Search results

I will readjust my prediction for Asia a little bit, based on CEAC data. 1. Iranian numbers have max about 9000. Iran will use all or almost all of per country quota. Iranian cutoff will either stop right before 9000, or will pass that number (in that case it will most likely not have a cutoff...

Congo with 3924 winners produced 2231 visas in 2013. In DV-14 there are 6025 winners. Even if AF becomes current by the end of the fiscal year (hardly possible), expect 3426 visas from Congo, less than per country max. So, I do not see a point imposing a limit for Congo.

18794 is no longer max for Egypt. They entered additional numbers up to cutoff 22850 Nigeria also has numbers at least until cutoff 11600 Ethiopia ends at 29941 or so. My suspicion that Ethiopian max has passed and cutoff 30000 is higher than Ethiopian max looks to be correct. That is why...

A number of cases in late 2013 in Ready status disappeared later from CEAC data. I provided a few examples. But percentage of those cases is low. I think those are not the cases that did not show up at the interview, because those were 2% at most. Most likely something else like forms submitted...

It was 66828 with Sloner effect, it would have been slightly more if it were not the effect.

7% of 55000 is 3850, not 3750

If Congo numbers are spread out evenly to the last number (116000 or so), there is no need to limit numbers for Congo, because the last 20% of AF numbers probably will not be invited to the interview.

Egyptian max is 18794 or so. It is too early to say the max CN for other AF special countries.

I am pretty sure there should be a reason. That reason is on the initial entry form. We just do not know what it is.

Ukrainian numbers end at 18085 or a little higher. Uzbekistani numbers end at about 20K, but we are not sure yet where exactly the boundary is - because Uzbekistan has special cutoffs.

What I think is happening is those are the ones who submitted forms to KCC but do not want to schedule interview yet. A number of people are preparing for changes in the family, including marriages or divorces Probably, for Nepal a very small number of applicants are delaying their interviews...

the number of visas per country is limited, and legality of this is not questionable. However, the number of winners per country is not officially qoutaed, and any caps on the amount of winners per country is an issue with questionable legality. Historically early lotteries did not have caps on...

I am not sure they will abandon this practice by 2015. But sooner or later they will.

Who is talking about whole life? 2014 was the first year where DV program was drawn after that court. The danger seemed imminent. Several years would pass and they will forget about this danger until the next lawsuit strikes.

Excluding Iran and Nepal.

We could safely assume the quota underfilling 34K instead of 50K was caused exactly by this. Overall 33% did not know. In Africa much more than that, in Europe much less than that. You have the data - the number of visas issued per region

I believe the court could reverse the draw even after the fiscal year started. For instance, 2012 appeal was completed by July 2012, what was already at the end of 2012 fiscal year. The decision could reverse the pool of winners, if course, if the court could find it right. The appeal started at...

In DV-13 quota was 9.8K. I do not have any doubts Nepal and Iran will use 3500 or so visas each, maybe even more. Also, do not forget only 51000 issues were issued, but there is some evidence NACARA did not use the rest 4000, and 2000 to 4000 could be still issued. Out of those about 20% could...

That is an interesting question. They still need much more, because a lot of winners of the second draw would not know about the second draw.

Yes, exactly, I am talking about e It does not seem too complicated for me though.