SusieQQQ
Well-Known Member
Hi all,
Simon (and all of the sages) - I was curious, where do you get the allocation percentages from? You say that EU and Asia has seen a small decrease this year, and that Africa a slight increase. However, Eu seems to have quite a surge in the selectee count compared to last year, (and Africa a moderate one), while Asia's count has practically remained the same as last year. If I understand the numbers correctly, that might imply that Asian high case numbers (like myself... 113xx) are relatively "safer" than European high case numbers, since Asia is only in a slightly worse position then the one it was in 2016/2017, years in which it became current, compared to EU, which has much more selctees this year but less visas to give? Or am I reading the numbers wrong?
I also wonder whether the administration predicts a higher refusal/AP rate this year, given the employment of the "stricter scrutiny" policy, particularly in Asia and Africa, which could account for the higher number of selectees (but would make the huge increase in the EU count even stranger, no?).
Not speculating on the numbers but be aware that "Europe" is a much wider region than you may be thinking of in your mind.
Personally I doubt the "stricter vetting" will have much impact at all. Immigrant visa checks are pretty strict anyway. Nice PR for an administration trying to show it's "keeping promises" though.