Is the Economy improving? - Comments

savant123456

Registered Users (C)
I have been waiting for ages for my 140 to be approved. I hope me and others who have been waiting for long get fast approvals.

Meanwhile, I wanted to get my fellow engineer's opinon on a subject. Do you guys think the economy is looking up? From your own experiences and from people who have lost jobs in the
past, how difficult was it to get another job? Do you think this is the right time to start on our own venture right now?

Since our lives are so similar to each other, I would like to get
a thread started on some positive direction. Just waiting for 140
to approve is plain depressing.

Please post your comments,

-Savant
 
I have seen that too, but most people I know who lost their jobs got another in a period of avg 1-2 months. From what I hear, even if the economy improves the job market is predicted to remain pretty much the same for some time to come.
 
Consolidating market

Savant,

Here's my (probably frog-in-the-well) view of the market. I feel
there are still jobs out there especially if you are in niche fields
(eg: high-end chip/microprocessor design, automotive electronics, wireless etc) I've heard (mind you, only heard not known first hand) from comparatively reliable sources of folks still getting
two/three job offers (though at post-dot com bust reduced salaries) in these fields.

The java programming/e-business paradigm (I hate that word,
but can't think of anything else!) has long shifted and jobs are
scarce here.

Bottom line, if you try and hone your skills in hard to replicate
areas, the demand's still there (after all the world isn't going
anywhere without families wanting to stay in touch via smaller, cooler cellular's, kids still want to play the latest video games,
cars now have a zillion times more electronics from a few years back etc)

Just my 2 cents...

FrereTuck
 
FrereTuck,

Your are right about the java-development world, that
market has really taken a hit. I work in the embedded
systems arena and hence can say that that there is still
demand for qualified professionals. But for those who
are in the looking-for-job market, two things need to
be kept in the mind:

1. Salaries will not be the same like they were back in year 2000 for long time to come.
2. You need to be really good in what you do. Specialize, more
specialize and be a guru in your respective fields.
3. If you do not have an EAD then even if you are an expert in a field you still are at a serious disadvantage.

Say our GC's pull thru in next year or two, what next after that?
If the software industry is gonna grow at a snail speed we will
soon have more qualified people than available jobs. (think about
what happened to scores of mechanical engineers after the bust which followed the industrial revolution).

Now is the time to plan ahead and peek in the future. What's coming next?

Bio-Technology?
Robotics?
AI?

Ideas?


-Savant
 
A lot of people are thinking of getting an MBA degree, so they can do more of management level work: Don't need to compete with off shore workers any more.
 
I couldn't agree more.

One thing I have noticed is, many fellow Indians are trying to be independent of this painful economic cycle by having a secondary business.

Three of my BE and MBA classmates who were rankers - have invested in convenient store or something similar. (Of course after getting the GC).

Theory is: However brilliant/efficient you may be - jobs in this country will never ever be secured - so set something for the rainy days which will at least pay your bills.

Of course life becomes much more hectic. You work 12-15 hours a day virtually 7 days.

I don't know how many will agree with the strategy. Even I am not fully convinced so its open to debate.

After all, one reason for this country to be prosperous is: People are ready and willing to do any type of work - as long as it generates some mullahs.

My 2 cents..
 
MBA may not remain a safe bet after all - with Bank Of America and likes already talking about moving even white collar jobs Off shore.
 
Starting a business which earns a passive income is always a good idea. One needs to do a careful evaluation of cost-benefit of any such venture though. What most people overlook is that with half baked ideas it is very likely that one will loose money instead of making some.

I am not sure how convinced I am about the MBA idea. I have debated over this again and again. Seriously guys I am confused. On one hand I see no apparanet benefit of doing an MBA. But I agree in the long term there can be a significant edge in doing so.
If nothing else then the MBA should atleast help in running your own self owned business.

Lets talk about business ideas, what options one has with low investment: 50k-100k ?
 
I have done MBA from Indian School.
Apparently no benefit - since you don't get new skills.

But it definitely improves your outlook and thinking.

So in terms of Business ideas..

With 50k-100k:

1. Do an MBA from a reputed institute!! - One of my friends is about to start this in Sept. - its a safe bet if you are sure you can get a decent job in cut throat competition there also - short term pay-offs might be significant. But again I maintain - no jobs are safe in this country in long term.

2. Convenient store - yes you may loose some money - but not all. You may resell it at say 20% loss. Be careful of some tactics while buying. People are known to show profit and even pay taxes so that they can sell the store at premium - in reality it might be loosing money. Account for theaft by workers in your store - oh yeah - they will.

If possible look for something with associated gas station.

Remember when economy goes down - store performance does get affected.

Most of your profits will be from selling Cigerrates, booz and lottery - if you don't mind that.

3. Motels: I think with this level of investment - partnership is must and may be even loan. Surely, you (and your family) will be busy 24X7.

4. Subway, Dunkit Donuts Franchise - very difficult to get - but guarateed ROI.

5. Well who haven't met those QUIXTAR, Amway people in malls? I would like to know if that puppy actually does people some good. I have always been curious - but sure its not my cup of tea.

More to follow....
 
I agree no job is safe in this country. It is important always challenge yourself and learn new skills according to the market conditions. Remember, there is no such a job like software engineer 50 years ago.

MBA is a long term investment which will serve you well into retirement. No matter whether you want to run your own business or move up to management. If you have 100K, invest in stock may be a good option too.
 
All right, guys. I am glad to see this thread. Like one of the posts said it has been such a miserable road for us even we all work so so so hard. So this does cheer up a little.
Here is my situation, I work in biotech industry, and so far, biotech and pharceuticals are still doing OK, I mean they are still hiring, and they will stay this way for a long time. But, you can not make big money from it as long as you are in R&D department.
MBA, spouse has a MBA degree, and work in a software company unhappily. I also know two people who got their MBA recently, none of them is using it now. (Both of them are in biotech/pharm field) SO I'd say it is a long shot.
Starting your own business. Once I read an article about getting cheap stuffs, like those $99C goods from China or India and retail it through ebay. I don't know how doable it is, but it is a thought.
Let's hope for the best.
 
A part time MBA from a less known school is not going to help much. But people who get MBA from reputable school esp top 20 still make good money.
 
i got this in email from my friend!

>>Yale, Harvard M.B.A. No Sure Ticket to a Job, '03 Grads Learn
>>
>> New Haven, Connecticut, May 5 (Bloomberg) -- Concerned by the
>>bleak job outlook for his graduating M.B.A.s, Jeffrey Garten, dean
>>of the Yale School of Management, dispatched an appeal to alumni.
>> ``Industries that traditionally hire M.B.A.s have been hit
>>particularly hard in this economic downturn,'' Garten wrote in
>>March. He asked alumni to ``help where you are able'' by hiring
>>Yale's newly minted masters of business administration.
>> With the U.S. unemployment rate at an eight-year high,
>>business school deans nationwide are repeating Garten's message.
>>For the second year in a row, graduating M.B.A.s -- who have spent
>>as much as $122,000 to gain the coveted business degree from such
>>schools as Yale, Harvard and Columbia universities -- are
>>struggling to secure employment. Since March 2000, New York-based
>>securities firms alone have shed 79,500 jobs.
>> ``I am not in panic mode yet, but I am considering
>>bartending,'' said Harrell Smith, 30, a former trader for BNP
>>Paribas SA who's about to get an M.B.A. from Columbia, in New York
>>City. Smith is trying for a management position in finance or
>>media, yet concedes: ``I'm getting progressively more upset and
>>depressed.''
>> A Duke University survey of M.B.A. students at 10 U.S.
>>schools found that 60 percent had a full-time job as of mid-March,
>>compared with 86 percent in 1998. Two percent reported that their
>>offers were rescinded. The survey said annual starting salaries
>>for graduating M.B.A.s has remained ``relatively flat, at $87,808
>>this year, versus $86,540 three years ago.''
>> ``It's the toughest recruiting environment this school has
>>seen in a long time,'' said Matthew Merrick, the director of
>>career services at the Harvard Business School.
>> Like Garten, Harvard Dean Kim Clark sent letters to more than
>>60,000 alumni asking for help, Merrick said.
>>
>> Alumni Connection
>>
>> ``One of the key things we have going for us is that alumni
>>hire our students,'' Merrick said. About 900 students will
>>graduate with Harvard M.B.A.s in June, and Merrick said a bit more
>>than three-fourths have at least one offer.
>> ``Five years ago, the percent would have been 90 to 95,'' he
>>said.
>> Deborah Farrington, the director of the Harvard Business
>>School's alumni association and the founder of StarVest Partners
>>LP, a New York-based venture capital firm, regularly fields calls
>>from students seeking job advice and tries to counsel them.
>> ``It's a very tough time,'' she said. ``The type of call I
>>get is, `I'm really interested in private equity. How do I go
>>about it?' And I tell them, `Look, there are not a lot of people
>>hiring.'''
>> Yale's Garten declined to be interviewed.
>>
>> Bygone Era
>>
>> When Smith and other members of Columbia's class of 2003 were
>>applying to graduate programs three years ago, the era of multiple
>>job offers, signing bonuses and other perks for M.B.A.s had just
>>started to wane with the collapse of the dot-com sector.
>> ``It was still a buyer's market,'' said Smith, who interned
>>at Yahoo! Inc., the owner of the world's most-used Internet site.
>>Now, he's struggling to get interviews in his field.
>> ``The feedback we are getting from recruiters is that for
>>each job, there are 500 resumes,'' Smith said. ``All things
>>considered, life could be a hell of a lot worse. Most of us feel
>>it's just an unlucky break to be graduating in this economy.''
>> Last year, 65 percent of students at the Stern School of
>>Business at New York University and 70 percent of students at
>>Columbia graduated with jobs in hand, according to school
>>officials.
>> The U.S. economy lost 48,000 jobs in April, and the
>>unemployment rate climbed to 6 percent from 5.8 percent in March,
>>the Labor Department reported on Friday. Banking, securities and
>>consulting firms have all curtailed hiring, recruiters say.
>>
>> `Seasoned People'
>>
>> Gail Sobel, a partner at New York recruitment consultant
>>Prescott, James & Thomas, said many firms that recruited M.B.A.s
>>in the past aren't bothering this year.
>> ``They can't even think about M.B.A.s when there are so many
>>good seasoned people out there,'' Sobel said.
>> Nancy Pascal, managing director of AlleyRecruiting LLC, a
>>Wall Street recruiting firm, said demand for new M.B.A.s has
>>declined since 2001.
>> ``The market is already overflowing with highly qualified
>>individuals that hold strong degrees and credentials that have
>>been out of work for one to two years,'' Pascal said. ``New
>>graduates and seasoned M.B.A.s are competing for the same jobs.''
>> Alison Corazzini, the head of investment bank recruiting for
>>J.P. Morgan Chase & Co., said the bank is offering slightly fewer
>>jobs this year than last, while declining to provide numbers.
>>
>> Getting in the Door
>>
>> ``It's much harder for people to get in the door now,''
>>Corazzini said. ``We actively manage the numbers that are coming
>>in so we don't have to rescind offers.''
>> Richard Bub, a former PricewaterhouseCoopers consultant
>>studying at NYU's Stern School, doesn't regret pursuing an M.B.A.
>>Still, he's not encouraged about his prospects in media or
>>corporate and business development.
>> ``Some days you get so depressed and tired of thinking about
>>it,'' said Bub, who says he dreads the prospect of moving back to
>>his parents' home in Allentown, Pennsylvania, to cut expenses
>>while he job-hunts. ``That would be the last resort.''
>> Julie Collins, the interim dean of the business school at the
>>University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, said 56 percent of
>>the graduating class has a job offer. Of those, 24 percent are in
>>financial services, 19 percent in consumer goods and 13 percent in
>>management consulting, she said.
>> ``I'm surprised to see financial services and consulting
>>still there,'' she said. ``We haven't seen anything like this
>>since the early '90s. It has become really hard work to find a
>>job.''
>>
>> Non-Profit Sector
>>
>> At the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School in
>>Philadelphia, some students are seeking jobs at non-profit
>>organizations, a sector M.B.A.s haven't gone near in recent years,
>>said Peter Degnan, the director of M.B.A. career management.
>> More optimism emerges on the West Coast.
>> ``Last year was a really low point, but this year we have
>>seen an increase of 16 percent in terms of companies coming to
>>campus to recruit,'' said Andy Chan, the director of M.B.A. career
>>management at California's Stanford Graduate School of Business.
>> About 70 percent of forthcoming grads have jobs, he said.
>>Graduates command median starting salaries of $95,000 with a
>>signing bonus of about $20,000, he added.
>> At Columbia, Dan Shaffer, a former stock analyst,
>>concentrated on media management and took courses at the film
>>school. He's moving to Los Angeles to find work at a movie studio.
>> ``I'm not expecting a signing bonus or a six-figure salary,''
>>he said. ``What bothers me is the uncertainty of knowing how long
>>my savings will last before I get a job. I'm trying to avoid the
>>bartending thing.''
>>
>>--Liz Willen in New York (1)(212) 318-2658 or
>>ewillen@bloomberg.net, with reporting by Adrian Cox in New York.
>>Editors: Rosen, Horvitz, Kraus.
>>
>>Story illustration: For more on the Duke survey, see
>>http://www.fuqua.duke.edu/admin/extaff/news/report2003/.
>>To access the Bloomberg Career Center, type
>>{JOBS <GO>}. For career outlook information by industry and job
>>category, see the U.S. Department of Labor's Web site at
>>http://www.bls.gov/emp/home.htm. For a slide show of functions
>>related to this story, click on {CNP 08319200107 <GO>}.
 
To MBA or Not ??

I happen to complete my part time MBA from a modest school back in India after I got my Engineering degree. It was an
ordinary school with average classmates and yes that degree
has never helped me gain an extra dollar in my salary here in States. But would I say that degree was a waste? Not by a far call. I think that investment of time and money was a good decision on my part. Spending those 3 years in MBA classrooms and talking about business, economy and making money has changed me for life.

I guess the truth is in black and white in front of us. Do not do an MBA if you want to do it just to get another job. It will NOT help you get a job or to that matter even help raise your current salary. You have to remember that all of us "brown" people do face a glass ceiling some time in their careers. Most companies and their employees do tolerate us engineers but then being their manager is a whole different matter altogether. In my opinion the MBA still offers one a lot. It helps change the outlook, grows one's self confidence and makes us more street smart.

-Savant
 
Investing in RealEstate

This is my idea...

Investing in RealEstate is not a bad idea.....It has more security, good ROI......

Business is not for everybody...Moreover having a fulltime job and running a business is something which makes you work like a dog 24 X 7...

My $0.02
 
Stock Market : Risky and will always remain risky. Don't invest more than what you can afford to loose.
Don't believe about investing for a long run. Spend time on research and buy and sell actively on new information (don't become a day trader though!).

Generally people make money and when markets over heat they start investing heavily (often more than what they can afford to loose). Then comes that (invariable) downturn taking away major gains...

Real Estate: 2-3 years ago it was a different story - but now I am not sure about investing in real estate before getting GC. If you have to leave the country at a short notice - you may have to sell in panic and thus loose.
 
I believe most people on this forum is in IT. And there is woman that work with me keep telling me that IT is a job for young people. When you are over 35, you are done etc. Employer would rather hire somebody fresh out of school etc. Any thoughts on this?
 
economy

Final words of mine
The way our indians do a business in USA dont need a MBA degree at all. :)
A nice common sence and good business tactics is fine .

I have a friend of mine who did his mba from IIm and working as sap consultant earing 9k /month
and i have a common friend who earning more than him ofcourse 12 k month by running a Good Gas Station ..
Do we need to have a MBA to run 7/11 ,indian grocery store or dunkin, other convinent stores??

If you want to go to job
Be ready for low sal
Be ready to do a 10-12 hours work
Compete with high tech gurus
Learn a lot..
 
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