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July 2023 Visa Bulletin

Sm1smom

Sm1smom

Super Moderator
RegionAll DV Chargeability Areas Except
Those Listed Separately
AFRICA63,500Except: Algeria 45,000
Egypt 43,200
Morocco 63,400
ASIA21,000Except: Iran 14,000
Nepal 20,500
EUROPE32,000Except: Russia 32,000
Uzbekistan 15,000
NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS) Current
OCEANIA1,650
SOUTH AMERICA,
and the CARIBBEAN		2,900


June 2023 VB (July Cut-Off Numbers) for Comparison
RegionAll DV Chargeability Areas Except
Those Listed Separately
AFRICA63,500Except: Algeria 40,000
Egypt 43,200
Morocco 63,000
ASIA21,000Except: Iran 12,500
Nepal 19,400
EUROPE32,000Except: Russia 32,000
Uzbekistan 15,000
NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS) Current
OCEANIA1,650
SOUTH AMERICA,
and the CARIBBEAN		2,900
 
Thank you. I am aware of that.

Do you know if the comment above about embassies at capacity are true? And if that does slow the number of available visas each month?
 
nervouswreck said:
Probably embassies already at capacity?
Click to expand...
Lack of movement may indicate the opposite. VO believes there's enough people already current to fill the region quota. They're aiming at 900 - 1100 visas for OC. They've already issued 600 in CP. 50 are in 221g, some of those will resolve to Issued. 271 are scheduled for interview. Some percentage of those (let's say 60%) will also resolve to Issued (271 * 0.6 = 163). Typically ~100 OC folks do AOS each year. That brings us to 863 visas already gone. As you can see they don't need more than a handful.

I'd also add that capacity problem has the opposite effect: They need to make more people current so that they get to their target numbers. We see that in AF this year. It struggles with inviting enough people and is almost current (except for one case).

Historical numbers for reference (OC Issued visas CP+AOS each FY, starting from FY13 to FY22):
2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
8387618445327668245925436311195
Source: https://travel.state.gov/content/da...lReports/FY2022AnnualReport/FY22_TableVII.pdf
 
Xarthisius said:
Lack of movement may indicate the opposite. VO believes there's enough people already current to fill the region quota. They're aiming at 900 - 1100 visas for OC. They've already issued 600 in CP. 50 are in 221g, some of those will resolve to Issued. 271 are scheduled for interview. Some percentage of those (let's say 60%) will also resolve to Issued (271 * 0.6 = 163). Typically ~100 OC folks do AOS each year. That brings us to 863 visas already gone. As you can see they don't need more than a handful.

I'd also add that capacity problem has the opposite effect: They need to make more people current so that they get to their target numbers. We see that in AF this year. It struggles with inviting enough people and is almost current (except for one case).

Historical numbers for reference (OC Issued visas CP+AOS each FY, starting from FY13 to FY22):
2013201420152016201720182019202020212022
8387618445327668245925436311195
Source: https://travel.state.gov/content/da...lReports/FY2022AnnualReport/FY22_TableVII.pdf
Click to expand...
Interesting, thanks!
 
Xarthisius said:
Lack of movement may indicate the opposite. VO believes there's enough people already current to fill the region quota. They're aiming at 900 - 1100 visas for OC. They've already issued 600 in CP. 50 are in 221g, some of those will resolve to Issued. 271 are scheduled for interview. Some percentage of those (let's say 60%) will also resolve to Issued (271 * 0.6 = 163). Typically ~100 OC folks do AOS each year. That brings us to 863 visas already gone. As you can see they don't need more than a handful.

I'd also add that capacity problem has the opposite effect: They need to make more people current so that they get to their target numbers. We see that in AF this year. It struggles with inviting enough people and is almost current (except for one case).
Click to expand...
Thanks for this info. I'm AOS and hoping/estimating to have my interview end of August based on my FO's history.
1. How do the AOSers who are waiting on their IL factor in to these numbers?
2. If all scheduled CP interviews, 221g etc where to resolve to Issued (unlikely I know), are there enough visas available for AOS cases waiting on interviews?
 
Silverfox said:
Thanks for this info. I'm AOS and hoping/estimating to have my interview end of August based on my FO's history.
1. How do the AOSers who are waiting on their IL factor in to these numbers?
2. If all scheduled CP interviews, 221g etc where to resolve to Issued (unlikely I know), are there enough visas available for AOS cases waiting on interviews?
Click to expand...
1. If you're already current, all you should care about is total number of visas running out. That's extremely unlikely to happen before September.
2. I don't know. There should be some buffer though. Simon just had a live where he talks about that:
 
Xarthisius said:
1. If you're already current, all you should care about is total number of visas running out. That's extremely unlikely to happen before September.
2. I don't know. There should be some buffer though. Simon just had a live where he talks about that:
Click to expand...
hi, i watched the live, is there anyway to tell if the AS reigon will move up this september? im 193 cases from being current.
 
hello I am writing to you from the DRC my case number is in the 31 miles but since I had sent my D260 I have not yet received the appointment for the embassy while we only have 2 months left for the DV 2023 close its doors what should I do?
 
hello I am writing to you from the DRC (Kinshasa) it is since September 19 that I had sent my D260 until then I have not yet received the letter for the appointment at the embassy, while Dv 2023 will end in September, what should I do? when I always watch it is at NVC.
 
rusalia said:
hello I am writing to you from the DRC my case number is in the 31 miles but since I had sent my D260 I have not yet received the appointment for the embassy while we only have 2 months left for the DV 2023 close its doors what should I do?
Click to expand...
Unfortunately, there’s nothing you can do at this point except wait and hope you get scheduled with the September interview batch (which should be in the next couple of weeks or so) as that is the last month for DV2023.
 
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