• Hello Members, This forums is for DV lottery visas only. For other immigration related questions, please go to our forums home page, find the related forum and post it there.

Dv 2013 kenyan selectees report here!!!!

You're crazy Obeez, i sat and analysed trends kabisa and i concluded that i will be current in June. But if you think you are in June then maybe i should move to April.:):)

U aint seen nothing yet..

We'll both b current in June or earlier;remember,all CNs after 50k were current, ur stuck with me(us),unfortunate for u...LOL
 
Success to all you doing exams! how is everyone else doing?

We're all having a blast,counting the days(not me though,u too r among us_last of the lot),checking our mails for KCC notifications.

In a nutshell..........u sum it up:p
 
hi guys! am wondering wat causes administrative processing especially if u happen to b Kenyan.....any suggestions would b highly appreciated. also do they conduct investigations such as email screening or they are just prejudiced against some quarters....plz assist....

also, are the academic documents n the birth cert supposed to b certified by the concerned authorities?

regards
 
hey brother and sisters,
i have a question:

in my forms in the tables of number of children that they will join me to the US and job experiences i just wrote N/A in the first line is there any problem...


and thank you in advance...
 
hy bro....if u have no children and had never had job experience, then I think there no need to worry. however if u have children then it means that u'll all go altogether meaning u will leave none behind....plz the rest of the forum family members contribute.

but. bro u can always send clarifications and corrections to the KCC thru email or by resending corrected forms.
 
thnx brother

hy bro....if u have no children and had never had job experience, then I think there no need to worry. however if u have children then it means that u'll all go altogether meaning u will leave none behind....plz the rest of the forum family members contribute.

but. bro u can always send clarifications and corrections to the KCC thru email or by resending corrected forms.


thnx brother and it's so kind from you...abu hamza
 
hey brother and sisters,
i have a question:

in my forms in the tables of number of children that they will join me to the US and job experiences i just wrote N/A in the first line is there any problem...

and thank you in advance...

Below is my query to KCC & the reply given.

2.If a question does not apply to me,do I mark it with N\A or a hyphen on all available spaces or only for the first line?

If a question does not apply to you then please place “N/A” on the first line.

Regards
 
hi guys! am wondering wat causes administrative processing especially if u happen to b Kenyan.....any suggestions would b highly appreciated. also do they conduct investigations such as email screening or they are just prejudiced against some quarters....plz assist....

also, are the academic documents n the birth cert supposed to b certified by the concerned authorities?

regards

My take is how u present urself during the interview will determine whether u r placed in AP or not since they do receive ur documentation long before ur interview(I should think) & thus should begin doing their background checks then & confirm them on the interview day.The intensity of their checks depends on their resources & u can be sure they'll cover everything that needs to be covered including what u write in this forum(including mails to KCC/US embassy in ur area) which can be used against u!!!

Disclaimer: We take no responsibility for accuracy of information provided. Please use at your own risk.
NOTE: Please do not post any negative comments or remarks about any person or organization. Do not post personal information details. Courts and government agencies can require us to disclose your email, IP address, etc.

As long as ur docs are original,the do not need to be certified;if u will be presenting copies instead of the originals,they'll need to be certified.
 
Overview Of The Immigrant Numerical Control System

THE OPERATION OF THE IMMIGRANT NUMERICAL CONTROL SYSTEM

The Department of State is responsible for administering the provisions of the Immigration and
Nationality Act (INA) relating to the numerical limitations on immigrant visa issuances. This
information sheet explains the operation of the immigrant number allotment and control system.

1. HOW THE SYSTEM OPERATES:

At the beginning of each month, the Visa Office (VO) receives a report from each consular post
listing totals of documentarily qualified immigrant visa applicants in categories subject to
numerical limitation. Cases are grouped by foreign state chargeability/preference/priority date.
No names are reported. During the first week of each month, this documentarily qualified
demand is tabulated.

VO subdivides the annual preference and foreign state limitations specified by the INA into
monthly allotments. The totals of documentarily qualified applicants which have been reported
to VO, are compared each month with the numbers available for the next regular allotment. The
determination of how many numbers are available requires consideration of several of variables,
including: past number use; estimates of future number use and return rates; and estimates of
Citizenship and Immigration Service demand based on cut-off date movements.
Once this is
done, the cut-off dates are established and numbers are allocated to reported applicants in order
of their priority dates, the oldest dates first.

If there are sufficient numbers in a particular category to satisfy all reported documentarily
qualified demand, the category is considered "Current". For example: If the monthly allocation
target is 3,000 and we only have demand for 1,000 applicants the category can be "Current”.
Whenever the total of documentarily qualified applicants in a category exceeds the supply of
numbers available for allotment for the particular month, the category is considered to be
"oversubscribed" and a visa availability cut-off date is established. The cut-off date is the
priority date of the first documentarily qualified applicant who could not be accommodated for a
visa number.
For example: If the monthly target is 3,000 and we have demand for 8,000
applicants, then we would need to establish a cut-off date so that only 3,000 numbers would be
allocated. In this case, the cut-off would be the priority date of the 3,001st applicant.
Only persons with a priority date earlier than a cut-off date are entitled to allotment of a visa
number. The cut-off dates are the 1st, 8th, 15th, and 22nd of a month, since VO groups demand
for numbers under these dates. (Priority dates of the first through seventh of a month are grouped
under the 1st, the eighth through the fourteenth under the 8th, etc.)

VO attempts to establish the cut-off dates for the following month on or about the 8th of each
month.
The dates are immediately transmitted to consular posts and Citizenship and Immigration
Services (CIS), and also published in the Visa Bulletin and online at the CA Web site
(www.travel.state.gov). Visa allotments for use during that month are transmitted to consular
posts. CIS requests visa allotments for adjustment of status cases only when all other case
processing has been completed.

2. DEFINITION OF SOME TERMS:

Priority date:
Normally, the date on which the petition to accord the applicant immigrant status was filed.
Allotment:
The allocation of an immigrant number to a consular office or to CIS. This number may be used
for visa issuance or adjustment of status.
Foreign State Chargeability:
Ordinarily, an immigrant is chargeable for visa purposes to the numerical limitation for the
foreign state or dependent area in which the immigrant's place of birth is located. Exceptions are
provided for a child (unmarried and under 21 years of age) or spouse accompanying or following
to join a principal to prevent the separation of family members, as well as for an applicant born
in the U.S. or in a foreign state of which neither parent was a native or resident. Alternate
chargeability is desirable when the visa cut-off date for the foreign state of a parent or spouse is
more advantageous than that of the applicant's foreign state.
Documentarily Qualified:
The applicant has obtained all documents specified by the consular officer as sufficient to meet
the formal visa application requirements, and necessary processing procedures of the consular
office have been completed.

3. BACKGROUND INFORMATION ON THE SYSTEM AND CLARIFICATION OF SOME FREQUENTLY MISUNDERSTOOD POINTS:

Applicants entitled to immigrant status become documentarily qualified at their own initiative
and convenience. By no means has every applicant with a priority date earlier than a prevailing
cut-off date been processed for final visa action.
On the contrary, visa allotments are made only
on the basis of the total applicants reported documentarily qualified each month.
Demand for
visa numbers can fluctuate from one month to another, with the inevitable impact on cut-off
dates.

If an applicant is reported documentarily qualified but allocation of a visa number is not possible
because of a visa availability cut-off date, the demand is recorded at VO and an allocation is
made as soon as the applicable cut-off date advances beyond the applicant's priority date. There
is no need for such applicant to be reported a second time.
Visa numbers are always allotted for all documentarily qualified applicants with a priority date
before the relevant cut-off date, as long as the case had been reported to VO in time to be
included in the monthly calculation of visa availability. Failure of visa number receipt by the
overseas processing office could mean that the request was not dispatched in time to reach VO
for the monthly allocation cycle, or that information on the request was incomplete or inaccurate
(e.g., incorrect priority date).

Allocations to Foreign Service posts outside the regular monthly cycle are possible in emergency
or exceptional cases, but only at the request of the office processing the case. Note that should
retrogression of a cut-off date be announced, VO can honor extraordinary requests for additional
numbers only if the applicant's priority date is earlier than the retrogressed cut-off date.
Not all numbers allocated are actually used for visa issuance; some are returned to VO and are
reincorporated into the pool of numbers available for later allocation during the fiscal year. The
rate of return of unused numbers may fluctuate from month to month, just as demand may
fluctuate. Lower returns mean fewer numbers available for subsequent reallocation. Fluctuations
can cause cut-off date movement to slow, stop, or even retrogress. Retrogression is particularly
possible near the end of the fiscal year as visa issuance approaches the annual limitations.


Per-country limit:
The annual per-country limitation of 7% is a cap, which visa issuances to any
single country may not exceed. Applicants compete for visas primarily on a worldwide basis.
The country limitation serves to avoid monopolization of virtually all the annual limitation by
applicants from only a few countries. This limitation is not a quota to which any particular
country is entitled, however. A portion of the numbers provided to the Family Second
preference category are exempt from this per-country cap. The American Competitiveness in the
Twenty-First Century Act (AC21) removed the per-country limit in any calendar quarter in
which overall applicant demand for Employment-based visa numbers is less than the total of
such numbers available.

Applicability of Section 202(e): When visa demand by documentarily qualified applicants from a
particular country exceeds the amount of numbers available under the annual numerical
limitation, that country is considered to be oversubscribed. Oversubscription may require the
establishment of a cut-off date which is earlier than that which applies to a particular visa
category on a worldwide basis. The prorating of numbers for an oversubscribed country follows
the same percentages specified for the division of the worldwide annual limitation among the
preferences. (Note that visa availability cut-off dates for oversubscribed areas may not be later
than worldwide cut-off dates, if any, for the respective preferences.)

source:http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Immigrant Visa Control System_operation of.pdf

bolded:my emphasis.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
THE OPERATION OF THE IMMIGRANT NUMERICAL CONTROL SYSTEM

The Department of State is responsible for administering the provisions of the Immigration and
Nationality Act (INA) relating to the numerical limitations on immigrant visa issuances. This
information sheet explains the operation of the immigrant number allotment and control system.

1. HOW THE SYSTEM OPERATES:

At the beginning of each month, the Visa Office (VO) receives a report from each consular post
listing totals of documentarily qualified immigrant visa applicants in categories subject to
numerical limitation. Cases are grouped by foreign state chargeability/preference/priority date.
No names are reported. During the first week of each month, this documentarily qualified
demand is tabulated.

VO subdivides the annual preference and foreign state limitations specified by the INA into
monthly allotments. The totals of documentarily qualified applicants which have been reported
to VO, are compared each month with the numbers available for the next regular allotment. The
determination of how many numbers are available requires consideration of several of variables,
including: past number use; estimates of future number use and return rates; and estimates of
Citizenship and Immigration Service demand based on cut-off date movements.
Once this is
done, the cut-off dates are established and numbers are allocated to reported applicants in order
of their priority dates, the oldest dates first.

If there are sufficient numbers in a particular category to satisfy all reported documentarily
qualified demand, the category is considered "Current". For example: If the monthly allocation
target is 3,000 and we only have demand for 1,000 applicants the category can be "Current”.
Whenever the total of documentarily qualified applicants in a category exceeds the supply of
numbers available for allotment for the particular month, the category is considered to be
"oversubscribed" and a visa availability cut-off date is established. The cut-off date is the
priority date of the first documentarily qualified applicant who could not be accommodated for a
visa number.
For example: If the monthly target is 3,000 and we have demand for 8,000
applicants, then we would need to establish a cut-off date so that only 3,000 numbers would be
allocated. In this case, the cut-off would be the priority date of the 3,001st applicant.
Only persons with a priority date earlier than a cut-off date are entitled to allotment of a visa
number. The cut-off dates are the 1st, 8th, 15th, and 22nd of a month, since VO groups demand
for numbers under these dates. (Priority dates of the first through seventh of a month are grouped
under the 1st, the eighth through the fourteenth under the 8th, etc.)

VO attempts to establish the cut-off dates for the following month on or about the 8th of each
month.
The dates are immediately transmitted to consular posts and Citizenship and Immigration
Services (CIS), and also published in the Visa Bulletin and online at the CA Web site
(www.travel.state.gov). Visa allotments for use during that month are transmitted to consular
posts. CIS requests visa allotments for adjustment of status cases only when all other case
processing has been completed.

2. DEFINITION OF SOME TERMS:

Priority date:
Normally, the date on which the petition to accord the applicant immigrant status was filed.
Allotment:
The allocation of an immigrant number to a consular office or to CIS. This number may be used
for visa issuance or adjustment of status.
Foreign State Chargeability:
Ordinarily, an immigrant is chargeable for visa purposes to the numerical limitation for the
foreign state or dependent area in which the immigrant's place of birth is located. Exceptions are
provided for a child (unmarried and under 21 years of age) or spouse accompanying or following
to join a principal to prevent the separation of family members, as well as for an applicant born
in the U.S. or in a foreign state of which neither parent was a native or resident. Alternate
chargeability is desirable when the visa cut-off date for the foreign state of a parent or spouse is
more advantageous than that of the applicant's foreign state.
Documentarily Qualified:
The applicant has obtained all documents specified by the consular officer as sufficient to meet
the formal visa application requirements, and necessary processing procedures of the consular
office have been completed.

3. BACKGROUND INFORMATION ON THE SYSTEM AND CLARIFICATION OF SOME FREQUENTLY MISUNDERSTOOD POINTS:

Applicants entitled to immigrant status become documentarily qualified at their own initiative
and convenience. By no means has every applicant with a priority date earlier than a prevailing
cut-off date been processed for final visa action.
On the contrary, visa allotments are made only
on the basis of the total applicants reported documentarily qualified each month.
Demand for
visa numbers can fluctuate from one month to another, with the inevitable impact on cut-off
dates.

If an applicant is reported documentarily qualified but allocation of a visa number is not possible
because of a visa availability cut-off date, the demand is recorded at VO and an allocation is
made as soon as the applicable cut-off date advances beyond the applicant's priority date. There
is no need for such applicant to be reported a second time.
Visa numbers are always allotted for all documentarily qualified applicants with a priority date
before the relevant cut-off date, as long as the case had been reported to VO in time to be
included in the monthly calculation of visa availability. Failure of visa number receipt by the
overseas processing office could mean that the request was not dispatched in time to reach VO
for the monthly allocation cycle, or that information on the request was incomplete or inaccurate
(e.g., incorrect priority date).

Allocations to Foreign Service posts outside the regular monthly cycle are possible in emergency
or exceptional cases, but only at the request of the office processing the case. Note that should
retrogression of a cut-off date be announced, VO can honor extraordinary requests for additional
numbers only if the applicant's priority date is earlier than the retrogressed cut-off date.
Not all numbers allocated are actually used for visa issuance; some are returned to VO and are
reincorporated into the pool of numbers available for later allocation during the fiscal year. The
rate of return of unused numbers may fluctuate from month to month, just as demand may
fluctuate. Lower returns mean fewer numbers available for subsequent reallocation. Fluctuations
can cause cut-off date movement to slow, stop, or even retrogress. Retrogression is particularly
possible near the end of the fiscal year as visa issuance approaches the annual limitations.


Per-country limit:
The annual per-country limitation of 7% is a cap, which visa issuances to any
single country may not exceed. Applicants compete for visas primarily on a worldwide basis.
The country limitation serves to avoid monopolization of virtually all the annual limitation by
applicants from only a few countries. This limitation is not a quota to which any particular
country is entitled, however. A portion of the numbers provided to the Family Second
preference category are exempt from this per-country cap. The American Competitiveness in the
Twenty-First Century Act (AC21) removed the per-country limit in any calendar quarter in
which overall applicant demand for Employment-based visa numbers is less than the total of
such numbers available.

Applicability of Section 202(e): When visa demand by documentarily qualified applicants from a
particular country exceeds the amount of numbers available under the annual numerical
limitation, that country is considered to be oversubscribed. Oversubscription may require the
establishment of a cut-off date which is earlier than that which applies to a particular visa
category on a worldwide basis. The prorating of numbers for an oversubscribed country follows
the same percentages specified for the division of the worldwide annual limitation among the
preferences. (Note that visa availability cut-off dates for oversubscribed areas may not be later
than worldwide cut-off dates, if any, for the respective preferences.)

source:http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Immigrant Visa Control System_operation of.pdf

bolded:my emphasis.

Thanks alot for the info.
 
THE OPERATION OF THE IMMIGRANT NUMERICAL CONTROL SYSTEM

The Department of State is responsible for administering the provisions of the Immigration and
Nationality Act (INA) relating to the numerical limitations on immigrant visa issuances. This
information sheet explains the operation of the immigrant number allotment and control system.

1. HOW THE SYSTEM OPERATES:

At the beginning of each month, the Visa Office (VO) receives a report from each consular post
listing totals of documentarily qualified immigrant visa applicants in categories subject to
numerical limitation. Cases are grouped by foreign state chargeability/preference/priority date.
No names are reported. During the first week of each month, this documentarily qualified
demand is tabulated.

VO subdivides the annual preference and foreign state limitations specified by the INA into
monthly allotments. The totals of documentarily qualified applicants which have been reported
to VO, are compared each month with the numbers available for the next regular allotment. The
determination of how many numbers are available requires consideration of several of variables,
including: past number use; estimates of future number use and return rates; and estimates of
Citizenship and Immigration Service demand based on cut-off date movements.
Once this is
done, the cut-off dates are established and numbers are allocated to reported applicants in order
of their priority dates, the oldest dates first.

If there are sufficient numbers in a particular category to satisfy all reported documentarily
qualified demand, the category is considered "Current". For example: If the monthly allocation
target is 3,000 and we only have demand for 1,000 applicants the category can be "Current”.
Whenever the total of documentarily qualified applicants in a category exceeds the supply of
numbers available for allotment for the particular month, the category is considered to be
"oversubscribed" and a visa availability cut-off date is established. The cut-off date is the
priority date of the first documentarily qualified applicant who could not be accommodated for a
visa number.
For example: If the monthly target is 3,000 and we have demand for 8,000
applicants, then we would need to establish a cut-off date so that only 3,000 numbers would be
allocated. In this case, the cut-off would be the priority date of the 3,001st applicant.
Only persons with a priority date earlier than a cut-off date are entitled to allotment of a visa
number. The cut-off dates are the 1st, 8th, 15th, and 22nd of a month, since VO groups demand
for numbers under these dates. (Priority dates of the first through seventh of a month are grouped
under the 1st, the eighth through the fourteenth under the 8th, etc.)

VO attempts to establish the cut-off dates for the following month on or about the 8th of each
month.
The dates are immediately transmitted to consular posts and Citizenship and Immigration
Services (CIS), and also published in the Visa Bulletin and online at the CA Web site
(www.travel.state.gov). Visa allotments for use during that month are transmitted to consular
posts. CIS requests visa allotments for adjustment of status cases only when all other case
processing has been completed.

2. DEFINITION OF SOME TERMS:

Priority date:
Normally, the date on which the petition to accord the applicant immigrant status was filed.
Allotment:
The allocation of an immigrant number to a consular office or to CIS. This number may be used
for visa issuance or adjustment of status.
Foreign State Chargeability:
Ordinarily, an immigrant is chargeable for visa purposes to the numerical limitation for the
foreign state or dependent area in which the immigrant's place of birth is located. Exceptions are
provided for a child (unmarried and under 21 years of age) or spouse accompanying or following
to join a principal to prevent the separation of family members, as well as for an applicant born
in the U.S. or in a foreign state of which neither parent was a native or resident. Alternate
chargeability is desirable when the visa cut-off date for the foreign state of a parent or spouse is
more advantageous than that of the applicant's foreign state.
Documentarily Qualified:
The applicant has obtained all documents specified by the consular officer as sufficient to meet
the formal visa application requirements, and necessary processing procedures of the consular
office have been completed.

3. BACKGROUND INFORMATION ON THE SYSTEM AND CLARIFICATION OF SOME FREQUENTLY MISUNDERSTOOD POINTS:

Applicants entitled to immigrant status become documentarily qualified at their own initiative
and convenience. By no means has every applicant with a priority date earlier than a prevailing
cut-off date been processed for final visa action.
On the contrary, visa allotments are made only
on the basis of the total applicants reported documentarily qualified each month.
Demand for
visa numbers can fluctuate from one month to another, with the inevitable impact on cut-off
dates.

If an applicant is reported documentarily qualified but allocation of a visa number is not possible
because of a visa availability cut-off date, the demand is recorded at VO and an allocation is
made as soon as the applicable cut-off date advances beyond the applicant's priority date. There
is no need for such applicant to be reported a second time.
Visa numbers are always allotted for all documentarily qualified applicants with a priority date
before the relevant cut-off date, as long as the case had been reported to VO in time to be
included in the monthly calculation of visa availability. Failure of visa number receipt by the
overseas processing office could mean that the request was not dispatched in time to reach VO
for the monthly allocation cycle, or that information on the request was incomplete or inaccurate
(e.g., incorrect priority date).

Allocations to Foreign Service posts outside the regular monthly cycle are possible in emergency
or exceptional cases, but only at the request of the office processing the case. Note that should
retrogression of a cut-off date be announced, VO can honor extraordinary requests for additional
numbers only if the applicant's priority date is earlier than the retrogressed cut-off date.
Not all numbers allocated are actually used for visa issuance; some are returned to VO and are
reincorporated into the pool of numbers available for later allocation during the fiscal year. The
rate of return of unused numbers may fluctuate from month to month, just as demand may
fluctuate. Lower returns mean fewer numbers available for subsequent reallocation. Fluctuations
can cause cut-off date movement to slow, stop, or even retrogress. Retrogression is particularly
possible near the end of the fiscal year as visa issuance approaches the annual limitations.


Per-country limit:
The annual per-country limitation of 7% is a cap, which visa issuances to any
single country may not exceed. Applicants compete for visas primarily on a worldwide basis.
The country limitation serves to avoid monopolization of virtually all the annual limitation by
applicants from only a few countries. This limitation is not a quota to which any particular
country is entitled, however. A portion of the numbers provided to the Family Second
preference category are exempt from this per-country cap. The American Competitiveness in the
Twenty-First Century Act (AC21) removed the per-country limit in any calendar quarter in
which overall applicant demand for Employment-based visa numbers is less than the total of
such numbers available.

Applicability of Section 202(e): When visa demand by documentarily qualified applicants from a
particular country exceeds the amount of numbers available under the annual numerical
limitation, that country is considered to be oversubscribed. Oversubscription may require the
establishment of a cut-off date which is earlier than that which applies to a particular visa
category on a worldwide basis. The prorating of numbers for an oversubscribed country follows
the same percentages specified for the division of the worldwide annual limitation among the
preferences. (Note that visa availability cut-off dates for oversubscribed areas may not be later
than worldwide cut-off dates, if any, for the respective preferences.)

source:http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/Immigrant Visa Control System_operation of.pdf

bolded:my emphasis.

quite a mouthful but very helpful. thanx man
 
thnx brother

Below is my query to KCC & the reply given.

2.If a question does not apply to me,do I mark it with N\A or a hyphen on all available spaces or only for the first line?

If a question does not apply to you then please place “N/A” on the first line.

Regards

thanks brother it's so kind from you...
 
Our god my u guide us.

Ooooh my God the September bulletin is out. My number is current>>>>>My God be wid us as we continue wid the second phase.


C. ADVANCE NOTIFICATION OF THE DIVERSITY (DV) IMMIGRANT CATEGORY RANK CUT-OFFS WHICH WILL APPLY IN OCTOBER

For October, immigrant numbers in the DV category are available to qualified DV-2013 applicants chargeable to all regions/eligible countries as follows. When an allocation cut-off number is shown, visas are available only for applicants with DV regional lottery rank numbers BELOW the specified allocation cut-off number:


Region All DV Chargeability Areas Except Those Listed Separately
AFRICA 8,000 Except: Egypt 5,500
Ethiopia 5,500
Nigeria 5,500
ASIA 1,900
EUROPE 5,700
NORTH AMERICA (BAHAMAS) 2
OCEANIA 250
SOUTH AMERICA, and the CARIBBEAN 450
 
this has bin the lowest number in the last 4 years: mind u DV 2012 Oct was 8500. DV 2011 Oct was 9000. DV 2010 Oct was 8300. n now DV 2013 Oct 8000. this yr it seems, God forbid, it will move slowly....but we r hoping 4 the best
 
All the best for those who are current, i think our number will take forever.... somewhere september next year.......that will be a long long wait....nite everyone
 
this has bin the lowest number in the last 4 years: mind u DV 2012 Oct was 8500. DV 2011 Oct was 9000. DV 2010 Oct was 8300. n now DV 2013 Oct 8000. this yr it seems, God forbid, it will move slowly....but we r hoping 4 the best

Incidentally, thats the number i predicted. I used the table showing past trends that someone posted here and i came up with 8000. See my table.

Month 8 9 10 11 12 11 VS 12 predict 2013 cut offs No per month
October 6,700 6,900 8,300 9,000 8,500 -500 8,000 8,500
November 10,000 12,500 14,000 12,000 13,000 1,000 14,000 4,500
December 11,000 15,100 17,800 15,650 18,500 2,850 21,350 5,500
January 13,100 18,300 23,400 20,900 24,700 3,800 28,500 6,200
February 16,200 23,300 27,500 26,100 32,000 5,900 37,900 7,300
March 18,500 26,800 29,600 31,950 35,800 3,850 39,650 3,800
April 21,500 26,900 31,700 35,450 39,000 3,550 42,550 3,200
May 26,700 32,400 39,200 42,000 50,000 8,000 58,000 11,000
June 32,000 39,600 45,600 49,300 C
July 38,050 48,700 54,100 57,600.0 C
August 47,000 64,300 64,300 71,800.0 C
Sept 62,300 C C C C

59*** Sept August August August C
The column marked predict 2013 is just a summation of 2012 plus 2011 vs 2012. I could be wrong but i was spot on the October one ;);)
 
Incidentally, thats the number i predicted. I used the table showing past trends that someone posted here and i came up with 8000. See my table.

Month 8 9 10 11 12 11 VS 12 predict 2013 cut offs No per month
October 6,700 6,900 8,300 9,000 8,500 -500 8,000 8,500
November 10,000 12,500 14,000 12,000 13,000 1,000 14,000 4,500
December 11,000 15,100 17,800 15,650 18,500 2,850 21,350 5,500
January 13,100 18,300 23,400 20,900 24,700 3,800 28,500 6,200
February 16,200 23,300 27,500 26,100 32,000 5,900 37,900 7,300
March 18,500 26,800 29,600 31,950 35,800 3,850 39,650 3,800
April 21,500 26,900 31,700 35,450 39,000 3,550 42,550 3,200
May 26,700 32,400 39,200 42,000 50,000 8,000 58,000 11,000
June 32,000 39,600 45,600 49,300 C
July 38,050 48,700 54,100 57,600.0 C
August 47,000 64,300 64,300 71,800.0 C
Sept 62,300 C C C C

59*** Sept August August August C
The column marked predict 2013 is just a summation of 2012 plus 2011 vs 2012. I could be wrong but i was spot on the October one ;);)

Why is the table such a mess.
 
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