CEAC Data Up to 02-02-2014

[Britsimon]

I ran it for first thousand AF region, sure there were changes,

and till yesterday April cases wasn't included (250 cases all holes)

I think once a month is good schedule

Yep agreed - probably a few days after the beginning of each month.

 

[MalcomX]

I agree with you, next year African number will be totally different ... the new divistes will be totally lost, they will be not able to predict anything except Sloner .... meanwhile the success rate will be better

I have calculated and published numbers previously using country specific success rate calculations - that does vary things from the regional ones I used above - the difference isn't that significant.

Agreed on DV2015. If my theory holds true I can't see any reason why DV2015 would need a selectee number similar to this year. So - if we see 140k again - I will eat my hat.

There is a major change in that Nigeria is ineligible this year - I'm not sure how that will affect things although as they are over 15% of the entrants globally it is bound to cause some differences (at least in Africa region).