Eliminating cutoff for Ethiopia means to me the limit for this country has been passed. So, it is between 24700 and 30000 (in DV-13 it was 32912), and now it is lower than in DV-14.
Yes. BTW, as long as you are in contact with him, could you figure out what country he mentioned on DV initial entry as the country of residence? What I suspect is the source of those outliers are those who live outside of country of chargeability. I know several Uzbekistani cases like that, whose numbers are above general Uz limit, and they all live in Russia (but chargeable to Uz)
OK.
If Egypt is also close to reaching it's limit (it was 22899 in DV-13), I would expect 9K-10K increase for Africa. Nigeria is far from reaching the limit, but it is moving slowly anyway
Was he still living there at the moment when he sent initial entry? People go to study to other countries or work temporarily in other countries (and mention their country of temporary residence on DV entry), and then return back to home country.
3 special African countries together are limited by per country quota (up to 3850 per country), that is 11550. That is about 55% of the total number of African visas. So, African visas from other African countries are still 45% of all African visas. So, total speed up could be 100/45 = 2.2 times. That is why even if all 3 special African countries are reached, 20K per month increase is hardly possible.
As far as I understand, Ethiopia hit the limit already. But Ethiopia, Ghana and Egypt also hit the limit rather early in DV-13. Same as Ukraine.
13830 between 33000 and 54000.
In 2013 there were 2389 visas. They already realized they will not 3500 in DV-14.
I could not completely rule out this possibility. However I would consider it extremely unlikely. If on somewhat reason everyone from Ethiopia sends documents to KCC, special cutoff could be reinstated, or cutoff could even decrease (actually, if limit has been reached, it could make sense to decrease cutoff, but not to introduce a special cutoff again if it increases). Moreover, in case of a major war starting in Ethiopia or in case of an extreme nature catastrophe, like earthquake that destroys a lot of houses, that could happen. Other than that, I cannot imagine how a lot of winners from Ethiopia who have not submitted their forms yet, would send them now.
