new processing times: I-485 - 01/30/02

JIT: Just in Time for the applicant to be kicked out of the country..
By the way JIT philosophy is to minimize waiting times between processes so as to reduce inventory..It is not related to processing time for processes! For reducing processing times, one has to follow different principles! Using fancy terms wont get anybody anywhere!
 
Project Kashmir

Originally posted by kashmir
Thanks for the info.
> new processing times: I-485 - 01/30/02
It's as expected.
However, the CSC cannot move it to FEBRUAY 2002 for a couple of months with the current processing speed.
Here is the summary table of RFEs from Project Kashmir WAC02 RFE details.
Code:
 21 ... NOV 2001
 24 ... DEC 2001
386 ... JAN 2002
  5 ... FEB 2002
  4 ... MAR 2002
Also, the CSC has not touched more than 60% of JAN 2002 cases.
 
I am surprised with this fast move. Though most of the huge backlog of July - November 2001 is cleared, there is still a number of cases there which seem not even touched. My guess is online status is not that precise (and it is not indeed), so, either these cases are approved or these cases are dead, that is, denied for not responding to FP/RFE, etc.
 
Pilot Program - Re: Project Kashmir

Originally posted by kashmir
Here is the summary table of RFEs from Project Kashmir WAC02 RFE details.
Code:
 21 ... NOV 2001
 24 ... DEC 2001
386 ... JAN 2002
  5 ... FEB 2002
  4 ... MAR 2002
Also, the CSC has not touched more than 60% of JAN 2002 cases.
> However, the CSC cannot move it to FEBRUAY 2002 for a couple of months with the current processing speed.

If the CSC would move resources from the pilot program to adjudication of JAN 2002 cases, the CSC could move the processing date to FEB 2002 in a month.
 
When BCIS issues an RFE for the primary applicant, does the derivative's status also change to RFE issued? The reason I bring this up is because if there are a lot of untouched Jan cases, could it be because these cases are mostly derivatives?
 
RFE for employment verification goes only to primary, derivatives are not changed, but if it is about family matters or medicals, then, everybody gets RFE.
 
Originally posted by ND022202
RFE for employment verification goes only to primary, derivatives are not changed, but if it is about family matters or medicals, then, everybody gets RFE.

So to claim that there are 1714 pending (untouched) cases left in January is not true. In fact, the 573 RFEs issued could have 1714 dependents and in actuality all cases have been touched.

I hope that all u Jan RFE people have at least 1 wife and 2 kids on AOS! (If u have more than 1 wife, more power to u!)
 
Anyway, the current rate of RFEs issued to JAN 2002 cases is far less than DEC 2001 rate.
I believe, at the current processing speed, the CSC cannot move to FEB 2002 adjudication at least for one month and an half without additional resources.

Also, the number of pending I-485 cases is still growing.
No backlog reduction at all so far.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Originally posted by kashmir

However, the CSC cannot move it to FEBRUAY 2002 for a couple of months with the current processing speed.

a few hours later...

Originally posted by kashmir
CSC cannot move to FEB 2002 adjudication at least for one month and an half unless adding resources.

Kashmir,

I am glad that I made you a little more optimistic. Dude, as I've said before, there are bigger problems in the world than our AOS. Of course shit happens like it did to Mrs. Arumugam, but hey look at the bright side of things. I am sure that ur approval will be coming soon and we'll all be happy for u.
 
Originally posted by ND022202
My guess is online status is not that precise (and it is not indeed), so, either these cases are approved or these cases are dead, that is, denied for not responding to FP/RFE, etc.

I would think that there have to be several cases with no responses given the economy. I have asked this before... does everyone trying to get a GC somhow remain in the US even after losing their job and not being able to find another? Being in Vegas, I guess I am unaware of what goes on in Silicon and Silicone valley.
 
The dependent factor is a big one. Most immigrants in this
category are married. I think we all know the reason why.

Engineers graduate at the age of 22. If Masters then add
couple of years. Workin native country for 3-5 years. Come to USA
and find some employer.

So would it be reasonable to say that average age when people
apply for GC is 28 - 30 years. Chances of getting married and
having kids is very high too. So for each GC app there are two
dependents. A spouse and kid? Right?

If that is the assumption then our Project Kashmir and Project
Anaconda reports have no way to link applications together. Therefore the results of our scans are inaccurate when it comes
down to RFE.

I will do some math and do some approximations and see how
this affects our reports

For this calculation I consider wac 02 89 bcos its a juicy series
Here is the data from Kashmir report

Approved 16
Transferred 28
RFE 42 (Sent + Rcvd)
Pending 120 (60%)
Total about 200

Now with the assumption that every candidate who got RFE has
a spouse this chart will look like
Approved 16
Transferred 28
RFE 84 (Sent + Rcvd)
Pending 78 (~40%)
Total about 200

Assuming that about 50% candidates have one kid
Approved 16
Transferred 28
RFE 105 (Sent + Rcvd)
Pending 50 (25%)
Total about 200


I would say from 60% to 40% is a huge change. Right? If we
examine our data with such assumption maybe we might see
a different picture? No?
 
JIT

I feel that JIT is just a number on paper. It is not an accurate representation of processing. I dont mean to dampen the spirits of everyone in the forum, but 2 years of wait has taught me a lot about CSC BCIS. Initially, I used to get very excited about the JIT date moving, but realised that it doesn't mean much. To those of you out there, either keep waiting or count on your luck.


-fb-
 
Originally posted by gopher97
I would think that there have to be several cases with no responses given the economy. I have asked this before... does everyone trying to get a GC somhow remain in the US even after losing their job and not being able to find another? Being in Vegas, I guess I am unaware of what goes on in Silicon and Silicone valley.

No doubt a certain percentage of the people leave and go back but majority of them stick it out. The logic is simple, after waiting for so many years for a GC, it is hard to just quit and go back with nothing in hand. What people try to do is stick around with a host of illegal measures. Not that I blame them, if INS was a little more accomodating things wouldn't have to degenerate to this level.

Originally posted by ND022202
I am surprised with this fast move. Though most of the huge backlog of July - November 2001 is cleared, there is still a number of cases there which seem not even touched. My guess is online status is not that precise (and it is not indeed), so, either these cases are approved or these cases are dead, that is, denied for not responding to FP/RFE, etc.

I absolutely agree with you. I have had 2 AP/EAD applications 1 H1 renewal petition and offcourse my 485 pending with INS, out of the above mentioned 6 petitions, inspite of getting the approval notices in hand for 5 out of 6 of them, the online status only reflects the correct approval status for 3 out of 5, which is only a 60 % accuracy ratio.

I am sure there are more approvals out there, it is just that INS systems are so bad that they don't function effectively. So usually the only numbers I trust are our own tracking numbers or those on RUPnet. But having said that there is still no joy or cause to celebrate. As Kashmir puts it, there just aren't enough approvals for the JIT to jump to FEB inside of a couple of months. You can always calculate how long it will take to get to your RD from the next few jumps. I am aniticipating atleast another 2 year wait till they get to October 2002! :(
 
Hi 140_takes_4ever,

I am in the same boat as mine is WAC-03-009-5XXXX. I am
wondering if we should consider the alternative of CP through
AC-140 route. Here are the steps:

1) File I-824, and wait for its receipt
2) Frame a hardship letter
3) Send packet 3 to your respective consulate in your country
(catch is, not all consulates accept AC-140)
4) After doing some survey, it seems that once you mail the
Packet 3 along with AC-140 application, you get a CP interview
within 4 months. Overall, it seems to be taking less than 5
months.

There is a gotcha:

If your I-824 is processed before your CP interview date, then
you have to select between CP/AOS. If you select CP, then
your AOS is cancelled, which is fine only if you have a valid H1.

I do not have a valid H1. I am working on AP/EAD. :-(. So, I am
thinking what to do. Any suggestions ?

You (and others) can investigate this route as well.

What do you guys think ?

Thanks, avgm.
 
When can I do inquiry?

My RD is Jan 16. I am not sure if I can do inquiry to CSC now or wait until the process time passes 30 days after mine. My lawyer asked me to wait until then. Thanks,
:confused:
 
if JIT is 01/30/02, you are past JIT with ND 01/16/02.
You wait 30 days after this JIT was officialy published on USCIS website and then inquire - this is my understanding.
 
My RD is 01/09/02. When I talked to the lawyer, she said I have to waith till the JIT date is Feb 10th. When I talked to the IIO, he also said the same thing.
 
ND022202 is right. According to CSC service guide, if JIT passes your ND (the later of the two dates on your 485 receipt), you have to wait 30 days after the JIT was published, then follow the inquiry procedures (fax, then e-mail #1, then e-mail #2)
 
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