These days afraid to quote my reports as some people here think its all
waste of time and misleading. So let me first add the standard disclaimer.
This is just a pure observation. This is a guess not a statement. If you
are a diaper wearing baby please get your Daddy to read this and explain
it to you.
So the observation goes. For every series....so lets say wac 02 129 everyday
there is only one to two approvals, one to two case transfers and one RFE per day. All three can happen on a rare day. This applies to the months of Jan,Feb,March and April.
Every series have about 100-200 cases. Roughly 30% cases are done in each
series. The division is about 15% approved and 15% transferred. Yes. Lot of
cases are getting transferred. Assuming one approval & one transfer per day
your case might take anywhere from 1 day to 6 months to get processed.
Ofcourse that is pure BS but might be useful to some people who are just
waiting for long time to understand why it might take forever for their case
to be processed.
RFEs are still being issued and in some cases status on the web is not being
updated. So all this research is just waste of time.
But using Project Anaconda scanner version 1.1 which now also can run in
a mode where it finds the last updated date on the case I can see some
trend.
I studied my series for quite some time. My observation for my series is that
approvals are pretty random throughout the series but do tend to start from
the start of the series. Slowly they move from the front to the back. For
my series they are mid way. There happen to be about 14 people ahead of
me. So I am expecting my case to be touched in next 15 dates. This does
not mean that there are no approvals after me....there sure are.
Some of the cases before me are not even touched. My only explanation
is that they go EB1 first, Eb2 second and then EB3 last.
Ofcourse all this is pure speculation and none of it is true. You may want to
track your series for like 2 weeks using Project Anaconda version 1.1 to
try and derive some meaningful info for your series.
Hopefully, in few months Rajiv would be able to twist USCIS arm and be
able to get specific information from "horse's mouth" which will be the
ultimate truth. For now we just have this speculation from me.