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That is exactly the reason why EU visas will be exhausted earlier than the end of August

I have a very accurate prediction, and you realize that very well.

I am looking at Ankara consular schedule for the rest of June, July and August. Out of 107 EU interviews there 54 are with low numbers (lower than May cutoff of 30700). 54 out of 107 are those late submitter, ad that is a little bit higher than 50%. Looks more than 2%. Am I right?

Of course, I can handle them any way I wish. You remind me of a bull who did not allow a goat to count him. The scheduled interviews are the same safe as when they were cancelled in prior lotteries when visas were exhausted.

I recalculated this morning, as you see. Seems Nepal could max out even from 9500, but only if all APs are issued visas. Most likely Nepalese cut off will be slightly increased, at to 10K-10200. And at the same time APs are processed too. I would expect Nepal t max out in September, before...

Nigeria did not max out in DV-13, and the number of winners from Nigeria is about the same in DV-14 as it was in DV-13. Why would it max out?

What is your evidence towards huge increase in EU quota?

ASIA 1. Nepal Out of first 6500 numbers (cutoff for May, and those were processed already) Admin 161 Issued 2238 If we project the same rates up to 9500, we get: Issued 3271 Admin 235 Totally 3506 If not all admin are processed, then with the same rates 10165 cutoff for Nepal will exhaust...

I have to check the june ceac data. I did not follow Nepal closely.

AF has several special countries. And for some of them we still do not know the max

I really do not understand your question about density. But I think Nepal shoul not be exhausted even ar 10.5k. Earlier means around mid September

We still do not know max numbers for Nigeria, for instance. That is some kind of uncertainty

14-17k, possibly no special cutoff for Nepal, visas for Nepal exhausting earlier than the rest of Asia

Between 80k and 100k

Those 2-3 visas are unused NA visas that will be given to other regions in September

Regarding EU numbers, whatever cutoff they announce in July for September (40150 again or Unavailable or whatever), it is pretty much obvious visas for EU will exhaust in July or August, maybe except 2-3 visas, and there will be no additional interviews since then

No, they specifically mentioned EU was exhausted on the 26th, and AF on 29th.

This year it might not be convincing as well - there might be no public notices.

No I do not have any estimates other than visas issued for DV-13. As I said I do not believe in a large change in quotas. I think it is quite possible that DV will get back unused NACARA visas.

I remember several years ago a forum publication about all interviews in Spain cancelled because EU visas were exhausted. Also, I remember a letter to myself in DV-2000 from the office of Senator Kennedy about a friend of mine, stating EU visas as exhausted as of about September 26th.