hi dear
in 2005 we were about 6400 winner from Egypt , and our cut off was 46700 like all african countries except ethiopia and nigeria
in my year 2006 , we were almost the same no. of 2005 , but as you have seen unlike all world , our cut off was 24300 , and all world was current
but in aug we were 33900 ( dont ask how ?) , anyway . in 2006 nigeria was about 7000 like egypt in 2007 , but its cut off was great ,, current ,, means all the 7000 will have an interview , offcourse the refusal rate was high
the conclusion :
1- nothing can be for sure , its ALLAH willing only
2- the main factor is how many winners are qualified and how many dependable visas will be issued in specific year
if the winner is married and have 4 childrens , thats mean 5 visas will be given for this case no. will be cut from the 3500 visas for this country thats mean in 2006 they were not winners , they were families , exactly rapits or rats families
you will see in all previouse years tables that between 90.000 winners around the world , actually 25.000 applicants only got the visa
any way if you under 24000 you will be safe for sure , but since lottry beging , except 2004 and mine 2006 , even 46000 in egypt was safe
i wich you good luck buddy , alkhera fema yakhtaraho ALLAH