Minsk, Ofcourse i assumed a lot of things. For instance, the USICS memo said that anyone who got a RFI will get a GC this year. The last RFI was May 01, which means they took in account 18,000 visas for FY05. If you do the math, that cut of 17 months, DEC99-May01=17 Months.
So in FY06 with 18,000 still available, that should cut another 17 months yah? Lets say not 17 but 12? and then 25,000 in FY07 would cut out lets say another 12 Months?..
17(as per USCIS mem)+12(assumption, could be more not less)+12(assumption, could be more not less)=41 Months=3.4 Years.
So if they do what was promised... in Sep 2007, they would be processing Cases with ND date of 2004. You should also remember that most of the backlog is due to cases between 1996-2000 because after the 1996 laws all of them got in line for a GC...So theoretically, for the year 2001-2005, the number of applications can be 40,000 but not between 2003-2005...
I am trying to find total number of asylum approvals by year from 1999 onwards and I can give you an EXACT estimations of what cases will be approved when..thats how USCIS gives out their estimations...btw I was also a math major