Search results

Regions are separated into two categories - underrepresented regions and overrepresented regions. I am elaborating about the DOS formula for quota. According to the formula, underrepresented regions are OC, EU and AF. Overrepresented regions are NA, AS and SA. Changes in participation of...

No, know more than two.

No, you understand my point incorrectly. Not only in case of redraw. In case they need to return to original draw as well. For instance, the court decides to return original draw back, and to abandon redraw. That is why they need more numbers in the beginning. Because in that case a lot of...

I disagree with both reasons why they use 2012 statistics. I think the reason why they use it is because they are afraid of another lawsuit on whatever reason. However, they estimate how many people would not be able to apply NOW if the situation of 2012 repeated.

All I could say is that Iran and Nepal both are going to be exhausted between CN 10000 and 12000. Situation with the rest of Asia is difficult to predict. If Asian quota decreases from 9800 to 8800, it will be exhausted at about the same level as Iran and Nepal - all 3 at about 11000. If Asian...

What exactly about Asia are you interested in?

I believe much lower percentage of African winners compared to other winners in DV-12 who knew about the redraw was caused by lower technology levels. The ease with what other winners were able to geta latest events was not available in Africa. However, the technology is currently catching up in...

I could not completely rule out this possibility. However I would consider it extremely unlikely. If on somewhat reason everyone from Ethiopia sends documents to KCC, special cutoff could be reinstated, or cutoff could even decrease (actually, if limit has been reached, it could make sense to...

In 2013 there were 2389 visas. They already realized they will not 3500 in DV-14.

13830 between 33000 and 54000.

As far as I understand, Ethiopia hit the limit already. But Ethiopia, Ghana and Egypt also hit the limit rather early in DV-13. Same as Ukraine. At the same time Uzbekistan hit the limit at the very end of the year, as well as Nigeria. I believe that would be the case this year as well, the...

3 special African countries together are limited by per country quota (up to 3850 per country), that is 11550. That is about 55% of the total number of African visas. So, African visas from other African countries are still 45% of all African visas. So, total speed up could be 100/45 = 2.2...

Was he still living there at the moment when he sent initial entry? People go to study to other countries or work temporarily in other countries (and mention their country of temporary residence on DV entry), and then return back to home country.

If Egypt is also close to reaching it's limit (it was 22899 in DV-13), I would expect 9K-10K increase for Africa. Nigeria is far from reaching the limit, but it is moving slowly anyway

Yes. BTW, as long as you are in contact with him, could you figure out what country he mentioned on DV initial entry as the country of residence? What I suspect is the source of those outliers are those who live outside of country of chargeability. I know several Uzbekistani cases like that...

Eliminating cutoff for Ethiopia means to me the limit for this country has been passed. So, it is between 24700 and 30000 (in DV-13 it was 32912), and now it is lower than in DV-14. Also, cutoffs for Africa speeded up - because Ethiopian numbers no longer add up to African numbers.

I do not think it is absolutely safe. I think numbers above 33K might be not safe.

I did not run all of them. My purpose was to find max for Ukraine. I ran 16700 through 20050 every 10th number, and they stopped on 18070. Then I ran 18070 through 18400 all numbers and I saw just 3 numbers - 18070, 18083 and 18085. Pretty ovbious they stop at 18085. Also, the way the add...

For Egypt I showed a number of cases where those numbers were Egyptians, Cairo website states country of chargeability. I also know a couple of participants from Uz whose numbers were much higher than Uz's limit. However, they mentioned country of residence as Russia, not Uz. Also, in your...

The max number for Ukraine is 18085 so far in DV-14. It could be slightly higher, but not much.