LA went from June 30, 2007 to April 11, 2007!!! WHAT THE %^&%&?????????????
San Jose dates are tracking oaths.
The delay in publishing these dates had to be because they were double, triple checking to be on the safe side. These look like ultra-conservative dates. USCIS is trying to lower everyone's expectations in this fashion, so as to insulate themselves.
They can hover around June/July 2007 for a few months, and point to the application surge to defend themselves in case of criticism.
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I think this may be the correct explanation. Some of us have been speculating that the delay in releasing the update was on account of the numbers requested by the Senate Judiciary Committee. The timing of the update confirms this (the letter from Kennedy, Schumer and Leahy had asked for the numbers by March 28, in advance of next Wednesday's hearing).
Agreed 100%. This is quite obviously a move intended to save what's left of their face. However, the dates still seem standardized, as quite a few DOs are reporting June 30th. I hope that the Judiciary Committee decides to initiate a formal investigation into the practices of USCIS.
The more I look at these date, the more I realize that this is the most F%@$'d up set of dates they've ever published. You're right, most DOs are standardized. This used to be explicable by the "target timeframes," but this is the first time that they've published standardized dates that weren't a multiple of 30 days from the update date (it's 259 days this time, rather than 210 like the last several updates).
Some are speculating that they're tracking oath dates rather than interviews/approvals, but that doesn't make sense, because they don't have oath "targets" - oath practices vary too widely from DO to DO.
I haven't seen a full list yet of the new dates (Feliz? You're always so good about this ), but I've looked at quite a few, and it seems as though all of those that previously had standardized dates still do. Several that didn't previously have standardized dates are also reporting June 30. But from what I see, all the DOs that currently have a date other than June 30 also had a date earlier than July 20 in the February update. It seemed that this meant they were using actual PDs instead of targets for these. But with the new updates, inexplicably, some of these have moved forward and some have moved backward.
Chaos.
It's a definite possibility that they are now reporting PDs that have already HAD their interviews, instead of PDs for which ILs have been sent out.
Also, the current 259 days that they are reporting are equal to exactly 8.5 months. Another conveniently rounded number, by any chance?
Bottom line is, we can speculate all we want, but there's no sure-fire way to accurately predict anything to that has to do with the USCIS.
i really hope you are right and they decided to (or were forced to) use actual oath progress instead of interview letter sending dates.
if it's true - then April 11,07 reported on March 15, 08 makes sense - there were only 2 oath days in March for LA - March 6 for 75 people and March 20 for 1 200 people, and the person who had actual oath on March 20 has priority date April 7, 07
also it's within my initial estimate of 11 months total for April-May 07, later on (unless things really speed up with all latest news) it will become 12 up to 13 month total for end of july (i.e. July 07 having oath in Aug 08), but then it will gradually drop back to 10 month for December 07, and then to initial 7 months by like April 09.
Bear in mind that "March 15" is a bogus date for the update anyway, and has nothing to do with the numbers they're submitting to congress. The website update actually came on line March 27, and if they submitted numbers to congress that say "effective March 26," then June 30 would actually amount to 270 days - exactly 8 months by the 30 day definition (the charts provided by the senators, attached to their letter, also ask for estimates in 30 day intervals).
Actually, 270 days is 9 months.
Agreed 100%. This is quite obviously a move intended to save what's left of their face. However, the dates still seem standardized, as quite a few DOs are reporting June 30th. I hope that the Judiciary Committee decides to initiate a formal investigation into the practices of USCIS.