Carl Shusterman's connections with USCIS are far better than mine. However, on the same day that Carl Shusterman published this, the following was posted on the AILA website:
In response to reports that the H-1B cap is near being
exhausted, AILA-USCIS Liaison Chair Bob Deasy contacted
William R. Yates, Deputy Director, Citizenship and Immigration
Services, for clarification. Here is an abstract of Mr. Yates' reply:
"We are not near the cap at this time. As I stated last week we
will release information at the end of January regarding where
we stand and at that time will decide whether we need to notify
customers of a projected "cap date." Of course it is theoretically
possible that we could reach the cap by the end of the calendar
year but we would have to receive record levels of filings... I
still believe that we will hit the cap this spring, but I won't be
more specific until I see the numbers in January."
Seems inconsistent with Mr. Shusterman's claim that the H-1B cap will be reached in January or February.