Calculations Gurus needed.....

P

Punjabi_Munda

Registered Users (C)
Now that we are seeing people with May 2000 (Punky) getting RFEs. Is there a way we can calculate or some people will call it speculate ;) the cut off date for the end of 2005. I think it will be interesting....
 
This is not the result of scientific calculation but I think by Dec-2005 we should see progress as RFE or FP's for asylees in Dec 2000 - Mar 2001 application dates.

Regards,
 
RFE not FPs

I think RFEs are more valid clue of getting approved soon after you get them. We'll see RFEs more than FPs. I received an FP notice for 08/17/04 along with a lot of other people on this forum but nothing changed after that. I think they have fingerprints for the majority of us now. We need more RFEs.
WantmyGCnow, if you are the calculation guru, could you give us some idea based on number of total pending cases and the 18000 that USCIS has promised to process this year. Also we need to factor in that once this fiscal year ends in Sept, USCIS should have 21500 more visas available. Would they be processing 1/4th of that 21500 in the last quarter of this year? How would the situation look like then. I know guys its all hypothetical but if USCIS acts as they have promised, we'll be surprised how real this calculation can be....
 
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Well based on my calculations(I also used vodoo magic). The current cutoff date right now seems to be may 00 but in reality it will be Aug 00 when new dates are updated late summer. That took in account ONLY 10,000 per this year. If the judge approves that lawsuit, thats an additional 8,000 this year which would move the cutoff date to roughly dec 00. With next year, it would be 20,000 instead of 10,000, the cutoff date should be 10/01.

So in summary, by this October 05, they should have processed GC's for all asylees who have RD of DEC 00. From October 05-October 06, they should process the GC for all asylees with RD till 10/01.

This took in effect the additional 18,000 for the next 2 years.
 
You Da Man, Wantmygcnow

Thanks for the insight Wantmygcnow. For the next two years there will be 21500 visas not 20000. But the dates you have presented seems very logical if everything goes as planned. I know you are not going to share your voodoo magic but could you share your calculations/spreadsheet as to how you came up with these dates? ;)
Keep up the good work....
 
Actually for the next 2 years it will be 19,500 to be exact. They are required to adjsut 31,000 in 3 years with first year being only 8,000. So 31,000-8000=23,000, 23000/2=11,500(fiscal year 2, fiscal year 3).

Fiscal year 1 (10,000+8,000), Fiscal Year 2 (10,000+11,500), Fiscal year 3 (10,000+11,500).

Give me ur email, I can send you the excel spreadsheet when i get home..

Now bacfk to my real job
 
The lawsuit says the following:

The additional 31,000 adjustment numbers will be over and above the usual
annual number of asylee adjustments. That is, for this fiscal year, 10,000 asylee adjustments are authorized; under the settlement agreement, the government will adjust the status of at least 8,000 additional asylees in the fiscal year, for a total of at least 18,000 in the first fiscal year.

So it means 8,000 additional int he first year and then the rest left are divided into the next 2 fiscal year...31,000-8,000=23,000, divided by 2 is 11,500 additional....

When i meant next 2 year I meant..8,000 this year and 11,500 the following year which makes it 19,500?

Makes sense? or am i drunk at work?
 
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I don't use voodoo but....

Let's make new numbers

--------------------------------------------------------------------------Hey Guys,

I posted this a few weeks ago, is slightly different, but is my approach.

Whay do you think?

Quote:
.

the government will adjust at least 18.000 this FY which is lets say RDs until Oct 1 /00 (Linear Prorate), then next year FY 06 (from Oct05 to Sep 06) lets say that they process 11500 extra (half the remaining balance) so the new cut off date will be around July/2001

What do you think?

What I don't have clear is why the number of 31.000, it was supposed to be 22.000
 
Protect it

If I were you, I will patent your algorithm, thereby protecting your intellectual property. Deciphering the processing timelines of the INS should be a profitable undertaking. A part time gig, to wit.

Can you imagine if the annual cap is removed and the INS has hundreds of thousands of eligible adjusters at once instead of 10,000 plus per fiscal year? What will they do?

The commercial opportunities are limitless! You might even license your patented formula and get royalty payments from other end users and applicants waiting in the queue. I would not be surprised if the INS pays you to figure out what is wrong, as it surely cannot figure that out by itself.

Cheerio

wantmygcnow said:
Actually for the next 2 years it will be 19,500 to be exact. They are required to adjsut 31,000 in 3 years with first year being only 8,000. So 31,000-8000=23,000, 23000/2=11,500(fiscal year 2, fiscal year 3).

Fiscal year 1 (10,000+8,000), Fiscal Year 2 (10,000+11,500), Fiscal year 3 (10,000+11,500).

Give me ur email, I can send you the excel spreadsheet when i get home..

Now bacfk to my real job
Click to expand...
 
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