US CIS Official N400 Stats and estimated Processing Times for Los Angele

I want to save this important quote here:
The people who are placed in "queue for interview" are those whose name-check is not cleared (only fingerprints get cleared but not name-check) even though USCIS says otherwise. It could take even 2 yrs. I've known so many people are still stuck in this name-check thing and they have been told ever since "in queue" bs...

On the other hand, you would notice very few applicants get their interview notice so quickly within 3-4 months after filing the application...actually they are lucky ones whose name check gets cleared...

That being said, being in "queue for interview" means fingerprints check has completed but not the name check...
 
May 2008 stats are out and my 870K prediction was too pessimistic :eek:! - it's 816K left pending!

-------
using this US CIS official stats on N400 from Nov 2006 till May 2008: http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/us...nnel=2c039c7755cb9010VgnVCM10000045f3d6a1RCRD

Columns:
1) number of pending N400 applications (difference between months)
2) increase or decrease % compared to the same month in previous year,
3) Initial Receipt (IR), Approval\Oath (AO) Denial (D), = total (approved+ denied)

2006
493,354 in Nov 2006, -8%, IR 64,665, AO 46,896, D 7608
512,186 in Dec 2006(+ 18 832), -1% IR 65,782, AO 45,945, D 5,719
2007
556,584 in Jan 2007 (+44 398), +8%, IR 95,622, AO 46,965, D 7,302
580,999 in Feb 2007 (+24 415), +15% , IR 80,105, AO 48,904 , D 7,050
645,965 in Mar 2007 (+64 966), +32% IR 118,656, AO 55,081, D 7,490
692,504 in Apr 2007 (+46 539), +43% IR 110,020, AO 59,731, D 7,385 = 67 116 average speed
743,079 in May 2007 (+50 575), +49% IR 115,175, AO 57,323, D 7,636
811,810 in Jun 2007 (+68 731), +67% IR 135,326, AO 59,406, D 7,579
877,039 in Jul 2007 (+65 229), +80% IR 129,699 (July), AO 57,223, D 7,228 = 64451 avg. speed
872,796 in Aug 2007 (-4 243), +82% IR 75,121 (July), AO 61,863, D 8,460 = 70323 avg. speed
877,758 in Sep 2007 (+4 962), +85% IR 80,389 (July), AO 72,143, D 8,851 = 90994 high speed (creating front backlog)
926,864 in Oct 2007 (+49 106), +92% IR 89,798 (July), AO 48,643, D 7,989 = 56632 - low speed (processing front backlog)
1,090,498 in Nov 2007 (+163 634), +121% IR 35,819 (-49%) (July-Nov), AO 61,969, D 6,900 = 68 869 -avg. speed (front back log done)
1,061,189 in Dec 2007(-29 309), +107% IR 33,536 (-45%), AO 62,956 D 5,963 = 68 019 -avg.speed

2008:
1,051,186 in Jan 2008 (-10 003), +89 % IR 51,994 (-46%), AO 54,477 D 8,490 = 63,000 (-5 000) - avg. speed
1,009,297 in Feb 2008 (-41 889), +74 % IR 42,412 (-47%), AO 74,609 D 7,985 =82 594 (+20 000)
958,663 in Mar 2008 (-50 634), +48%, IR = 47,835 (-60%), AO 84,947 D 8,636 = 93 583 (+10 989)
914,156 in Apr 2008 (-44 507) +31%, IR = 44,287 (-61%), AO 80,667 D 10,034 = 90 701 (-2 882). new avg. speed
816,540 in May 2008 (-97616) +8 %, IR = 49 596 (-60%), AO 95 589 D 10 406 = 105 995 (+15 294) big speed up!


April prediction was (saving just in case USCIS slows down):
with speed of 90-93k/m - 44-47 = 43-49 K/month - those 914,156 pending should decrease in May stats (released end of June 08) to 870K, then 825K in June stats, 780 in July stats, and then hopefully more IOs start in Aug and pending cases decrease lower then 730

May prediction: new speed 106K/m -49K/m = 57k/k month - 816,5 K pending should decrease
in June (released end of July) to 760K,
in July to 702K
in Aug to 645K, then in September new receipts should traditionally drop, so speed should increase, we'll see.
 
July 15 updates are available here: https://www.visapro.com/INS-Processing-Times.asp

and since they do not reflect any useful information whatsoever, and I am now working many hours a week, I decided to just use visapro as reference and update only factual stats at the end of month.

If anybody wants to continue my useless work - press "quote" then in the message text window delete both [quote-] tags, add new stats, color code it if needed, and post it when done.
 
in June 2008 stats report national N400 speed keeps increasing and now reached TWICE the speed of July 2007, my "760K left" prediction was too low - one more time - it's 743K left pending (meaning even less in July and August)!

-------
using this US CIS official stats on N400 from Nov 2006 till May 2008: http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/us...nnel=2c039c7755cb9010VgnVCM10000045f3d6a1RCRD

Columns:
1) number of pending N400 applications (difference between months)
2) increase or decrease % compared to the same month in previous year,
3) Initial Receipt (IR), Approval\Oath (AO) Denial (D), = total (approved+ denied)

2006
493,354 in Nov 2006, -8%, IR 64,665, AO 46,896, D 7608
512,186 in Dec 2006(+ 18 832), -1% IR 65,782, AO 45,945, D 5,719
2007
556,584 in Jan 2007 (+44 398), +8%, IR 95,622, AO 46,965, D 7,302
580,999 in Feb 2007 (+24 415), +15% , IR 80,105, AO 48,904 , D 7,050
645,965 in Mar 2007 (+64 966), +32% IR 118,656, AO 55,081, D 7,490
692,504 in Apr 2007 (+46 539), +43% IR 110,020, AO 59,731, D 7,385 = 67 116 average speed
743,079 in May 2007 (+50 575), +49% IR 115,175, AO 57,323, D 7,636
811,810 in Jun 2007 (+68 731), +67% IR 135,326, AO 59,406, D 7,579
877,039 in Jul 2007 (+65 229), +80% IR 129,699 (July), AO 57,223, D 7,228 = 64451 avg. speed
872,796 in Aug 2007 (-4 243), +82% IR 75,121 (July), AO 61,863, D 8,460 = 70323 avg. speed
877,758 in Sep 2007 (+4 962), +85% IR 80,389 (July), AO 72,143, D 8,851 = 90994 high speed (creating front backlog)
926,864 in Oct 2007 (+49 106), +92% IR 89,798 (July), AO 48,643, D 7,989 = 56632 - low speed (processing front backlog)
1,090,498 in Nov 2007 (+163 634), +121% IR 35,819 (-49%) (July-Nov), AO 61,969, D 6,900 = 68 869 -avg. speed (front back log done)
1,061,189 in Dec 2007(-29 309), +107% IR 33,536 (-45%), AO 62,956 D 5,963 = 68 019 -avg.speed

2008:
1,051,186 in Jan 2008 (-10 003), +89 % IR 51,994 (-46%), AO 54,477 D 8,490 = 63,000 (-5 000) - avg. speed
1,009,297 in Feb 2008 (-41 889), +74 % IR 42,412 (-47%), AO 74,609 D 7,985 =82 594 (+20 000)
958,663 in Mar 2008 (-50 634), +48%, IR = 47,835 (-60%), AO 84,947 D 8,636 = 93 583 (+10 989)
914,156 in Apr 2008 (-44 507) +31%, IR = 44,287 (-61%), AO 80,667 D 10,034 = 90 701 (-2 882). new avg. speed
816,540 in May 2008 (-97 616) +8 %, IR = 49 596 (-60%), AO 95 589 D 10 406 = 105 995 (+15 294) big speed up!
743,259 in June 2008 (-73 281) -12%, IR =45,124 (-70%), AO 102,172 (+65%!!), D 11,909 =114 081 (+8 086) speeding up

April prediction was (saving just in case USCIS slows down):
with speed of 90-93k/m - 44-47 = 43-49 K/month - those 914,156 pending should decrease in May stats (released end of June 08) to 870K, then 825K in June stats, 780 in July stats, and then hopefully more IOs start in Aug and pending cases decrease lower then 730

May prediction: new speed 106K/m -49K/m = 57k/k month - 816,5 K pending should decrease
in June (released end of July) to 760K,
in July to 702K
in Aug to 645K, then in September new receipts should traditionally drop, so speed should increase, we'll see.

June prediction: new speed 114K/m -45K/m = 69k/m, so 743K should decrease:
July (released end of Aug) to 674K
Aug 605K
Sep 536K
 
in July 2008 speed is still very high

-------
using this US CIS official stats on N400 from Nov 2006 till May 2008: http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/us...nnel=2c039c7755cb9010VgnVCM10000045f3d6a1RCRD

Columns:
1) number of pending N400 applications (difference between months)
2) increase or decrease % compared to the same month in previous year,
3) Initial Receipt (IR), Approval\Oath (AO) Denial (D), = total (approved+ denied)

2006
493,354 in Nov 2006, -8%, IR 64,665, AO 46,896, D 7608
512,186 in Dec 2006(+ 18 832), -1% IR 65,782, AO 45,945, D 5,719
2007
556,584 in Jan 2007 (+44 398), +8%, IR 95,622, AO 46,965, D 7,302
580,999 in Feb 2007 (+24 415), +15% , IR 80,105, AO 48,904 , D 7,050
645,965 in Mar 2007 (+64 966), +32% IR 118,656, AO 55,081, D 7,490
692,504 in Apr 2007 (+46 539), +43% IR 110,020, AO 59,731, D 7,385 = 67 116 average speed
743,079 in May 2007 (+50 575), +49% IR 115,175, AO 57,323, D 7,636
811,810 in Jun 2007 (+68 731), +67% IR 135,326, AO 59,406, D 7,579
877,039 in Jul 2007 (+65 229), +80% IR 129,699 (July), AO 57,223, D 7,228 = 64451 avg. speed
872,796 in Aug 2007 (-4 243), +82% IR 75,121 (July), AO 61,863, D 8,460 = 70323 avg. speed
877,758 in Sep 2007 (+4 962), +85% IR 80,389 (July), AO 72,143, D 8,851 = 90994 high speed (creating front backlog)
926,864 in Oct 2007 (+49 106), +92% IR 89,798 (July), AO 48,643, D 7,989 = 56632 - low speed (processing front backlog)
1,090,498 in Nov 2007 (+163 634), +121% IR 35,819 (-49%) (July-Nov), AO 61,969, D 6,900 = 68 869 -avg. speed (front back log done)
1,061,189 in Dec 2007(-29 309), +107% IR 33,536 (-45%), AO 62,956 D 5,963 = 68 019 -avg.speed

2008:
1,051,186 in Jan 2008 (-10 003), +89 % IR 51,994 (-46%), AO 54,477 D 8,490 = 63,000 (-5 000) - avg. speed
1,009,297 in Feb 2008 (-41 889), +74 % IR 42,412 (-47%), AO 74,609 D 7,985 =82 594 (+20 000)
958,663 in Mar 2008 (-50 634), +48%, IR = 47,835 (-60%), AO 84,947 D 8,636 = 93 583 (+10 989)
914,156 in Apr 2008 (-44 507) +31%, IR = 44,287 (-61%), AO 80,667 D 10,034 = 90 701 (-2 882). new avg. speed
816,540 in May 2008 (-97 616) +8 %, IR = 49 596 (-60%), AO 95 589 D 10 406 = 105 995 (+15 294) big speed up!
743,259 in June 2008 (-73 281) -12%, IR =45,124 (-70%), AO 102,172 (+65%!!), D 11,909 =114 081 (+8 086) speeding up
668,793 in July 2008 (-74 466) -46%, IR = 50 625 (-89%), AO 113,106 (+83%!!!), D 13,213 = 126, 319 (+ 12 238) still speeding up


April prediction was (saving just in case USCIS slows down):
with speed of 90-93k/m - 44-47 = 43-49 K/month - those 914,156 pending should decrease in May stats (released end of June 08) to 870K, then 825K in June stats, 780 in July stats, and then hopefully more IOs start in Aug and pending cases decrease lower then 730

May prediction: new speed 106K/m -49K/m = 57k/k month - 816,5 K pending should decrease
in June (released end of July) to 760K,
in July to 702K
in Aug to 645K, then in September new receipts should traditionally drop, so speed should increase, we'll see.

June prediction: new speed 114K/m -45K/m = 69k/m, so 743K should decrease:
July (released end of Aug) to 674K
Aug 605K
Sep 536K

July prediction new speed 126 K/m - 50K = 76K/m, so July's 668K should decrease:
Aug 592K
Sep 516 K
 
Last edited by a moderator:
in July 2008 and September - the speed was still increasing

-------
using this US CIS official stats on N400 from Nov 2006 till May 2008: http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/us...nnel=2c039c7755cb9010VgnVCM10000045f3d6a1RCRD

Columns:
1) number of pending N400 applications (difference between months)
2) increase or decrease % compared to the same month in previous year,
3) Initial Receipt (IR), Approval\Oath (AO) Denial (D), = total (approved+ denied)

2006
493,354 in Nov 2006, -8%, IR 64,665, AO 46,896, D 7608
512,186 in Dec 2006(+ 18 832), -1% IR 65,782, AO 45,945, D 5,719
2007
556,584 in Jan 2007 (+44 398), +8%, IR 95,622, AO 46,965, D 7,302
580,999 in Feb 2007 (+24 415), +15% , IR 80,105, AO 48,904 , D 7,050
645,965 in Mar 2007 (+64 966), +32% IR 118,656, AO 55,081, D 7,490
692,504 in Apr 2007 (+46 539), +43% IR 110,020, AO 59,731, D 7,385 = 67 116 average speed
743,079 in May 2007 (+50 575), +49% IR 115,175, AO 57,323, D 7,636
811,810 in Jun 2007 (+68 731), +67% IR 135,326, AO 59,406, D 7,579
877,039 in Jul 2007 (+65 229), +80% IR 129,699 (July), AO 57,223, D 7,228 = 64451 avg. speed
872,796 in Aug 2007 (-4 243), +82% IR 75,121 (July), AO 61,863, D 8,460 = 70323 avg. speed
877,758 in Sep 2007 (+4 962), +85% IR 80,389 (July), AO 72,143, D 8,851 = 90994 high speed (creating front backlog)
926,864 in Oct 2007 (+49 106), +92% IR 89,798 (July), AO 48,643, D 7,989 = 56632 - low speed (processing front backlog)
1,090,498 in Nov 2007 (+163 634), +121% IR 35,819 (-49%) (July-Nov), AO 61,969, D 6,900 = 68 869 -avg. speed (front back log done)
1,061,189 in Dec 2007(-29 309), +107% IR 33,536 (-45%), AO 62,956 D 5,963 = 68 019 -avg.speed

2008:
1,051,186 in Jan 2008 (-10 003), +89 % IR 51,994 (-46%), AO 54,477 D 8,490 = 63,000 (-5 000) - avg. speed
1,009,297 in Feb 2008 (-41 889), +74 % IR 42,412 (-47%), AO 74,609 D 7,985 =82 594 (+20 000)
958,663 in Mar 2008 (-50 634), +48%, IR = 47,835 (-60%), AO 84,947 D 8,636 = 93 583 (+10 989)
914,156 in Apr 2008 (-44 507) +31%, IR = 44,287 (-61%), AO 80,667 D 10,034 = 90 701 (-2 882). new avg. speed
816,540 in May 2008 (-97 616) +8 %, IR = 49 596 (-60%), AO 95 589 D 10 406 = 105 995 (+15 294) big speed up!
743,259 in June 2008 (-73 281) -12%, IR =45,124 (-70%), AO 102,172 (+65%!!), D 11,909 =114 081 (+8 086) speeding up
668,793 in July 2008 (-74 466) -46%, IR = 50 625 (-89%), AO 113,106 (+83%!!!), D 13,213 = 126, 319 (+ 12 238) still speeding up
587,315 in August 2008 (-81 478) -50%, IR = 46 061 (140%), AO 124 911 (+102%), D 14 987 = 139 898 (+13 579) speeding up
480,251 in September 2008 -57%, IR = 44 576 (80%), AO 145,925, D 14 660 = 160 585 (+ 20 687) speeding up + 40% since May 08 and 2,5 times faster then Jan 08 63 K/month. Level of pending applications is LOWER then Nov 2006 level of 493,354 , so if they keep their speed of 160k -44k new = 116k/month, they might become current (or depend solely on FBI speed) in only 4 months by January 09! hopefully they won't fire all the new staff or finally make process more efficient and less paper-based
 
Last edited by a moderator:
n400 Vegas

Timeline
Mailed out at aug03 2008
FP DONE OCT15-2008
INTIAL INTERVIEW APPT Jan 30

what the hell is Intial Interview ??
Are all the Citizenship letter called "Intial Interview"

Or I am in for long ride
 
uh oh, seems like in October USCIS was twice slower then in September :eek:, I hope they didn't fire all the extra staff they spent so much time and our money training???? :mad:

-------
using this US CIS official stats on N400 from Nov 2006 to last one: http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/us...nnel=2c039c7755cb9010VgnVCM10000045f3d6a1RCRD

Columns:
1) number of pending N400 applications (difference between months)
2) increase or decrease % compared to the same month in previous year,
3) Initial Receipt (IR), Approval\Oath (AO) Denial (D), = total (approved+ denied)

2006
493,354 in Nov 2006, -8%, IR 64,665, AO 46,896, D 7608
512,186 in Dec 2006(+ 18 832), -1% IR 65,782, AO 45,945, D 5,719
2007
556,584 in Jan 2007 (+44 398), +8%, IR 95,622, AO 46,965, D 7,302
580,999 in Feb 2007 (+24 415), +15% , IR 80,105, AO 48,904 , D 7,050
645,965 in Mar 2007 (+64 966), +32% IR 118,656, AO 55,081, D 7,490
692,504 in Apr 2007 (+46 539), +43% IR 110,020, AO 59,731, D 7,385 = 67 116 average speed
743,079 in May 2007 (+50 575), +49% IR 115,175, AO 57,323, D 7,636
811,810 in Jun 2007 (+68 731), +67% IR 135,326, AO 59,406, D 7,579
877,039 in Jul 2007 (+65 229), +80% IR 129,699 (July), AO 57,223, D 7,228 = 64451 avg. speed
872,796 in Aug 2007 (-4 243), +82% IR 75,121 (July), AO 61,863, D 8,460 = 70323 avg. speed
877,758 in Sep 2007 (+4 962), +85% IR 80,389 (July), AO 72,143, D 8,851 = 90994 high speed (creating front backlog)
926,864 in Oct 2007 (+49 106), +92% IR 89,798 (July), AO 48,643, D 7,989 = 56632 - low speed (processing front backlog)
1,090,498 in Nov 2007 (+163 634), +121% IR 35,819 (-49%) (July-Nov), AO 61,969, D 6,900 = 68 869 -avg. speed (front back log done)
1,061,189 in Dec 2007(-29 309), +107% IR 33,536 (-45%), AO 62,956 D 5,963 = 68 019 -avg.speed

2008:
1,051,186 in Jan 2008 (-10 003), +89 % IR 51,994 (-46%), AO 54,477 D 8,490 = 63,000 (-5 000) - avg. speed
1,009,297 in Feb 2008 (-41 889), +74 % IR 42,412 (-47%), AO 74,609 D 7,985 =82 594 (+20 000)
958,663 in Mar 2008 (-50 634), +48%, IR = 47,835 (-60%), AO 84,947 D 8,636 = 93 583 (+10 989)
914,156 in Apr 2008 (-44 507) +31%, IR = 44,287 (-61%), AO 80,667 D 10,034 = 90 701 (-2 882). new avg. speed
816,540 in May 2008 (-97 616) +8 %, IR = 49 596 (-60%), AO 95 589 D 10 406 = 105 995 (+15 294) big speed up!
743,259 in June 2008 (-73 281) -12%, IR =45,124 (-70%), AO 102,172 (+65%!!), D 11,909 =114 081 (+8 086) speeding up
668,793 in July 2008 (-74 466) -46%, IR = 50 625 (-89%), AO 113,106 (+83%!!!), D 13,213 = 126, 319 (+ 12 238) still speeding up
587,315 in August 2008 (-81 478) -50%, IR = 46 061 (140%), AO 124 911 (+102%), D 14 987 = 139 898 (+13 579) speeding up
480,251 in September 2008 -57%, IR = 44 576 (80%), AO 145,925, D 14 660 = 160 585 (+ 20 687) speeding up + 40% since May 08 and 2,5 times faster then Jan 08 63 K/month. Level of pending applications is LOWER then Nov 2006 level of 493,354 ,
459,337 in October 2008, - 59%, IR = 74 855 (+120%), AO 77,253, D=13,755 , = 91, 008 (twice slower then September), but 30% faster then January 08 and abous same as April 08, well at least they manage to keep it lower then pre-hype level of Nov 2006.

If they kept their amazing September speed they could have become all current (meaning output matches input) by today - January 2009, but there is no way of finding out other then wait for November report at the end of January I suppose.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
in November 2008 USCIS was slower then February 2008, may be it's also slowing downs oath scheduling
-------
using this US CIS official stats on N400 from Nov 2006 to last one: http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/us...nnel=2c039c7755cb9010VgnVCM10000045f3d6a1RCRD

Columns:
1) number of pending N400 applications (difference between months)
2) increase or decrease % compared to the same month in previous year,
3) Initial Receipt (IR), Approval\Oath (AO) Denial (D), = total speed per month (approved+ denied)

2006
493,354 in Nov 2006, -8%, IR 64,665, AO 46,896, D 7608
512,186 in Dec 2006(+ 18 832), -1% IR 65,782, AO 45,945, D 5,719
2007
556,584 in Jan 2007 (+44 398), +8%, IR 95,622, AO 46,965, D 7,302
580,999 in Feb 2007 (+24 415), +15% , IR 80,105, AO 48,904 , D 7,050
645,965 in Mar 2007 (+64 966), +32% IR 118,656, AO 55,081, D 7,490
692,504 in Apr 2007 (+46 539), +43% IR 110,020, AO 59,731, D 7,385 = 67 116 average speed
743,079 in May 2007 (+50 575), +49% IR 115,175, AO 57,323, D 7,636
811,810 in Jun 2007 (+68 731), +67% IR 135,326, AO 59,406, D 7,579
877,039 in Jul 2007 (+65 229), +80% IR 129,699 (July), AO 57,223, D 7,228 = 64451 avg. speed
872,796 in Aug 2007 (-4 243), +82% IR 75,121 (July), AO 61,863, D 8,460 = 70323 avg. speed
877,758 in Sep 2007 (+4 962), +85% IR 80,389 (July), AO 72,143, D 8,851 = 90994 high speed (creating front backlog)
926,864 in Oct 2007 (+49 106), +92% IR 89,798 (July), AO 48,643, D 7,989 = 56632 - low speed (processing front backlog)
1,090,498 in Nov 2007 (+163 634), +121% IR 35,819 (-49%) (July-Nov), AO 61,969, D 6,900 = 68 869 -avg. speed (front back log done)
1,061,189 in Dec 2007(-29 309), +107% IR 33,536 (-45%), AO 62,956 D 5,963 = 68 019 -avg.speed

2008:
1,051,186 in Jan 2008 (-10 003), +89 % IR 51,994 (-46%), AO 54,477 D 8,490 = 63,000 (-5 000) - avg. speed
1,009,297 in Feb 2008 (-41 889), +74 % IR 42,412 (-47%), AO 74,609 D 7,985 =82 594 (+20 000)
958,663 in Mar 2008 (-50 634), +48%, IR = 47,835 (-60%), AO 84,947 D 8,636 = 93 583 (+10 989)
914,156 in Apr 2008 (-44 507) +31%, IR = 44,287 (-61%), AO 80,667 D 10,034 = 90 701 (-2 882). new avg. speed
816,540 in May 2008 (-97 616) +8 %, IR = 49 596 (-60%), AO 95 589 D 10 406 = 105 995 (+15 294) big speed up!
743,259 in June 2008 (-73 281) -12%, IR =45,124 (-70%), AO 102,172 (+65%!!), D 11,909 =114 081 (+8 086) speeding up
668,793 in July 2008 (-74 466) -46%, IR = 50 625 (-89%), AO 113,106 (+83%!!!), D 13,213 = 126, 319 (+ 12 238) still speeding up
587,315 in August 2008 (-81 478) -50%, IR = 46 061 (140%), AO 124 911 (+102%), D 14 987 = 139 898 (+13 579) speeding up
480,251 in September 2008 -57%, IR = 44 576 (80%), AO 145,925, D 14 660 = 160 585 (+ 20 687) speeding up + 40% since May 08 and 2,5 times faster then Jan 08 63 K/month. Level of pending applications is LOWER then Nov 2006 level of 493,354 ,
459,337 in October 2008, - 59%, IR = 74 855 (+120%), AO 77,253, D=13,755 , = 91, 008 (twice slower then September), but 30% faster then January 08 and abous same as April 08, well at least they manage to keep it lower then pre-hype level of Nov 2006.
419,148 in November 2008, - 62%, IR 30,864 (back to normal), AO 68,821 (below avg.), D=10,916 = 79, 737 (slowing down, it's a first time speed dropped below 80K/month since Feb 2008)
 
in November 2008 and December 2008 USCIS was slower then February 2008, possibly slowing downs oath scheduling
-------
using this US CIS official stats on N400 from Nov 2006 to last one: http://www.uscis.gov/portal/site/us...nnel=2c039c7755cb9010VgnVCM10000045f3d6a1RCRD

Columns:
1) number of pending N400 applications (difference between months)
2) increase or decrease % compared to the same month in previous year,
3) Initial Receipt (IR), Approval\Oath (AO) Denial (D), = total speed per month (approved+ denied)

2006
493,354 in Nov 2006, -8%, IR 64,665, AO 46,896, D 7608
512,186 in Dec 2006(+ 18 832), -1% IR 65,782, AO 45,945, D 5,719
2007
556,584 in Jan 2007 (+44 398), +8%, IR 95,622, AO 46,965, D 7,302
580,999 in Feb 2007 (+24 415), +15% , IR 80,105, AO 48,904 , D 7,050
645,965 in Mar 2007 (+64 966), +32% IR 118,656, AO 55,081, D 7,490
692,504 in Apr 2007 (+46 539), +43% IR 110,020, AO 59,731, D 7,385 = 67 116 average speed
743,079 in May 2007 (+50 575), +49% IR 115,175, AO 57,323, D 7,636
811,810 in Jun 2007 (+68 731), +67% IR 135,326, AO 59,406, D 7,579
877,039 in Jul 2007 (+65 229), +80% IR 129,699 (July), AO 57,223, D 7,228 = 64451 avg. speed
872,796 in Aug 2007 (-4 243), +82% IR 75,121 (July), AO 61,863, D 8,460 = 70323 avg. speed
877,758 in Sep 2007 (+4 962), +85% IR 80,389 (July), AO 72,143, D 8,851 = 90994 high speed (creating front backlog)
926,864 in Oct 2007 (+49 106), +92% IR 89,798 (July), AO 48,643, D 7,989 = 56632 - low speed (processing front backlog)
1,090,498 in Nov 2007 (+163 634), +121% IR 35,819 (-49%) (July-Nov), AO 61,969, D 6,900 = 68 869 -avg. speed (front back log done)
1,061,189 in Dec 2007(-29 309), +107% IR 33,536 (-45%), AO 62,956 D 5,963 = 68 019 -avg.speed

2008:
1,051,186 in Jan 2008 (-10 003), +89 % IR 51,994 (-46%), AO 54,477 D 8,490 = 63,000 (-5 000) - avg. speed
1,009,297 in Feb 2008 (-41 889), +74 % IR 42,412 (-47%), AO 74,609 D 7,985 =82 594 (+20 000)
958,663 in Mar 2008 (-50 634), +48%, IR = 47,835 (-60%), AO 84,947 D 8,636 = 93 583 (+10 989)
914,156 in Apr 2008 (-44 507) +31%, IR = 44,287 (-61%), AO 80,667 D 10,034 = 90 701 (-2 882). new avg. speed
816,540 in May 2008 (-97 616) +8 %, IR = 49 596 (-60%), AO 95 589 D 10 406 = 105 995 (+15 294) big speed up!
743,259 in June 2008 (-73 281) -12%, IR =45,124 (-70%), AO 102,172 (+65%!!), D 11,909 =114 081 (+8 086) speeding up
668,793 in July 2008 (-74 466) -46%, IR = 50 625 (-89%), AO 113,106 (+83%!!!), D 13,213 = 126, 319 (+ 12 238) still speeding up
587,315 in August 2008 (-81 478) -50%, IR = 46 061 (140%), AO 124 911 (+102%), D 14 987 = 139 898 (+13 579) speeding up
480,251 in September 2008 -57%, IR = 44 576 (80%), AO 145,925, D 14 660 = 160 585 (+ 20 687) speeding up + 40% since May 08 and 2,5 times faster then Jan 08 63 K/month. Level of pending applications is LOWER then Nov 2006 level of 493,354 ,
459,337 in October 2008, - 59%, IR = 74 855 (+120%), AO 77,253 + D 13,755 , = 91, 008 (twice slower then September), but 30% faster then January 08 and abous same as April 08, well at least they manage to keep it lower then pre-hype level of Nov 2006.
419,148 in November 2008, - 62%, IR 30,864 (back to normal), AO 68,821 (below avg.), D=10,916 = 79, 737 (slowing down, it's a first time speed dropped below 80K/month since Feb 2008), speed of eliminating pending cases (output/input ratio in order to finally catch up) calculated as difference between pending levels = 40K/month
379,211 in December 2008, - 64%, IR = 22,320 (-33% - due to Lockbox) AO 64,006 + D 8,807 = 72,813 (still slowing down, even if input is 1/3 less). Current speed of eliminating pending cases is same as previous month - 40K/ month, at this speed 380K USCIS could theoretically catch up in 9.5 months, catch up meaning to process cases as soon as they come (sounds too good for USCIS).

PS. isn't it ridiculous it still takes them 2 month to publish 1 page of statistics, that in normal computerized organizations is available any second online on demand?
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Top