I would like to bring up another Sloner theory – holes.
It seems to me that he may be right stating that cases in DV-2014 have many holes.
I compared EU region in CEAC-02-02-2014 ( Rafikbo
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/...5OFFUMWc#gid=0 ) and CEAC-09-30-2013 (Raevsky
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AmbWzexdyvIldEs1d3VWWnJoV1BZSTF0R0JGeVRSTFE&usp=drive_web#gid=2 ))
I counted cases and applicants with family members.
For example 223 cases and 500 potential visas means that in CN range 14000-14999 there were 223 cases registered in CEAC-2014. Those 223 cases could result in 500 visas issued (223 applicants + 277 derivatives).
It shows that there are more holes per thousand CN’s in 2014 than in 2013.
Also the greater is the case number – the more holes is there.
If this is true – then big CN’s in 2014 may have better chance.
What do you think?
CN = 14000-14999
2014: 223 cases, 500 potential visas------ 2013: 381 cases, 874 potential visas
CN = 15000-15999
2014: 207 cases, 443 potential visas----- 2013: 320 cases, 736 potential visas
CN = 16000-16999
2014: 210 cases, 461 potential visas----- 2013: 323 cases, 761 potential visas
CN = 17000-17999
2014: 173 cases, 382 potential visas----- 2013: 315 cases, 705 potential visas
CN = 18000-18999
2014: 156 cases, 337 potential visas----- 2013:284 cases, 658 potential visas
CN = 27000-28000
2013: 184 cases, 405 potential visas