Jan 2008 Visa Bulletin is out!

Here is some nice reading about statistics. I dont know how accurate this blogger is, but it might be worth reading. http://www.portfolio.com/views/columns/chartistry/2007/07/06/Skilled-Migrants-Needed

Unfortunately it's going to be a long ride before any changes happen.

The retrogression will be with you until there is an immigration overhaul - the simple reason it will be with you is that they are legally constrained by the current system and the quotas in place.

Quite simply, there are too many "would be" immigrants here for what the quota allows... as I've heard before... "you are trying to pack 10 lbs of shit in a 5 lb bag.... it won't work but will break the bag.... hence the immigration bag is broken.

Nothing will change this year or next year... not before the election.

And even if this is the first priority of the next administration, they don't get sworn in until Jan 2009 and they won't really get working and hitting their stride for 3-9 months at the earliest. It's doubtful they would tackle a complex issue like immigration first without a few wins under their belt. Then if and when they decide to overhaul immigration, thi will take at least a year of debates. They may or may not pass a "temporary" relief for technical workers but may refrain from it due to the fact that a comprehensive overhaul will be better than a temporary fix.

Add to that the potential for a recession, and all of a sudden peoples attention is on jobs, economy etc. The last thing they will want is to grant easier access to foreigners... especially illegals... which we are unfortunately lumped in with.

I know this sounds all like doom and gloom and I hope for those waiting this doesn't play out this way, however I have to be a realist and I think if you are waiting, you need to be as well. Because if you are pacing yourself to run a sprint and it's actually a marathon... you won't make it.

I believe this is a marathon and some people will end up waiting 5-10 years just to have their gc approved... plan your strategies accordingly and get organized and political.

But above else, pray!
 
The late BEC approvals around the middle of 2007 were the non-RIR cases with early priority dates - many EB3 cases are backed up by a EB2 PERM / I-140, thus resulting EB2 retrogression.
 
How do you guys transfer from EB3 to EB2 so easily and still stay in the same company? Are you changing the jobs frequently?


Thanks,


Stoned!

EB3 ROW Nov 2002

Either way that's possible - if you are in the same company for 5 years or more, and a EB3 case is pending, you can change employer and use the 5 years of experience to file an EB2 case with the new employer (at the discretion of the new employer). As a result you keep the old Priority Date and upgrade the employment base category. Alternatively, the same employer can hire you for another job (50% different) that uses the experience gained for the current job and file ano ther EB2 case.
 
i also believe that DOS made a mistake by opening the 2007 October visa bulettin with a April 2004 date. They probably didn't realize how many applications were pending approval prior to that date. last year prior to the july VB, EB2 India was at Jan.2003 and that should have been the right date for DOS to open the October VB.

The answer is BEC's! 400,000 labor applications from all categories and periods (before 2005) had been rotting there. They went hyperactive in 2007 and cleared them, and that's when pre-Jan 03 PD's started materilizing... in tens and hundreds of thousands!

As per trackitt, there are tons and tons of people with PD's in 2002 and 2003 in both EB2IN and EB3IN. A few (but not as many) from late 2001 too.
 
i also believe that DOS made a mistake by opening the 2007 October visa bulettin with a April 2004 date. They probably didn't realize how many applications were pending approval prior to that date. last year prior to the july VB, EB2 India was at Jan.2003 and that should have been the right date for DOS to open the October VB.

i think the only way this mess can be cleared atleast for EB applications is to have a points system like in other countries because if someone argues that the backlog for india EB is around 6-7 years the counter argument would be that FB backlogs are more than 10-15 years. I am not sure if much can happen atleast for the next 2 years. Atleast people can be happy that most have got EADs alongwith their family members so talented spouses do not have to sit at home and waste their careers and people can change employers after the 180 day period.

PR since June07
 
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