what do u think guys?
 
corail said:
So now that they said Asia will be 5350 and no cut-off, what it means? it means that case numbers of Iran and Nepal are dispersed among other asian countries or what? what do u think guys?
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Well, we don't know if those countries have separate cutoffs or not at this point. It would be good if people from there would call and ask.
 
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